Brownlow Medal 2010 (Part 2)

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Might just get on Swan if he has a big one this week.
Got most of his rivals on around 20ish but reckon if you punt on Swan our getting $4 on him getting the votes he deserves because if he does he really should just win.
 
I'd say Boak is a chance as well, I just have Rodan 2 clear of Cassisi who is 1 clear of Boak/Pearce.

Interestingly comparing some stats:
Cassisi has almost exact same stats as last year with the only noticeable difference being Frees Against which have gone up lots. He did poll all 5 of his votes last year in losses though.

Boak has stats that are a bit better then last year. Interestingly he needed at least 18 kicks or he didn't poll. :p

Rodan has similar stats as well. He really stands out though. Will be interesting to see! I'm a bit worried on Cassisi now, might avoid him.

Roden has only had 20 or more disposals 4 times this year and the game were he kicked 3 goals was a loss to the pies.

Could i see out of interest what games you have him polling in

Boak has had 20 or more in 13 games and has kicked 2 bags of 3. One bag of 3 in a 1 pt loss to Melb and last wends game in a win
 

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Roden has only had 20 or more disposals 4 times this year and the game were he kicked 3 goals was a loss to the pies.

Could i see out of interest what games you have him polling in

Boak has had 20 or more in 13 games and has kicked 2 bags of 3. One bag of 3 in a 1 pt loss to Melb and last wends game in a win

Say he gets the 3 in rd 5 to the Saints then referring to the game were he kicked 3 Swan had 39 possies so Roden may get 1 vote there.

were are the other 6-7 votes coming from
 
Roden has only had 20 or more disposals 4 times this year and the game were he kicked 3 goals was a loss to the pies.

Could i see out of interest what games you have him polling in

Boak has had 20 or more in 13 games and has kicked 2 bags of 3. One bag of 3 in a 1 pt loss to Melb and last wends game in a win

Will put up my breakdown when I get home.

Last year Boak had 20 or more in 12 games as well. He didn't poll that well. Those bags of 3 goals could definitely help him though (Both agaisnt Melbourne!)

As for Rodan, (this is off the top of my head)
Round 5 - 3
Roudn 6 - 1-2 (Set it up in the last q - 3 FF)
Round 11 - 1 (4 FF)
Round 15 - 1-2
Round 17 - ?

Will update with my actual records later.
 
Say he gets the 3 in rd 5 to the Saints then referring to the game were he kicked 3 Swan had 39 possies so Roden may get 1 vote there.

were are the other 6-7 votes coming from

Round 5 - 3 votes
Round 7 - 2 votes
Round 15 - 3 votes

That's where I have him. Rodan and Pearce pulled Essendon to shreds in round 7 and will share the 3 and 2. I personally thought Pearce was a little better.
 
Round 5 - 3 votes
Round 7 - 2 votes
Round 15 - 3 votes

That's where I have him. Rodan and Pearce pulled Essendon to shreds in round 7 and will share the 3 and 2. I personally thought Pearce was a little better.

Round 5 - 3 votes was BOG
Round 7 - I have Rodan on 0 votes
Round 15 - I have Rodan on 2 (they lost to collingwood, Swan will get the 3 for sure, Rodan might not even get the 2 as pendles was awseome.)

Thats 5

Also have him polling in 1 vote in Round 6

Bringing him to 6.
 
Was quietly enjoying my lunch at our local cafe when over wanders our waitress who is every ugly stereotype ever applied to Collingwood fans all wrapped up in one woman. She knows my fiancee is a mad Geelong fan and comes up to me with this smug look and tells me Joel Selwood has been suspended for 5 weeks and will miss all of September - I nearly choked!

A quick flick through the major sites back in the office suggests - as I suspected - that she has absolutely NFI what she's on about and I have no idea where she got it from, does anyone know if there's any news vaguely related to Selwood that would interest Brownlow punters?
 
Round 5 - 3 votes was BOG
Round 7 - I have Rodan on 0 votes
Round 15 - I have Rodan on 2 (they lost to collingwood, Swan will get the 3 for sure, Rodan might not even get the 2 as pendles was awseome.)

Thats 5

Also have him polling in 1 vote in Round 6

Bringing him to 6.

