AFL R10

[Hitout1]

couldve hedged bets both ways so many times.

10 mins ago collingwood paying $2.80
2 mins ago eagles paying $3.80

hindsights a bitch

 

[Keystone agony]

After having a pretty poor Friday ive had a huge Saturday, barely got any wrong apart from my bets on GWS at value and J.Elliot long shot with small odds.

fyi griffen 30+ disposals - $8.50
on sportsbet pick your own dispoal

Cheers great odds, im on that. Considering other agencies have his line at 27.5/26.5 its massive value against a side that doesnt tag.

Has been hard tagged the last 3 weeks

 

[happy punter]

Power -12.5 over Hawks (1 unit)

 

[Keystone agony]

banana_bus
Similar bet to what you were looking for before if your keen. I like it especially considering Danger will get tagged hard from the blues.
S.Thompson vs M.Murphy DT H2H (Thompson paying $1.90)
M.Murphy Kerridge tag. ST probably H2H with a Gibbs or another midfielder.

 

[Anzac16]

1U - Collingwood HT/FT @ $1.72 (Betstar)
1U - Collingwood vs West Coast Under 167.5 @ $1.90 (Centrebet)

What a shit day so far.

RTD 2-0-5, -3.48U

 

[Wes Tiger]

couldve hedged bets both ways so many times.

10 mins ago collingwood paying $2.80
2 mins ago eagles paying $3.80

hindsights a bitch

Learn from it. Sometimes it goes your way, sometimes it doesnt. When wce were 3 goals up, pies were 4.40. I would have got on but couldnt. Missed opportunity. Yeah I'm pissed, but like you we all go through these things and that is the punt. Lets move on and WAIT for the next good opportunity when we're thinking clearly

 

[Anzac16]

Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn

3U - Port -12.5 @ $2 (Betstar)
1U - Lewis > Burgoyne DT @ $1.87 (Bet 365)
1U - Schultz 2.5+ Goals @ $2.25 (Luxbet)
.25U - Matt White FGS @ $16 (Sportsbet)

 

[Keystone agony]

1.2U K.Cornes Under 110.5 @1.75 (bet365)
Decides to chase the middle not expecting the night game to produce big scores especially for Kane

 

[laam]

fyi griffen 30+ disposals - $8.50
on sportsbet pick your own dispoal

2u griffen > 29.5 disp @ 8.5
6u griffen > 24.5 disp @ 2.45
5u griffen < 26.5 disp @ 2.08

crazy odds! great find

 

[Anzac16]

2u griffen > 29.5 disp @ 8.5
6u griffen > 24.5 disp @ 2.45
5u griffen < 26.5 disp @ 2.08

crazy odds! great find

Wow going crazy on Griffen!! Best of luck

 

[Keystone agony]

Anyone think Beams 30 possessions and 2 goals $4.00 (@IAS) is any good?

Wish I did this

 

[Degen_Punter]

plus a 4u live bet on the line -101.5 Richmond 1.90

luckly I did the live bet could of ended horribly
-2.4U

You absolute degenerate lol. Welcome to my world. Imagine if conca doesn't snap that goal ang GWS get a garbage time goal. AFL has totally killed me this year.

 

[Keystone agony]

2u griffen > 29.5 disp @ 8.5
6u griffen > 24.5 disp @ 2.45
5u griffen < 26.5 disp @ 2.08

crazy odds! great find

Shit good luck. I hope you havnt put too many eggs in one basket.

Thought you were on the under 93.5DT?

 

[laam]

Shit good luck. I hope you havnt put too many eggs in one basket.

Thought you were on the under 93.5DT?

Yeah I am lol. But those odds were stupid. Worst case he gets under 25 and I lose 2-3u bit otherwise do well.
The middle mean it's not as risky as it looks with no of units

 

[boyOboy]

0.5U Priddis v Shuey SC @ 1.65

RTD 2-0-3 -1.97U

My bets for this game are still on.

0.5U Burgoyne v Birchall DT @ 1.75
0.5U Lewis v Hartlett DT @ 1.75

At half time, Birchall leads Burgoyne by 13pts, which is retrievable, and Lewis leads Hartlett by 37... so unless Hartlett has a big second half I should have that one sown up already.

Thanks always to foxy_dal

 

[bombers21]

Live Bet

1.5 units Hawthorn $2.90

Hawthorn are good odds and have the momentum now

 

[bombers21]

Live Bet

1.5 units Hawthorn $2.90

Hawthorn are good odds and have the momentum now

I read this one wrong

 

[Anzac16]

Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn

3U - Port -12.5 @ $2 (Betstar)
1U - Lewis > Burgoyne DT @ $1.87 (Bet 365)
1U - Schultz 2.5+ Goals @ $2.25 (Luxbet)
.25U - Matt White FGS @ $16 (Sportsbet)

So nervous towards the end there. Thank **** they held on to that line. Port holding onto this weekend for me.

RTD 4-0-6, -0.86U

 

[matty lloyd the champ]

Burgoyne kicks two in two minutes and he beats 95.5 DT points. FFS!!!

