AFL Round 12

[2real4u]

Any thoughts on the over/under 170.5 in tonights game? I think the under but not as confident as I would like to be! How's the weather there?

 

[5 Bucks]

It's usually pretty good weather under the roof.

 

[Dingster]

I like the Saints 1-39 tonight. It's all or nothing for the Doggies, so I expect them to be competitive, but the Sainters to eek out an ugly win.

 

[Most Disposals]

Bets for 10/06 through 11/06. Including small write up.
Parlay 1:
St Kilda 1-39 at 2.15
Geelong 1-19 at 4.50
G Ablett Most Disposals group A at 2.90
.5 UNITS

ST KILDA WOOD OVER DOGS LAST FEW MEETING. ALL CLOSE. (PRELIM 1 AND 2) ALL OR NOTHING GAME =BOTH CLUBS 100%. ST KILDA EDGE OUT IN A CLOSE 1. DOGS TO MANY CHANGES. NO RYTHM, NO CONSISTENCY. ST KILDA NOT A BAD LOSS TO PIES. GOOD FORM

GEELONG HISTORY EDGE OVER HAWTHORN. ALL CLOSE. THIS WILL BE LOW SCORING GAME. BOTH DEFENCE IN TOP FORM. HAWTHORN UP FOR GAME. GEELONG RESTED PLAYERS. FRESH. BUDDY? TAYLOR +LONERGAN GOOD FORM OVER BUDDY.

G ABLETT V/GOOD LAST 4 GAMES VS ROOS (33,27,39,31) STARTING TO HEAT UP IN 2011. REGAINING FORM OF LAST FEW YEARS

Parlay 2:
J. Gwilt Most Disposals group B at 6.00
R Douglas Most Disposals group B at 4.75
Geelong- Hawthorn either team under 24.5 at 2.05
.4 UNITS

J. GWILT IN SOLID FORM (+20 LAST 4 GAMES). RISES TO BIG OCCASION (20+ IN PRELIM AND GF LAST YEAR). PLAYING MORE GAME TIME (RUCK VS COLLINGWOOD). WILL BE A SOLID GAME TONIGHT. GOOD VALUE AT 6.00 IN TIGHT GAME

R DOUGLAS IN SOLID FORM AT AAMI. NOT A VERY STRONG GROUP. HISTORY VS WEST COAST SHOWS + CAREER AVERAGE. EXPECT ADELAIDE TO GET HIGH POSSESIONS AGAINST WESTCOAST.

GEELONG- HAWTHORN EITHER TEAM UNDER 24.5 SEE ABOVE.

PLAY OF THE FRIDAY + SATURDAY GAMES: 2UNITS ST KILDA HEAD TO HEAD AT 1.53 VS WESTERN BULLDOGS
MOST DISPOSALS PLAY OF THE FRID + SAT GAMES: BRENDAN GODDARD MOST DISPOSALS GROUP A 1 UNIT AT 15.00 (SPORTING BET) IN TO 10.00 NOW!!!
B.O.L

 

[2real4u]

It's usually pretty good weather under the roof.

Haha silly me automatically thinks every game in Melbourne is at the MCG! Ok fair enough on the weather how about the over/under

 

[Ben the Gooner]

I like the Saints 1-39 tonight. It's all or nothing for the Doggies, so I expect them to be competitive, but the Sainters to eek out an ugly win.

Concur with this.

Might have a go at 1-24 if the odds are juicy enough.

 

[jefffff34]

St.Kilda vs Western Bulldogs
Most Goals
2 units - Milne @ $4.75 @ Sportingbet; 1 unit - Giansiracusa @ $9.00 @ Sportingbet, Higgins @ $41.00 @ Centrebet

Most Disposals
Group A - Boyd @ $3.25 to beat...Griffen, Cooney, Cross, Dal Santo, Fisher, Goddard, Armitage
Group B - Gilbert @ $10.00 to beat...Giansiracusa, Ward, Higgins, Murphy, Gwilt, Jones, Ray

$25 free bet @ $32.50

 

[5 Bucks]

Haha silly me automatically thinks every game in Melbourne is at the MCG! Ok fair enough on the weather how about the over/under

I don't like to bet on Bulldogs games, as I am deluded. However, I can't see us kicking much of a score. Giansiracusa is in good form, and Cooney is dangerous as a forward but he isn't fit. Other than that we don't have much. Jones, Sherman, Griffen, Higgins could all kick a couple each though, so who knows? We can usually shut down Milne, but he is in good form. Riewoldt has played up the ground all year so I don't know why it would change now. He's capable of a bag, esp against Williams and Morris who is just too short for him. Stack is rubbish, and will leak goals. But it's St KIlda and they are allergic to score. No Play.