R ok! however rd 6 he had 18 possies with only 5 of them kicks, 1 mark and 2 fa with no goals... i just don't see how he could get any there.

i can't see where dudes have him on 10-11! yeah i think 6 would be more on the mark
 

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I have rodan def polling in rounds 5 against the saints, and 15 against coll however thats pretty much it. A small chance in round 17 against the crows but i have him on 5 at this stage with boak, cassisi and pearce all ahead of him comfortably enough. Port just so hard to pick this year, great value on those 3 but hard to seperate them.
 
I gave 3 Pearce 2 Boak 1 Monfries with Watson, Ryder, Cassisi, Westhoff and Brogan all having good games.

Rodan only had the 19 touches.

I gave Rodan no votes either stats dont mean much though.

I Went:

3. Pearce
2. Kornes (I know he doesnt poll well but i guess he caught my eye)
1. Boak

Monfries a chance to poll the 1.
 
I have rodan def polling in rounds 5 against the saints, and 15 against coll however thats pretty much it. A small chance in round 17 against the crows but i have him on 5 at this stage with boak, cassisi and pearce all ahead of him comfortably enough. Port just so hard to pick this year, great value on those 3 but hard to seperate them.

Agreed Rodan no chance to take our ports most votes.
 
Dont think Rodan is a chance either, I have him on 5. (Cassisi 11, Boak 10)

I'm more interested in the Richmond count, alot of you seem to think Reiwoldt has it in the bag. Just interested as to where you think he will poll? I've got him on 5.

R10 vs Port - 1
R11 vs Stk - 1
R 12 vs Wce - 3
 
Dont think Rodan is a chance either, I have him on 5. (Cassisi 11, Boak 10)

I'm more interested in the Richmond count, alot of you seem to think he has it in the bag. Just interested as to where you think he will poll? I've got him on 5.

R10 vs Port - 1
R11 vs Stk - 1
R 12 vs Wce - 3

Who has it in the bag?
 
Who has it in the bag?

Delidio on 13. Im just concerned reading about his polling history and what alot of you guys have gone for perhaps ive over rated him. Thought he had a 4 or 5 week period (Rounds 10-15) where he will poll exceptionally well.
 
Delidio on 13. Im just concerned reading about his polling history and what alot of you guys have gone for perhaps ive over rated him. Thought he had a 4 or 5 week period (Rounds 10-15) where he will poll exceptionally well.

i thought you ment Jvoldt too! as you say 3 votes against WC. But if you mean Dids then how the hell do you think he is going to get the 3 when Jvoldt kicked 10 goals.... shit my head hurts now
 
i thought you ment Jvoldt too! as you say 3 votes against WC. But if you mean Dids then how the hell do you think he is going to get the 3 when Jvoldt kicked 10 goals.... shit my head hurts now

Yeah sorry mate, meant Reiwoldt. Fixed it up now. Fair to say the responses mean i'm going to stay away from Richmond. :(
 
Nice count.

For Port, I'm 90% sure it will go to Rodan or Cassisi. Theoretically it's $2.50 for either of them to win. Guess not really that much value but I like it.

Thompson/Watson/Goodes/JVolt/Brown are players that should be safe. I've spread my bets out in excel but if either of Thompson/Watson/Goodes lose I barely profit. :eek: I guess they should all win but it's a tad daunting!

Hmmm, I know a lot of people are saying it is too big a risk to use people in 100% of multis but is it?? By putting say Watson in 70-80% of multis, you are giving yourself a hope of winning something, or at least getting something back if he loses. But I have tried a few potential multis, and it seems a lot of trouble including a player in MOST mutlis, and not all of them- it leads to more bets, and less reward; the win wont be as big. So for me, I am probably going to be using Judd/Watson as genuine anchors and putting them in every bet. If both get up, as they most probably should I will be in a great position for the night. I feel as though I have got to take the risk, as small as that is imo, and use the 2 players I feel as most likely, to take out their teams most votes.

After this, I will be using Thompson / Goodes as secondary anchors, and Riewoldt / Brown as just semi anchors. Multi these with your value players, and hopefully you end you end up with $$$$$ :thumbsu:
 
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