 

[boyOboy]

A big last five minutes from Burgoyne won it for me. I was sweating that out

0.5U Burgoyne v Birchall DT @ 1.75
0.5U Lewis v Hartlett DT @ 1.75

RTD 4-0-3 -0.922U

Making a good recovery for what started as a bad round.

EDIT - can't calculate for shit

 

[Keystone agony]

Burgoyne kicks two in two minutes and he beats 95.5 DT points. FFS!!!

Where was this line?

 

[Willzzz]

Great Day!
Shame WCE couldn't hold on but everything else pretty much came off for me.

 

[happy punter]

Cats -10.5 over Kangaroos @ 1.92 (2 units)

Quite keen on the Eagles later this afternoon.

Eagles +19.5 over Magpies @ 1.95 (3 units)
Eagles over Magpies @ 3.42 (1 unit)

Power -12.5 over Hawks (1 unit)

3-1 +4.55

Overall 42-30 +29.42

 

[Keystone agony]

DT Bets and more
1U Pendlebury over 110.5 @1.87 (IAS)
Avg over this so far this year and im expecting the pies mids to win the game for the pies and dominate, he may get the s.slwood tag but hes hardy been keeping players down and pendles is one the hardest to tag behind ablett. I reckon there will be a few 120+ pie mid scores.

1U K.Simpson under 103.5 @1.87 (Lux)
Seems a huge line, has only covered 3/8 this year and 1/4 @MCG. Avgs 100 this year.

1.5U Dangerfield over M.Murphy @1.85 (IAS)
M.Murphy will cop the hard Kerridge tag. Kerridge has been one of the best taggers this year. Dangerfield has also gone 4 out of his 4 100+
2.5U M.Murphy under 103.5 @1.87 (Lux)
Read above, kerridge tag

1U B.Harvey under 102.5 @1.87 (Lux)
Guthrie will get the job and i expect him to do well. Quite a high line for Boomer and i think its mainly due to his 144 last week. Skilled stadium i dont think will suit boomer like ES does or would
1U M.Stokes over B.Harvey @1.87 (BET365)
Stokes to play more midfield without SJ. Harvey to get Guthrie tag.

0.5U J.Selwood to win fantasy group (Lux) @6.50
Should have a very good game against North who dont tag
0.5U J.Selwood to win disposal group (Lux) @6.00
Read above
1U J.Selwood over 106.5 DT (BET365) @1.85
1U J.Selwood 30+ disposals @3.00 (TW)

1.5U L.Shuey under 23.5 disposals (Lux) @1.87
Macaffer tag
1U L.Shuey under 88.5 (Lux) @1.87
Macaffer tag
1U Masten over Shuey @1.80 (bet365)
Shuey to get Macaffer tag I reckon

1U K.Cornes Over 104.5 (Lux) @1.87
Avg 110 this year and avg 127 at the Adelaide oval this year
1.2U K.Cornes Under 110.5 @1.75 (Bet365)
Going for the middle, expecting the night mqtch to maybe be low scoring against the hawks
1U R.Griffen over 93.5 @1.87 (Lux)
GC dont tag and he is starting to his straps the last few weeks
0.5U Griffen 30 posses+ @8.50 (IAS)

1.5U Deledio over 24.5 disposals (Lux) @1.87
GWS havnt been tagging and Deledio is just getting back to his best, im pretty confident with this one against a weak side. Also in his 200th game.

1U J.Schulz over 2.5 Goals @2.25 (Lux)
Against a side without Lake and Gibson he will have a pretty easy defender and i expect Port to win. Also really like the value.

1U Cameron under 2.5 goals @2.00
I feel he will play back. Frost and N.Haynes are out and hes been named down back I think hes a good chance to play there

1U J.Riewoldt over 2.5 Goals @2.35 (Lux)
Against GWS who let J.J.Kennedy kick 11 goals. Good value aswell. Is paying just 5 to kick the most goals of anyone this week.

0.5U J.Ziebell over 21.5 disposals @1.87 (Lux)
Has had well over this in his last 2 weeks and is only building up his fitness. Likes playing geelong and i think will like it at skilled in a tight close congested game.
0.2U Ziebell most disposals @23.00 group (Lux)
Value and read above. 30 may be enough to win this.
0.2U Elliot MGS @8 (Came 2nd - 1 off)

RTD (DT Bets and more)

+3.305 Units



Still waiting for a long odd bet to come in. I feel Ryan Griffen 30+ disposals could be the one. 0-4 (in long shot bets). Still another successful week potentially looming. I like my remaining bets aswell. Expecting Murphy to slightly struggle with a Kerridge tag (which is almost certain). Griffen at amazing odds for 30+ disposals and K.Simpson's line is extremely high similar to what they had Hodge at 104.5 this week - Wish i got on that one aswell.

 

[Willzzz]

2u griffen > 29.5 disp @ 8.5
6u griffen > 24.5 disp @ 2.45
5u griffen < 26.5 disp @ 2.08

crazy odds! great find

Where is the Griffen > 24.5 Disposals @ $2.45?
The Griffen 30+ Disposals has come all the way into $4.50 now, shame I wasn't round to get on.