 

[yamahamoto]

either team under 15.5

 

[2real4u]

I don't like to bet on Bulldogs games, as I am deluded. However, I can't see us kicking much of a score. Giansiracusa is in good form, and Cooney is dangerous as a forward but he isn't fit. Other than that we don't have much. Jones, Sherman, Griffen, Higgins could all kick a couple each though, so who knows? We can usually shut down Milne, but he is in good form. Riewoldt has played up the ground all year so I don't know why it would change now. He's capable of a bag, esp against Williams and Morris who is just too short for him. Stack is rubbish, and will leak goals. But it's St KIlda and they are allergic to score. No Play.

Good insight, I've gone the dogs over 39.5 total points at half time, fingers crossed! Just a small bet, had to have something on it to make it exciting

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

Dogs with a 40+ lead at half time?!

 

[Ron]

Dogs with a 40+ lead at half time?!

Total points. Not that hard to figure out what it means.

 

[Demon3]

Dogs with a 40+ lead at half time?!

No Chance, dont bother.

Like Gilbert @ $9.00 Most Poss group B.
Milne most goals is a good bet also.
Reckon Both teams will brake the shackles and score over 170.5pts

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

Total points. Not that hard to figure out what it means.

Haha oops

 

[Amack]

My bet for tonight all.

Tipster: Oracle
Event: St Kilda V Western Bulldogs (ES)
Date of Event: 10-06-2011
Time of Event: 19:40
Sport: AFL
Tip: Daniel Cross to beat Brendon Goddard most match DT points
Odds: $1.95
Units: 3
Sportsbook: Centrebet
Comments: Cross is just crazy consistent. Lets see what Goddard turns

 

[jefffff34]

St.Kilda vs Western Bulldogs
Most Goals
2 units - Milne @ $4.75 @ Sportingbet; 1 unit - Giansiracusa @ $9.00 @ Sportingbet, Higgins @ $41.00 @ Centrebet

Most Disposals
Group A - Boyd @ $3.25 to beat...Griffen, Cooney, Cross, Dal Santo, Fisher, Goddard, Armitage
Group B - Gilbert @ $10.00 to beat...Giansiracusa, Ward, Higgins, Murphy, Gwilt, Jones, Ray

$25 free bet @ $32.50

My free bet is now $25 @ $10.00...

 

[blue_boys]

cooney out for the Dogs

 

[The_Big_Ship]

dogs have blown out to $2.75, wish i'd waited.

 

[TurboBreuster]

A couple of small early plays for me:

0.5U WBD 1st 15 @2.15 (Sportsbet)
It's a pity there is no market for 1st to 10, I'm pretty sure they have been the first to that in every game except against the WCE and Essendon. 2.15 is overs for 1st to 15.

0.3U MEL ML @5.5 (Centrebet)
Should be about 4 imo.

Adding:
0.8U STK 1-39 @2.15 (Sportsbet)
0.7U STK/WBD <172.5 (B365)

 

[Stocks_go_Up]

Bulldogs over 79 points at $1.90

 

[Donkson]

awesome

edit - lol I thought you meant Dogs win by over 79

sigh.

 

[d-mac3276]

There 3 losses up there have been against Geelong, Carlton and Hawks all of whom will occupy the top 4 so you would expect sydney to lose those games given thye are a 6-10 side. When they played a bottom 8 side there in Port they gave them a 10 goal belting, I expect something similar for Richmond.

Yeah and they got slapped in all those games they lost

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

I'm jumping on the overs 170.5

 

[ManWithNoName]

2u Saints wire-to-wire @ $2.38
5u Total score under 170.5 @1.90

Saints straight
Cats 1-24
Blues by >40
Swans straight

2u @ $18.90 (or something like that. Can't remember now and Sportingbet don't show the odds of multis once you've bet on them)

 

[Trojan Pies]

Swallow brothers 50 posessions+ @ $5

Nice promo by Centrebet, and I've taken it - value for mine.

D Swallow averages 19 possies (been 17-21 every game this year) so it's $5 that A Swallow will get 31 possies+ in my eyes and in the form he's in and against Gold Coast I think he will.

****! Where do I find this??? Can't find it!