AFL Round 12

[jefffff34]

Gold Coast vs North Melbourne
Most Goals
1 unit - Edwards @ $5.50 @ Sportsbet, Ablett @ $11 @ Sportingbet, Hansen @ $15 @ Centrebet, Lynch @ $34 @ Centrebet

Most Disposals
Group A - Ablett @ $2.80 to beat...Rischitelli, Harbrow, Brennan, A.Swallow, Rawlings, Wells, Harvey
Group B - Adams @ $3.50 to beat...Bock, D.Swallow, Stanley, Harris, Thompson, Ziebell, Firrito

2 units at $9.80

 

[jefffff34]

Geelong vs Hawthorn
Most Goals
2 units - Franklin @ $2.75 @ Sportingbet, Roughead @ $15 @ Centrebet

Most Disposals
Group A - Johnson @ $5.00 to beat...Kelly, Enright, Mackie, Birchall, Suckling, Shiels, Guerra
Group B - Mitchell @ $3.00 to beat...Selwood, Corey, Chapman, Bartel, Sewell, Hodge, Lewis

2 units at $15.00

 

[jefffff34]

Also went Harbrow for more disposals than Harvey @ $2.12

 

[Lensen]

Most Goals tomorrow:

0.5 units Clark @ $41 (Centrebet)

0.34 units Any Other Player @ $13 (Sportsbet) (Riewoldt, McGlynn, Goodes, King, O'Keefe, Nahas, Vickery, Bolton, Reid, Miller, Martin, Kennedy, Seaby, Cotchin, M.White) - Dennis-Lane is the main reason
0.08 units Martin @ $41 (Centrebet)
0.08 units Miller @ $41 (Centrebet)

0.5 units Ballantyne @ $12 (Sportsbet)

 

[jamesmac23]

good start by gold coast...

 

[The_Big_Ship]

good start by gold coast...

sh*thouse. bets lost already...

 

[flylikeaneagle]

I disagree the aim of both the defenders and attackers in one team is to score more points then their opponents. St Kilda is a good example there game plan is not to score as much as possible. when there is 3 minutes left in the second quarter why do player play kick to kick sometimes. They want to control the tempo and momentum of the game in the aim of winning. They want to win they don't care how many points they have or there opponents have as long as they have more points.

On a macroscopic scale yes, on a microscopic scale there is often more to it. Ie. If Geelong were to beat Hawthorn 210-200, the team would be happy with the win, but the defense would most likely be disappointed with their output. Similarly, if they won 35-30, the offense may be disappointed. Teams do go into games with the aim of achieving or preventing a certain score.

What you've said about St Kilda applies to every team in every competition.

 

[baywatch5]

DOUBLE - CATS ML / SWANS ML (x4)
ATS - SUNS +21.5 (x2)
write up @ blog

AFL YTD: 54-42-2 (+32.46 @ 56.2%)

Added Live quarter time ATS - SUNS +24.5 (x3)
(0.3u @ 11.0 @ Sportingbet)

 

[Vince Masuka]

Most Goals tomorrow:

0.34 units Any Other Player @ $13 (Sportsbet) (Riewoldt, McGlynn, Goodes, King, O'Keefe, Nahas, Vickery, Bolton, Reid, Miller, Martin, Kennedy, Seaby, Cotchin, M.White) - Dennis-Lane is the main reason

????

You get all those players listed to be the player to score most goals in the game?

Riewoldt included? And you get $13?

Have I read that right?

 

[Borgsta]

I disagree the aim of both the defenders and attackers in one team is to score more points then their opponents. St Kilda is a good example there game plan is not to score as much as possible. when there is 3 minutes left in the second quarter why do player play kick to kick sometimes. They want to control the tempo and momentum of the game in the aim of winning. They want to win they don't care how many points they have or there opponents have as long as they have more points.

So bet on the unders for Saints games.

 

[Lensen]

????

You get all those players listed to be the player to score most goals in the game?

Riewoldt included? And you get $13?

Have I read that right?

No, they're the blokes listed - i.e. I get everyone else

Including Dennis-Lane

 

[Mudeo]

Jimmy bet gone he looks disinterested

 

[Borgsta]

????

You get all those players listed to be the player to score most goals in the game?

Riewoldt included? And you get $13?

Have I read that right?

you have read it the other way. Those are the main players. any other is the other 30 odd

 

[Vince Masuka]

No, they're the blokes listed - i.e. I get everyone else

Including Dennis-Lane

Lol

you have read it the other way. Those are the main players. any other is the other 30 odd

Thanks fellas, understand it now. My eyes did light up there though!

 

[Resarenco]

On a macroscopic scale yes, on a microscopic scale there is often more to it. Ie. If Geelong were to beat Hawthorn 210-200, the team would be happy with the win, but the defense would most likely be disappointed with their output. Similarly, if they won 35-30, the offense may be disappointed. Teams do go into games with the aim of achieving or preventing a certain score.

