Recruiting AFL Draft Watch 2024 - What do we do, we don't have a top 10 pick?

[eaglevision]

Yeah it’s 3 2nd round picks and a 3rd for 3 2nd round picks + future 3rd. So fairly even value all things considered. In terms of dodging a bid it’s decent value.

I think it falls short of what you’d expect if you traded 28 and 31 separately. Each of those picks would be worth a F2 + something else.

I agree with you if you traded them independently you’d get more in terms of future picks but you wouldn’t get back into the draft at 26 this year. Not much point sliding it to 45 etc because that would be used up in the Kako match anyway.

26 over F2 is advantageous aswell

The issue is relying on them doing that deal later on post bid

There is absolutely no way we screw you guys over, it would be agreed upon like we did for the Swans before they changed the rules. We don’t operate that way and certainly not to Matt Rosa. We gave Richmond pick 14 for Baker FFS because one f**kwit made them a promise.

 

[Keystone agony]

Yeah but surely they are worth F2 and a pick this year say 45 or later each. You just want a 2 for 1 opportunity at the very least.

Absolutely

We should be eyeing Norths F2, eagles F2 may well be better though aswell

 

[brutus76]

2026 the Visentini brothers rotating Ruck and FF suits me

 

[jdstorm]

I agree with you if you traded them independently you’d get more in terms of future picks but you wouldn’t get back into the draft at 26 this year. Not much point sliding it to 45 etc because that would be used up in the Kako match anyway.

Let’s break this down a bit further

So the value essendon is receiving is this trading up 2 spots (28-26), trading 31 for a future eagles 2nd (seems fair) trading a future Essendon 2nd for a future Hawks 2nd (bad value) and trading 45 for a future Hawks 3rd ( could be fair depending on draft depth + total F/S and NGA players) + skipping Kako bid.

Overall I’d say the trade has a fairly neutral value for both teams. It’s reasonably fair and could easily get done.

I think the question for Essendon is do they think it’s worth having 1 pick (26) or would they rather take 3-4 players in the 40s and play the odds that one of those 3 is better then the player they would have gotten at 26 while banking future 2nds (who’s value will be higher next year with the points curve changing)

The upside of having multiple picks in the 40s/50s is some will get used on matching Kako but others will move up a few spots as picks start being absorbed by bids and they could move up 5-10 spots

I think it’s a tricky decision and a lot will depend on where Kako falls to and how much he will cost in points

 

[ant555]

https://www.sen.com.au/news/2024/10...-draft-the-key-aspect-of-this-years-national/

 

[ant555]

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/dr...s/news-story/3e3909b5ec637e92aeeae8ce440315a6