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Re.
$1,000 Betr payout on Brazil.

Using BF as a guide ($2.84 LAY), the current cash out value on Brazil is about $342.

It's possible I walk away with more than 1k with the strategy I have in mind.
 

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Re.
$1,000 Betr payout on Brazil.

Using BF as a guide ($2.84 LAY), the current cash out value on Brazil is about $342.

It's possible I walk away with more than 1k with the strategy I have in mind.

Which is?
 
Brazil should make light work of Croatia next then Argentina in the semis who have been anything but convincing (if they even get through)

When they're just about a moral to make the final anyone who's jumped at the bonus cash offer already really shouldn't be betting sports
 
Perhaps you could enlighten him then

The irony here is I'm the one who's confused 🤣

I received a notification that someone had quoted my post (it was ILP and will reply after this), and when I clicked on that notification it took me to Kozi's post. I just assumed your response of "you'd lose $290 doing that" was in response to my previous post. Clearly you had quoted a different user's post.

Sorry, I'll run along now.
 

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Re.
$1,000 Betr payout on Brazil.

Using BF as a guide ($2.84 LAY), the current cash out value on Brazil is about $342.

It's possible I walk away with more than 1k with the strategy I have in mind.
Which is?

Assuming Brazil defeats Croatia, this is my strategy.

Approximate SF odds on BF in the win/draw/win market.

Brazil $2.14 v Argentina
Brazil $1.85 v Netherlands

Risking no more than $150, I intend to lay Brazil to win in normal time.

Scenario A
If Brazil win in normal time, I lose $150 but carry $850 into the final.

Scenario B
Brazil are eliminated in the SF. I lose $10 w Betr but I at least make something smallish back from my winning lay bet. I assume this will be somewhere in the vicinity of $130 - $180.

Scenario C
Brazil win in Extra Time / Penalties. I win approx $130 - $180 from my successful lay bet and my $101 futures bet is alive.

Scenario C is obviously the ideal outcome and the reason why this strategy could potentially see me walk away with more than $1k.

If Brazil progress through to the final, I'll use this same method again. If Scenario A occurs, I realise I will have to lay enough on Brazil to win (in normal time) to cover the loss I made ($150) in Scenario A.

If Scenario C occurs, I'll be inclined to lay Brazil to win the final in normal time for a $400 loss. If they win the final in normal time, I'll lose that $400, but make 1k w Betr on top of the money I made from my successful lay bet in the SF.

I estimate if Brazil win both the SF and F in Extra Time / Penalties, this strategy is likely to net me approximately $1,600.

If someone is keen on this method but they're a bit confused, I'm happy to explain this in more detail.
 
How much? They offered $200 bonus cash for France. Argentina I would be tempted to take it if $200+ as they have been poor IMO.

$200:
Follow the steps below before 11.59pm AEDT on Friday 09/12 and you can cash out your bet on Argentina to win the World Cup in the Futures Market for $200 in Bonus Cash and your original $10 stake.

I've done what X_box_X outlined above with futures bets on other tournaments and sports in the past so may employ something similar.
 
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$200:


I've done what X_box_X outlined above with futures bets on other tournaments and sports in the past so may employ something similar.
Yeah, it's becoming a common way to approach a 'hedge'.

I.e.

$10 on Geelong to win the AFL premiership at $101 w Betr

If Geelong make the GF and you decide to 'hedge' your bet, you can place a hedge bet on their opponent at the + handicap. Using this year's GF as an example, you may choose to place $500 on Sydney +11.5 pts at $1.95. A Geelong win by less than 12 pts would see you walk away with a profit of $1,475.

You could employ a similar tactic with Brazil too. The dream scenario here would be them playing Morocco in the final. You'd probably be able to back Morocco +1.5 goals at $1.90 so a Brazil win by one goal would be magic.
 

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