What you've said about St Kilda applies to every team in every competition.

actually only one of my sentences was talking about st kilda, which was this one:

St Kilda is a good example there game plan is not to score as much as possible.

perhaps it was badly written sorry about that everything after that was meant generally.

I see what your saying but your talking about things that never happen. If you bring up realistic scores 65-60 or 125-120, no i don't think the winning team will be disappointed by the outcome in terms of there defense or offense. Just because an extra ten goals is kicked against you doesn't mean you defended badly that just what type of game it was (both tactically and how the cookie crumbled)

 

[Walshy_The_Goat]

WCE -7.5/Geelong +29.5/Sydney 1st QTR
$20 @ $3.17

Darling > Tippett DT Points
$20 @ $1.80 (#WINNING)

**LIVE BETS**
WCE (-4.5) 2nd QTR
$15 @ $2.15 (#WINNING)

WCE Kick Over 2.5 Goals, 3rd QTR
$15 @ $2.15 (#NON-WINNING)

WCE Kick Over 2.5 Goals, 4th QTR
$40@ $1.55 (#WINNING)

Also added...

Steve Johnson MGS
$5 @ $6.50

Zac Smith > Bock DT Points
$20 @ $1.70

Geelong 1-19
$5 @ $4.30

Geelong 1-19/Sydney -14.5/Melbourne +29.5
$5 @ $13.21

 

[stuziman]

Nice work WTS!!!

 

[richskee]

Loaded up on Zach Smith over Nathan Bock Dt pts. @ 1.70

Nervous there for a minute.

 

[ManWithNoName]

Am I the only one thinking 20 points is staggeringly low for the line in the Suns game? They've just come back from Perth, the Roos are off a good win and they'll be fired up for Boomer breaking the games record.

Bam. And the dirt is gone.

I need a catch phrase, I'm seriously considering that.

 

[Athomas]

I went North -59.5 @ 5.6

Sigh!

 

[Most Disposals]

bets for 10/06 through 11/06. Including small write up.
parlay 1:
St kilda 1-39 at 2.15
geelong 1-19 at 4.50
g ablett most disposals group a at 2.90
.5 units

st kilda wood over dogs last few meeting. All close. (prelim 1 and 2) all or nothing game =both clubs 100%. St kilda edge out in a close 1. Dogs to many changes. No rythm, no consistency. St kilda not a bad loss to pies. Good form

geelong history edge over hawthorn. All close. This will be low scoring game. Both defence in top form. Hawthorn up for game. Geelong rested players. Fresh. Buddy? Taylor +lonergan good form over buddy.

G ablett v/good last 4 games vs roos (33,27,39,31) starting to heat up in 2011. Regaining form of last few years

parlay 2:
J. Gwilt most disposals group b at 6.00
r douglas most disposals group b at 4.75
geelong- hawthorn either team under 24.5 at 2.05
.4 units

j. Gwilt in solid form (+20 last 4 games). Rises to big occasion (20+ in prelim and gf last year). Playing more game time (ruck vs collingwood). Will be a solid game tonight. Good value at 6.00 in tight game

r douglas in solid form at aami. Not a very strong group. History vs west coast shows + career average. Expect adelaide to get high possesions against westcoast.

Geelong- hawthorn either team under 24.5 see above.

Play of the friday + saturday games: 2units st kilda head to head at 1.53 vs western bulldogs
most disposals play of the frid + sat games: Brendan goddard most disposals group a 1 unit at 15.00 (sporting bet) in to 10.00 now!!!
B.o.l

cashed the parlay 1 (in bold) very lucky with ablett. Its on to tomorrow now. Set up a good betting day for the rest of the weekend:d:d:d

 

[Mudeo]

cashed the parlay 1 (in bold) very lucky with ablett. Its on to tomorrow now. Set up a good betting day for the rest of the weekend:d:d:d

Well done.

Look for Jude tomorrow against Richmond.

 

[laam]

Today a breakever day after a loss on friday night, luckily for the WC in play stuff to get me even.

for tomorrow I'm on

4u carlton more points than cats@ 1.43 (looking good)
2u carlton - 46.5 @1.92
2u freo win @1.87
2u broughton over stanton in DT @ 1.91
2u carlton more goals than behinds @ 2.03
1u swans -5.5 first qtr @ 1.92
2u melbourne more behinds than goals @ 2.55

and have just added the below
1u kennedy over jackson in DT @ 2.12
1u fyfe over stanton and pavlich in DT @ 2.6
2u lower over welsh in DT @ 1.77
1u trenove over ball in DT @ 1.95

 

[Bic]

Centrebet- Dream Team Market

Alan Didak $1.82 vs Nathan Jones $1.97

Alan Didak 2011 AVG 75.3
Nathan Jones 2011 AVG 82.9

 

[laam]

Centrebet- Dream Team Market

Alan Didak $1.82 vs Nathan Jones $1.97

Alan Didak 2011 AVG 75.3
Nathan Jones 2011 AVG 82.9

I marked that as a no play as didak could get more midfield time with collingwoods outs