AFL R11

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You say that like it's a good thing for wines. Melbourne have been defensively very good in the past 4-5 weeks, they definitely aren't the Melbourne of 2013
Thats a great point

Pass, Melbourne don't give up much ball. Specifically 16th for opposition handballs.
Where he has gone over has come against Brisbane (1st opposition handball), Fremantle (3rd) & Geelong (9th).

However agree with every one of your opinions on the match & team totals.

Yep avoid that one i agree with now.

Maybe Birchall 14 kicks and 14 handballs vs GWS but he could even get tagged.
 

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Quick question - is the Sportsbet special for this weekend only for your first bet?

Or can you back multiple matches?

Ive already backed the Crows (although I did it before the offer came out - maybe I wont be eligible).

Thinking of taking North, Richmond and Geelong as well with that offer, think all 3 of those are overs.
 
Sydney under 39.5
Essendon -8.5
Carlton -16.5

Easy 3 leg multi paying 7.40 on TAB. Anyone else on it?
 
Sydney under 39.5
Essendon -8.5
Carlton -16.5

Easy 3 leg multi paying 7.40 on TAB. Anyone else on it?
Don't trust Essendon but will have 0.5 units on something very similar:
Sydney under 39.5
Carlton -16.5
WC -2.5 Qtr Time Line
@ 8.02 (Sportsbet)
 
Quick question - is the Sportsbet special for this weekend only for your first bet?

Or can you back multiple matches?

Ive already backed the Crows (although I did it before the offer came out - maybe I wont be eligible).

Thinking of taking North, Richmond and Geelong as well with that offer, think all 3 of those are overs.
its for all matches during the weekend

i'm pretty sure that you would still be eligible for the promo even if you placed your bet before it came out. just give them a quick call
 
Someone posted this on the Swans Board in regards to Sydney's form after the bye so thought I would share here;

So I thought, how have we gone in recent years going into & coming out of the bye.

Starting from 2011 when the bye's were first introduced, although not in the current structure, everyone had 2 bye's that year.

2011

First bye was Round 5
Form leading into bye was WWL
Coming out of bye was LWW

Second bye was Round 19
Form leading into bye was WLW
Coming out of bye was LLW

2012

Bye Round 10
Form leading into bye was LWW
Coming out of bye was WWW

2013
Bye Round 12
Form leading into bye was WWW
Coming out of bye was LWW

I think our form regarding the bye has improved slightly. The most encouraging fact was that in 2012 (our premiership year) we beat Essendon leading into the bye at Docklands & beat Geelong after the bye at the SCG.

What I take from that is since it was introduced Sydney have lost every game coming out of the bye except for one (against Geelong). BUT that year Geelong had the bye the same week as us, where as this year they had a nice tune up at home last week.

I would be careful throwing money at the Swans this week. Not sure if Tiger Wes is a Swans supporter alias but his incessant telling everyone how they are definitely going to win is making me feel less and less confident about it.

Don't get me wrong I think Sydney can do it and I hope they do, but Geelong are overs - its 50 50.
 

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I dont really understand SC aswell as others like foxy_dal dal and Willzzz however i have seen a few i dont mind. I do know that they sort of warrant 3300 points each game and it tends to suit players who play in winning games or teams for that given week. I also think its more related on winning clearances, contested posessions, impacting the scoreboard and generally just influence or impact on the game.

So im not betting big but i like
0.5U Barlow over 110.5 SC @1.87 (Sports/IAS)
He scored 112 against Geelong and the only times he has gone unders is on his return from injury. Against the dogs i feel fremantle should win pretty easily so will get more points. Has been improving each week.

0.5U Harvey Under 108.5 SC @1.87 (Sports/IAS)
Is avg 106 so thats already unders. But im expecting the eagles to win and also maybe give him a little bit of attention. He has had 2 huge scores which has really buffeted his avg up. Generally he seems unders that.

Another im looking at is Hodge Under 102.5 he looks sore and played down back against port. I think he will take this game pretty easy, maybe even subbed off early.
 
Cats are absolutely value, the only reason they're not favourites is because of their back-back 6 day breaks.

Another im looking at is Hodge Under 102.5 he looks sore and played down back against port. I think he will take this game pretty easy, maybe even subbed off early.

This looks real good to me. Average of only 88 anyway.
 
Like the Harvey bet and my reasoning is pretty much what you said. Think the line is at least 5 points too high for what his true average will be.

2 units Harvey under 108.5 @ $1.87

Do rate Barlow and like your thinking but I would prefer to see him return to pre injury scores first. Hodge looks a couple of points high as well but concerned as he has GWS.
 
Cats are absolutely value, the only reason they're not favourites is because of their back-back 6 day breaks.



This looks real good to me. Average of only 88 anyway.

One of those games he was subbed off early with injury though Banana bus take that out and his real avg is 97. Still overs but then is he good for another 5-6 points due to a thrashing of GWS? probably.

Im gonna go a bit harder on harvey.

Edit: No i wont both Barlow and Harvey after that have been slashed to 1.65 each haha
 
I'm starting to think it's not worth the effort betting on these prop lines. With constant account restrictions and lines moving so much when one person puts money on it's getting ridiculous. I read that Pinnacle sports is opening an aussie site soon. This could be good as they don't ban people so hopefully they'll have some of these markets.
 
I'm starting to think it's not worth the effort betting on these prop lines. With constant account restrictions and lines moving so much when one person puts money on it's getting ridiculous. I read that Pinnacle sports is opening an aussie site soon. This could be good as they don't ban people so hopefully they'll have some of these markets.
I'm convinced sportsbet and centrebet are having a competition to see who can move their lines faster. It's staggering how quickly their lines/odds change.
 
Quick question - is the Sportsbet special for this weekend only for your first bet?

Or can you back multiple matches?

Ive already backed the Crows (although I did it before the offer came out - maybe I wont be eligible).

Thinking of taking North, Richmond and Geelong as well with that offer, think all 3 of those are overs.

Pretty sure you can get the refund for multiple matches, it's just your first bet on that particular match that is eligible for refund.
 

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AFL R11

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