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old men who arent going for re-election
i'm not acquainted with the level of integration that you have had with israeli society. However, the existence of the Hannibal directive indicates that some things in israel are unique to israel. On the first day of this current war, israel targetted people leaving the scene of the hamas killings. In many cases, the IDF did not know whether or not the people that it was shooting at were palestinians or were hostages being taken away. The post-incident videos of the areas where hamas killed israelis and took hostages, showed houses that were destroyed by the IDF tanks, sometimes with people inside. Israelis there at the time complained that the IDF shot into houses without knowing who was inside.
There are other examples and I'm not an expert and you have access to mossad intelligence and i'm sure you're well aware of the hannibal directive. This directive indicates to me that the return of the hostages is not the sole reason why gaza has been levelled.
It would appear that Hamas has targetted the sole "weakness" in the israeli approach to the palestinians. Up until this stage, Israel has had every base covered. Greater weapons, alliances, propaganda, control of US representatives, use of the unhinged support of evangelicals.....the list goes on. The Israelis have the palestinians caught like a mouse by a cat. There is no escape. There is no chance to live outside the yoke of jewish israeli domination. However, hamas believed that if it could sacrifice palestinians, it could win a PR war. It took hostages for two reasons, I believe. First, it wanted a win against the israelis. Any sort of win. It wanted to do something that annoyed israel, where it could show israel to be powerless. And the associated reason was that this public powerlessness was not something the israelis could tolerate. It made a commitment post holocaust not to be powerless. It led Israelis into wanting to control everything. It was what hamas believed was a weakness. Coupled with that is the clearly demonstrated israeli need for revenge...also probably something established post holocaust or some might say it is longer term thing. The israeli intolerance of powerlessness and the need for revenge was seen by hamas as a weakness in the israelis that would effectively force them to do things that were strategically unsound in regards to maintaining their outside support base.
Now I'm not saying that hamas is keeping the hostages solely to maintain israeli rage so that it continues to obliterate all palestinians. Hamas also wants a win and hamas was also losing the support of the palestinians before oct 7th. It had to reestablish its relevance. Again, a sober Israel would have seen that. As the cat, it should have been able to counter Hamas without playing into its hands....but israel struck out...just like the US did post 911.... another society that doesnt tolerate powerlessness.
So would the return of the hostages end the war? Obviously not. Israeli need for retribution is still evident in israeli public life. The need to reestablish control wouldnt be sated by a ceasefire. On top of these two factors is the sober calcuated plan to reestablish the promiseland. This goal has become more central to israeli life as more european immigrants come to live as settlers and as the general israeli population has become more right wing. In fact, this trend is evident around the world and in israel, just as in the USA, this trend has brought with it a more "religious" society.
A statement from an israeli about gaza being for the palestinians, is either a strategic lie - dont take that personally - or it is a statement by someone who is increasingly in the minority in israel. I think that the release of the hostages wouldnt result in a ceasefire. If I was in Hamas now, I would think that the die has been caste and the fate of hamas and palestinians are locked in. I read somewhere - probably israeli propaganda - that hamas had budgetted for 200,000 deaths. I think both sides knew that there would be massive deaths subsequen to 7th Oct. I do think that hamas has chosen human sacrifice as the only way to escape its jail and israel has acted as it expected.
It might seem that I think hamas are master manipulators. However, I think it was their only choice and it will eventually end in failure. It will never get its state. For those in hamas who want the eventual destruction of israel, they wont see that either. The cat will eat the mouse in the end.
I must point out that this is an opinion piece. Shalom
Look, as a fortunate, well-educated and privileged Jew/Israeli/Australian I can assure you that real estate only makes up a small part of a well balanced asset/life portfolio.
We value our health, family and life above all material or aspirational possessions.
Gaza belongs to the Palestinians. We'll just have our people back thanks.
i'm not acquainted with the level of integration that you have had with israeli society. However, the existence of the Hannibal directive indicates that some things in israel are unique to israel. On the first day of this current war, israel targetted people leaving the scene of the hamas killings. In many cases, the IDF did not know whether or not the people that it was shooting at were palestinians or were hostages being taken away. The post-incident videos of the areas where hamas killed israelis and took hostages, showed houses that were destroyed by the IDF tanks, sometimes with people inside. Israelis there at the time complained that the IDF shot into houses without knowing who was inside.
There are other examples and I'm not an expert and you have access to mossad intelligence and i'm sure you're well aware of the hannibal directive. This directive indicates to me that the return of the hostages is not the sole reason why gaza has been levelled.
It would appear that Hamas has targetted the sole "weakness" in the israeli approach to the palestinians. Up until this stage, Israel has had every base covered. Greater weapons, alliances, propaganda, control of US representatives, use of the unhinged support of evangelicals.....the list goes on. The Israelis have the palestinians caught like a mouse by a cat. There is no escape. There is no chance to live outside the yoke of jewish israeli domination. However, hamas believed that if it could sacrifice palestinians, it could win a PR war. It took hostages for two reasons, I believe. First, it wanted a win against the israelis. Any sort of win. It wanted to do something that annoyed israel, where it could show israel to be powerless. And the associated reason was that this public powerlessness was not something the israelis could tolerate. It made a commitment post holocaust not to be powerless. It led Israelis into wanting to control everything. It was what hamas believed was a weakness. Coupled with that is the clearly demonstrated israeli need for revenge...also probably something established post holocaust or some might say it is longer term thing. The israeli intolerance of powerlessness and the need for revenge was seen by hamas as a weakness in the israelis that would effectively force them to do things that were strategically unsound in regards to maintaining their outside support base.
Now I'm not saying that hamas is keeping the hostages solely to maintain israeli rage so that it continues to obliterate all palestinians. Hamas also wants a win and hamas was also losing the support of the palestinians before oct 7th. It had to reestablish its relevance. Again, a sober Israel would have seen that. As the cat, it should have been able to counter Hamas without playing into its hands....but israel struck out...just like the US did post 911.... another society that doesnt tolerate powerlessness.
So would the return of the hostages end the war? Obviously not. Israeli need for retribution is still evident in israeli public life. The need to reestablish control wouldnt be sated by a ceasefire. On top of these two factors is the sober calcuated plan to reestablish the promiseland. This goal has become more central to israeli life as more european immigrants come to live as settlers and as the general israeli population has become more right wing. In fact, this trend is evident around the world and in israel, just as in the USA, this trend has brought with it a more "religious" society.
A statement from an israeli about gaza being for the palestinians, is either a strategic lie - dont take that personally - or it is a statement by someone who is increasingly in the minority in israel. I think that the release of the hostages wouldnt result in a ceasefire. If I was in Hamas now, I would think that the die has been caste and the fate of hamas and palestinians are locked in. I read somewhere - probably israeli propaganda - that hamas had budgetted for 200,000 deaths. I think both sides knew that there would be massive deaths subsequen to 7th Oct. I do think that hamas has chosen human sacrifice as the only way to escape its jail and israel has acted as it expected.
It might seem that I think hamas are master manipulators. However, I think it was their only choice and it will eventually end in failure. It will never get its state. For those in hamas who want the eventual destruction of israel, they wont see that either. The cat will eat the mouse in the end.
I must point out that this is an opinion piece. Shalom