AFL R11

[Keystone agony]

I really like the look of Hawthorn for highest scoring team of the round at $2. Even with their injuries it seems like money for jam. Excluding round 9 when both Hawthorn and GWS had their bye, the last 3 'winners' in this category have been Hawks (v StK), WC (v GWS) and Rich (v GWS).

Also, might have a small nibble on each of GWS ($4), Bulldogs ($6) and Brisbane ($8) for lowest scoring team.

Really like this. I cant see the lowest scoreing team coming from outside the 5 they have listed as favourites and really really like Brisbane as lowest scoreing team at those odds. Is there a way to bet GWS (4), Saints (5.5), Dogs (6), Melb (6), Bris (8) and make a profit no matter which one scores the lease amount of points?

Also does anyone else outside sportsbet/IAS do this special? maybe different odds elsewhere?

I came here to say the exact same thing. $2 is great value I recon. It's been a long time since we lost 2 games in a row. Ruffy back this week. Could get very ugly.

You just did, didnt you? Hawthorn havnt won for 3 weeks now.

 

[BloodRet]

Just placed a 5-leg multi.

Sydney over 15.5 pts
GC over 15.5 pts
Essendon vs Richmond under 172.5
Freo win
Port over 15.5

Thought I'd give it a go with a return of $72 on a $3.70 stake

 

[BloodRet]

Also like GWS as lowest scoring team @ 4.00

Not sure about Hawthorn being the highest scoring team with the wet weather forecasted for Sunday.

 

[BloodRet]

Also like GWS as lowest scoring team @ 4.00
Not sure about Hawthorn being the highest scoring team with the wet weather forecasted for Sunday.

This week's looks fairly solid betting wise. Let's hope we don't get screwed again by bogus upsets

Collingwood over 15.5
Port over 15.5
Freo over 15.5
Hawthorn 40+

$2.27

Tailed. All certainties. Getting mine on sportsbet at 2.44

 

[coach31]

Also like GWS as lowest scoring team @ 4.00
Not sure about Hawthorn being the highest scoring team with the wet weather forecasted for Sunday.


Tailed. All certainties. Getting mine on sportsbet at 2.44

I'm liking this one as well. It's paying 2.84 at Ladbrokes.

Also did anyone else see Luxbet's player exotic markets today?
I saw them come out and got Ablett Over 106.5 DT points at 1.87! They were taken down shortly after that and haven't been put up again

 

[coach31]

if you thinks the hawks will win by 100, $3.50 at -99.5 line from sportsbet

Just saw this is 4.90 on Ladbrokes. Pretty good value I think. A few showers are forecast for Sunday in Melbourne but I think they're still a chance to do it, especially coming off two losses.

 

[TheKanga]

Geelong H2H - 2u @ 2.45 (sportsbet)

 

[Keystone agony]

I'm liking this one as well. It's paying 2.84 at Ladbrokes.

Also did anyone else see Luxbet's player exotic markets today?
I saw them come out and got Ablett Over 106.5 DT points at 1.87! They were taken down shortly after that and haven't been put up again

Luxbet had exotics up on a monday? bullshit ha

 

[Keystone agony]

Also like GWS as lowest scoring team @ 4.00
Not sure about Hawthorn being the highest scoring team with the wet weather forecasted for Sunday.


Tailed. All certainties. Getting mine on sportsbet at 2.44

Why dont you sell the xbox and what ever you get in return put it on the 2.44 if they are certainties

 

[Jay-Z]

Really like this. I cant see the lowest scoreing team coming from outside the 5 they have listed as favourites and really really like Brisbane as lowest scoreing team at those odds. Is there a way to bet GWS (4), Saints (5.5), Dogs (6), Melb (6), Bris (8) and make a profit no matter which one scores the lease amount of points?

I'm sure there are better/more complicated ways of doing what you're talking about and making a profit but you could replace GWS with the Haw/GWS high-low double ($8) and then you would be able to put 1u on each and you'd make a profit so long as one of the 5 got up

 

[iluvparis]

Really like this. I cant see the lowest scoreing team coming from outside the 5 they have listed as favourites and really really like Brisbane as lowest scoreing team at those odds. Is there a way to bet GWS (4), Saints (5.5), Dogs (6), Melb (6), Bris (8) and make a profit no matter which one scores the lease amount of points?

