AFL ROUND 1

[McCauley]

So?

A lot of teams treat it as simply match conditioning and others a time to play around with new gameplans, positions etc... Not many actually take it seriously. Those who do are usually younger sides on the improve trying to get their momentum up heading into the season proper.

Sydney, Hawks and West Coast all had terribly average pre-seasons and are the three favourites for the Flag.

History shows if you make it to the GF you are highly likely to carry that momentum to the season proper and play in the finals.

The Crows won the comp in 12 and missed out by a kick of playing in a GF.

 

[fryzie]

History shows if you make it to the GF you are highly likely to carry that momentum to the season proper and play in the finals.

The Crows won the comp in 12 and missed out by a kick of playing in a GF.

I understand that. But I don't think it's an insightful or helpful stat. It stands to reason that improving teams who take the pre-season competition seriously enough to play off in its Grand Final are in good enough shape to be in the top half of the league come season proper.

What is important is that you don't underestimate teams based on poor showings in the NAB Cup as it's more than likely they weren't too worried about winning games.

 

[Sunny_]

Surprised the Suns have come down as fast as they have with no team announcements yet.

Think they were at $4.00 just a few days ago. Now $3.50.

 

[Wickzki]

Heath Scotland and Bryce Gibbs - Who will get the top supercoach score.

Will bets be refunded?

It's still open and Scotland is not in the team (suspended).

Betting Agency: Sportsbet (http://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/australian-rules/afl-super-coach?LeftNav)

 

[Willzzz]

Season To Date: 2-2 (+1.92U)
Essendon -12.5 @ $4.00 W
Essendon +12.5 @ $1.92 W
West Coast SU @ $1.92 L
West Coast -12.5 @ $3.00 L

This Week:
Richmond -15.5 @ $3.10 (Sportingbet)

 

[jefffff34]

Most goals
Jack Riewoldt $2.40
Robin Nahas $15.00
Shaun Hampson $15.00
Dustin Martin $21.00
Mitch Robinson $26.00
Chris Judd $31.00


First Goal (so far)
Lay Shane Edwards $17.50
Lay Brett Deledio $34.00
Lay Daniel Jackson $50.00

 

[McCauley]

Surprised the Suns have come down as fast as they have with no team announcements yet.

Think they were at $4.00 just a few days ago. Now $3.50.

News floating around that a few Saints players may be out.

 

[Falcons]

2-0
$$$

Port to win @ $2.35

Richmond +4 @ $1.90

Leans:

North Line
Gold Coast Line

 

[Substance]

More round 1 selections

1u GWS lowest score 3.25
1u Sydney highest score 3.50
1u Brisbane highest score 7.00
1u Sydney line -46.5

YTD 1-0 +.92

 

[dacloud]

Carlton now out to 1.84 to the Tigs 2.00. Anyone think this could be even odds by 7:45?

 

[nobulltiger]

Carlton now out to 1.84 to the Tigs 2.00. Anyone think this could be even odds by 7:45?

has just happened. 1.92 each at sportsbet

 

[dacloud]

has just happened. 1.92 each at sportsbet

O_O That was quick.
Well I think its safe to say Richmond will go in as favourites.

 

[laam]

any reason for the odds coming in so much, every year Richmond is hyped for this first game, then Carlton smash them. Anything different this year?

 

[dacloud]

any reason for the odds coming in so much, every year Richmond is hyped for this first game, then Carlton smash them. Anything different this year?

I think there is more confidence around Richmond this season, they SHOULD be coming into a period of success you would think.
Carrazzo missed the final session yesterday and apparently Simpson was seen with a strapped calf this morning, so im not sure if that has cause a few bets on Richmond...

 

[laam]

2u cotchin < 118.5 @ 1.87

big line, not a proven DT super elite. Only the likes of ablett and swan should have lines this high

went 17-5 under this line last year

 

[dacloud]

Richmond 1.86 - Carlton 1.97. First time Richmond have been favourites for this match with the bookies.

 

[sloth6]

Pardon the ignorance, is the BF Betting group (that was on the home page of BF last year) with its bets of the week - mainly line betting happening this year.

They made quite a bit of money in 2012.

 

[daniel_4tw]

On Carlton. This is the same hype we get every single year. Have a look 12 months ago re the hype of Richmond, before they were smashed in Round 1. Again.

 

[dacloud]

On Carlton. This is the same hype we get every single year. Have a look 12 months ago re the hype of Richmond, before they were smashed in Round 1. Again.

Going to put your money where your mouth is? The odds look pretty juicy if you are correct.

 

[daniel_4tw]

Going to put your money where your mouth is? The odds look pretty juicy if you are correct.

I have $50 on them, but took the odds about a month ago. Wish I had waited to bet closer to the game!

 

[dacloud]

I have $50 on them, but took the odds about a month ago. Wish I had waited to bet closer to the game!

If we had won (or even played decent football) the NAB cup grand final you might have been thinking differently...
It funny what 1 preseason game can do to betting confidence and the odds..

 

[daniel_4tw]

If we had won (or even played decent football) the NAB cup grand final you might have been thinking differently...
It funny what 1 preseason game can do to betting confidence and the odds..

That's it.

I put $200 on Brisbane at the same time at $1.85. So you win some/lose some.

 

[Nagoya Roos]

-Carlton under 40
-Brisbane -19.5
-Sydney over 40
-North +13.5
$50 @ 15.53

 

[Coach Bombay]

Brisbane -15.5
Port -15.5
Sydney -15.5
Pies 15.5

@10.976

 

[Tassieboy]

GWS + 69.5 x Geelong + 30.5 - 2.5u @ 1.63