If you can get these guys for 40+, why waste early picks on them? We haven’t had high picks for ages and to win flags you need difference makers who are usually in the top 5-10 picks.
So instead we pick high risk high reward types like Bolton, Balta, RCD, Dow etc… if they bust well that’s fine because we can still fill out 10-22 players with late picks and rookies, such as Graham, Ross, baker, Pickett, broad, etc… but finding those 1-5 players is the hardest part and the percentages suggest the closer you are to the top the better your chances.
I love our strategy, and I think our club has learnt from mistakes really well, like Lennon and Ellis, where we changed tack and only really picked one non athlete since in Higgins.