Also does anyone else outside sportsbet/IAS do this special? maybe different odds elsewhere?



You just did, didnt you? Hawthorn havnt won for 3 weeks now.

Yes - but they cover 90% of the market so the profit will be tiny. If you bet $100 in total you can guarantee $10 profit.

$28 on GWS
$20 on Saints
$19 on Dogs
$19 on Melb
$14 on Brisbane

Can work out things like that using this link:

http://www.progroupracing.com.au/race-betting-tools/dutch-betting-calculator

 

[ricardogp]

Don't forget, you could still lose.

Sent from my HTC One S using Tapatalk

 

[alex mcanulty]

Yes - but they cover 90% of the market so the profit will be tiny. If you bet $100 in total you can guarantee $10 profit.

$28 on GWS
$20 on Saints
$19 on Dogs
$19 on Melb
$14 on Brisbane

Can work out things like that using this link:

http://www.progroupracing.com.au/race-betting-tools/dutch-betting-calculator

Almost not even worth it for such a little gain

 

[boyOboy]

Got this feeling Sydney could lose on Thursday. I would even maybe look at the $11.00 for Geelong 40+ as an option

When the market opens up, I'm gonna chuck a lot of money on West Coast's midfield. Priddis is in ripping form and I just saw some numbers showing that North can't tag their opposition. The likes of Priddis, Shuey, Masten and Gaff could run rampant. Might be some value on them in 30+ disposals markets.

 

[hayes]

Also like GWS as lowest scoring team @ 4.00

Not sure about Hawthorn being the highest scoring team with the wet weather forecasted for Sunday.

Unfortunately for the Saints the wet didn't seem to bother the Hawks, that's when they really put us to the sword.

Bulldogs have struggled to score and are playing Freo this week. Not sure what the odds are yet but could be some value there.

 

[TheKanga]

Anyone else feel Sydney could come out sluggish after the bye?

 

[hayes]

Anyone else feel Sydney could come out sluggish after the bye?

Definitely, seen a few examples of it. Geelong and Collingwood couple of weeks ago and only makes it worse if you're playing a quality team.

 

[Wes Tiger]

Swans will not lose to Geelong this Thursday night. They most certainly can as the cats are a powerhouse, but they won't.

 

[Wes Tiger]

Got this feeling Sydney could lose on Thursday. I would even maybe look at the $11.00 for Geelong 40+ as an option

When the market opens up, I'm gonna chuck a lot of money on West Coast's midfield. Priddis is in ripping form and I just saw some numbers showing that North can't tag their opposition. The likes of Priddis, Shuey, Masten and Gaff could run rampant. Might be some value on them in 30+ disposals markets.

No chance 40+. Swans will win outright. Don't bet on the cats. Even last year when they were still going well they dropped games to the crows and lions when they had significant leads. Beat the swans is the same game last year but the swans take this one.

 

[TheKanga]

You are probably right Wes, i figured with Geelong's strong 1st qtrs and sportsbets promo it was worth a punt.
Geelong are champs can't write them off.

 

[Keystone agony]

Swans will not lose to Geelong this Thursday night.

Then this

They most certainly can as the cats are a powerhouse,

hmmmmm

 

[Keystone agony]

Syndey have only had a 12 day break and came back from melbourne. Hasnt been the traditional 15 day break like most clubs have had over the byes. Geelong backing up on continuous 6 day breaks against good opposition and flying all over the country. Sydney could bolster there side with the likes of T.Mitchell, Pyke and Mcglynn (If they can fit them in).

Im sort of hopeing Sydney push out to 1.70 so i can get on.

 

[banana_bus]

Swans Cats is a 50/50 game.

 

[BloodRet]

Anyone else feel Sydney could come out sluggish after the bye?

Could be. We were sluggish after last years bye, coming off a scary win against Adelaide and then going down to Port.

 

[bruceharmes]

Carlton line at 16.5 is gift from TAB !!