AFL and AFLW Scorigami

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TGDesigns

Senior List
Oct 20, 2014
218
360
Melbourne, Vic.
AFL Club
St Kilda
Other Teams
Man Utd, Colts, Bulls (NBA)
Over the last few months, I have developed the scorigami for the AFL and AFLW, counting all the total scores, up to round 5, 2022, and the 2022 AFLW Grand Final, respectively.
A scorigami is when a unique scoreline has happened for the first time in history. The term "scorigami" was coined by Jon Bois of SB Nation in 2016 and did it while tracking NFL scores. This was the inspiration for developing the AFL scorigami. Originally it was hard coded, until a friend of mine provided data to speed up the time, which I edited on Word and MATLAB to make it into an Excel-friendly format, saving lots of time compared to a manual entry project. Top shows the losing team score, while the side shows the winning team score. For draws, the home team is expressed first.
AFL Scorigami Screenshot 1897-2022 1.png AFL Scorigami Screenshot 1897-2022 2.png
AFLW Scorigami Screenshot 2017-2022 1.png
AFLW Scorigami Screenshot 2017-2022 2.png
The most recent AFL scorigami was in round 8, 2022, with Brisbane Lions defeating West Coast 105-30.
EDIT 20-Apr-2022: Expresses the definition of "scorigami".
EDIT 8-May-2022: New upgraded version of the scorigami file shown here.
EDIT 18-Mar-2024: Scorigami files now show up to season 2023 for the AFLW and up to round 1, 2024 for the AFL.
 

Attachments

  • AFL Scorigami.xlsx
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  • AFLW Scorigami.xlsx
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  • AFLW Scorigami v2.xlsx
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  • AFL Scorigami v2.xlsx
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What's a scorigami?
A scorigami is when a unique scoreline has occurred for the first time.

The NFL scorigami was the inspiration for my development of the AFL scorigami.
 

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This is very cool. I'm familiar with the initial Secret Base video that covered it for NFL, it's a lot more unique in that sport as it's lower scoring and there are strange ways to score different amounts like through safeties or two point conversions.

If you go back far enough many of the super low score scorigami would be available. How far back did you go?

Edit: OP you should have linked to the video, here it is:

 
This is very cool. I'm familiar with the initial Secret Base video that covered it for NFL, it's a lot more unique in that sport as it's lower scoring and there are strange ways to score different amounts like through safeties or two point conversions.

If you go back far enough many of the super low score scorigami would be available. How far back did you go?

Edit: OP you should have linked to the video, here it is:


Thank you! I went all the way back to 1897. The first non-scorigami in the VFL was in 1897, with a 46-37 scoreline. It was during the finals series between Geelong and Melbourne, Geelong won 46-37. The first occurrence of the score was in round 9, 1897, when Essendon defeated Collingwood 46-37.
 
Thank you! I went all the way back to 1897. The first non-scorigami in the VFL was in 1897, with a 46-37 scoreline. It was during the finals series between Geelong and Melbourne, Geelong won 46-37. The first occurrence of the score was in round 9, 1897, when Essendon defeated Collingwood 46-37.
interesting concept TGD

Without looking at your data (too small on my screen), for really common AFL score ranges, e.g. both teams scoring between 50-100 in a game, is there any scoreline that has still never occurred?
 
interesting concept TGD

Without looking at your data (too small on my screen), for really common AFL score ranges, e.g. both teams scoring between 50-100 in a game, is there any scoreline that has still never occurred?
67-67, 68-62, 72-62, 80-80, 83-55, 87-54 are amongst a few scorelines that have not happened in any AFL game.

EDIT 30 July 2022 - 84-55 scoreline was recorded for the first time in the Adelaide vs. Carlton match in round 20, 2022.
 
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cool, thanks, still a few left but the modern game is peppering these kind of scorelines

I know it is not correct probability-wise, but the 67-67 and 80-80 will likely be the last to fall in my mind.
Funnily enough, 80-79 is the most common score in history, along with 94-87 (each have happened 13 times). So the most common score is next to a score that hasn't happened before.
 
Funnily enough, 80-79 is the most common score in history, along with 94-87 (each have happened 13 times). So the most common score is next to a score that hasn't happened before.
yeah that kind of goes to my pre-disposition about the particular unlikelihood of draws in our game.

Footy may naturally tend to be a pretty close contest over time, as the commonality of the 94-87 and 80-79 scorelines suggest, but in-game psychology tends to avoid drawn scorelines.

Maybe it's as simply as saying there is no tradition of playing for a draw in our game (as is prevalent in soccer), when the game is close, you either win or you lose in a kamikaze effort to go for the win.
 
The first match after the completion of the scorigami, GWS vs. St. Kilda - there is no scorigami.
The 77-60 scoreline has happened three times before. The first time it happened was in round 13, 1939, when Essendon defeated Melbourne 77-60. The most recent occurrence was in round 4, 1970, when South Melbourne defeated Footscray.

All VFL/AFL matches with 77-60 scorelines:
R13 1939 - Essendon def. Melbourne
R8 1950 - North Melbourne def. Geelong
R4 1970 - South Melbourne def. Footscray
R6 2022 - St. Kilda def. GWS Giants
 
The first match after the completion of the scorigami, GWS vs. St. Kilda - there is no scorigami.
The 77-60 scoreline has happened three times before. The first time it happened was in round 13, 1939, when Essendon defeated Melbourne 77-60. The most recent occurrence was in round 4, 1970, when South Melbourne defeated Footscray.

All VFL/AFL matches with 77-60 scorelines:
R13 1939 - Essendon def. Melbourne
R8 1950 - North Melbourne def. Geelong
R4 1970 - South Melbourne def. Footscray
R6 2022 - St. Kilda def. GWS Giants


Do you run the AFL Scorigami Twitter feed?
 

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Western Bulldogs vs. Adelaide: 62-63.
There is no scorigami. This scoreline has happened seven times before today. The most recent time it happened was in round 9, 1994, when Essendon defeated Carlton.

All VFL/AFL matches with 63-62 scorelines:
R7 1909 - South Melbourne def. Essendon
R16 1915 - Carlton def. Collingwood
R16 1921 - Melbourne def. Fitzroy
R15 1959 - Hawthorn def. South Melbourne
R11 1961 - Fitzroy def. St. Kilda
R13 1992 - Collingwood def. West Coast
R9 1994 - Essendon def. Carlton
R6 2022 - Adelaide def. Western Bulldogs
 
Unfortunately, Fremantle vs. Carlton, North Melbourne vs. Geelong, Gold Coast vs. Brisbane Lions and Richmond vs. Melbourne were not scorigamis.
From now on, I will post when there is a scorigami, and not about the history of that particular score.
 
Whilst I find this interesting I also wonder if applying scorigami to AFL is valid. The creator above mentions that sports where you can score one should be avoided as the one makes it less interesting and more probable. The intricacies of NFL scoring mean scorigami make it what it is. Is that the right take?
 
Whilst I find this interesting I also wonder if applying scorigami to AFL is valid. The creator above mentions that sports where you can score one should be avoided as the one makes it less interesting and more probable. The intricacies of NFL scoring mean scorigami make it what it is. Is that the right take?
As the scores get filled up, applying scorigami can definitely be possible. If it was like 1980s football, scorigamis would be too common. However the football that is played today, there are many rounds that have no scorigamis. The scorigami application happens overtime, and between 2017-2019, about one in six games were scorigamis.

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Credit to the AFL Scorigami on Twitter for this data regarding the total number of scorigamis per season as a column chart.
 

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AFL and AFLW Scorigami

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