AFL Round 15

[Jammer]

Been waiting for this match up and think the Hawks are big overs this week.......

Hawks v Cats last 8 meetings..... ( since Cats have been a force )
Geelong have started favs in all 8 and are 0 and 8 in covering the line..
Hawks greatest losing margin being 11 pts.

Will the Cats win? Yes they may ...they are a class unit but its beyond dispute Hawthorn match up well..... Have key players flying are in form and have close to a full list.
Cats will be missing Mooney Stevie J which is a fair bit of firepower.

Geelong have opened at $1.42 on Centrebet which is insane......

It looks like you are going to get around a +15.5 line the Hawks which makes this my first play for about a month.

If you have a betfair account I'd also be pretty sure that the Cats have traded over $2.00 in all those last 8 match ups and would expect them to again this Sat....

GL All

 

[The Sultan]

hawks +15.5 would be sweet..

 

[KardiniaPark]

Get on the Hawks and keep getting on until bounce down!.

 

[KardiniaPark]

HAWKS/Pies/Saints @ $4.20 . Tasty

 

[Chadley]

Bulldogs = Carltons Bunnys

 

[adii_7]

ess/melb

hmmm.. ess over 39.5

 

[KardiniaPark]

ess/melb

hmmm.. Ess over 39.5

rofl

 

[The Royal Sampler]

ess/melb

hmmm.. ess over 39.5

 

[Jan Juc]

If you have a betfair account I'd also be pretty sure that the Cats have traded over $2.00 in all those last 8 match ups and would expect them to again this Sat....

GL All

Betfair Flucs from the R2 match this year:

Opening Quote (GEEL) 1.62/1.64ish, (HAW) 2.56/2.58ish

Geelong (major peaks and troughs) -

2.00 @ 14:19
3.00 @ 14:30
2.10 @ 14:43
3.20 @ 15:34
2.00 @ 16:27
4.00 @ 16:34
1.01 @ 16:43

 

[uptheblues]

Bulldogs = Carltons Bunnys

This the 2.50 is looking good value

 

[Jammer]

Thanks Jan Juc..... Yep remember the game well hope you made a dollar too.

This is not on knock on the Cats as i believe a wet MCG and St.kilda
are the only thing that MIGHT beat them.

Just think Hawks are in a great spot here and see that centrebet have posted the line at +18.5 which i think is huge...

 

[McCrann]

Been waiting for this match up and think the Hawks are big overs this week.......

Hawks v Cats last 8 meetings..... ( since Cats have been a force )
Geelong have started favs in all 8 and are 0 and 8 in covering the line..
Hawks greatest losing margin being 11 pts.

Will the Cats win? Yes they may ...they are a class unit but its beyond dispute Hawthorn match up well..... Have key players flying are in form and have close to a full list.
Cats will be missing Mooney Stevie J which is a fair bit of firepower.

Geelong have opened at $1.42 on Centrebet which is insane......

It looks like you are going to get around a +15.5 line the Hawks which makes this my first play for about a month.

If you have a betfair account I'd also be pretty sure that the Cats have traded over $2.00 in all those last 8 match ups and would expect them to again this Sat....

GL All

Hawks are overrated rubbish. Who have they beaten this year?

Got pantsed by Collingwood.

 

[Jammer]

I take it you do understand the concept of +18.5 McCrann???

 

[Pelkanet]

Interesting -> Essendon $1.93 @ Centrebet - $1.84 @ Sportsbet

 

[Dime]

Early thought of a multi something like this

Hawks +39.5
Freo +24.5
North +39.5
Dogs +24.5
@ 2.35

Will have to look into the history of the North/Swans matchups at the SCG but surely the Roos will fire up after this weeks effort. The Swans haven't really smashed anyone for a while.

There is definitely some huge value around this week.

 

[McCrann]

I take it you do understand the concept of +18.5 McCrann???

Very familiar thanks Jammer. Good luck.

 

[adii_7]

Early thought of a multi something like this

Hawks +39.5
Freo +24.5
North +39.5
Dogs +24.5
@ 2.35

Will have to look into the history of the North/Swans matchups at the SCG but surely the Roos will fire up after this weeks effort. The Swans haven't really smashed anyone for a while.

There is definitely some huge value around this week.

only certainty imo

 

[maxlad]

18 point line for hawks =] on centrebet

 

[soho]

collingwood straight
saints straight
$5k @ $1.40


hawks look tasty
possibly even west coast with the line
bulldogs wont lose to the blues

 

[mike262]

anyone like west coast at 2.65?

They are at home and its not like adelaide are a top 8 team

 

[Cuzz09]

anyone like west coast at 2.65?

They are at home and its not like adelaide are a top 8 team

We'll stay with them for a half (like the doggies game) but they will run over us in the end.

Adelaide will win.

I think Adelaide 1-39 is a sure thing.

 

[soho]

adelaide have been fairly terrible this year
there is also the subiaco factor

west coast with the line...

 

[Lakey91]

Really not sure what to make of it all this early in the week - looks to be a tough round where a lot of games could go either way. Only certainties I would say are Collingwood and probably saints, though you could argue for adelaide as well.

 

[dUkezz]

tipping the eagles comfortably

 

[DT_35]

Collingwood at $1.15
Geelong/Hawthorn, either under 39.5, will be around $1.25
Adelaide/West Coast is an interesting one given the home ground adv, staying away
St.Kilda at $1.22
Richmond/Fremantle, Don't like betting on either team, will stay away.
Sydney at $1.44. They will be fired up, and at the SCG think they will win.
Melbourne/Essendon, Wouldn't have a clue. Staying away
Carlton/Western Bulldogs, Carlton are their bogey side, but Dogs are in form and will win, at $1.50