Well Morris in backline is a certainty so he will replace either Milburn or Harley.
Selwood won't be there Black or Thompson in there.
Johnson not in either, Medhurst, Murphy, Pavlich or Riewoldt there.
Rest will get in, Ling is a maybe though.
I think you are wrong on Selwood, he has been one of the best midfielders in the league the second half of the season, I dont think he is a certaintly but he is definately in contention for a spot in the team, has averaged around 30 possesions a game the second half of the year, he has been brilliant.
Steve Johnson is no certainty either but he is a very big chance as well, has been named in contention by some experts to be All australian again, Luke Darcy had him in his all australian side when he said it on radio a week or two ago.