Brownlow Medal 2010 (Part 2)

[AG]

Jack has started well again. Goodes looks like he is going to be planted up forward again with White replacing Mumford in the ruck this week. So Goodes might have a quiet game.

 

[twarby]

boyd has started very well

 

[bombersaway]

watson's not playing tonite, that's news to me.

yeah calf hille stanton winders are he's dangers he should win but ithink there is slight risk

 

[chico]

Quarter time - brennan, jack, mcveigh... malceski and mattner have had it a bit too does look like goodes will play most of the game up forward, although if the lions get out by a bit or its close come the last surely roosy will push him in to the square a 15-20 min burst to get them the win could be enough to poll and seal swans most votes

 

[Brownlow King]

2 min mark Q2: Jack on track for 3 I reckon. Sydney votes up in the air now.

 

[s1bbald]

Goodes goals. With his polling history, I see him getting six now! Obviously kidding. I am warming to the idea of Jack winning Sydney's votes, could be the guy who is responsible for my first year of uni being paid!

EDIT: On a not-so-serious note, Stiller and Leuenberger aren't playing badly!

 

[AG]

I've got Watson on 14 and Winderlich is next best on 5. So I've got him as any easy bet. Or have I been generous to him?

Watson, Judd and Hodge are the only certainties imo.

 

[Brownlow King]

I've got Watson on 14 and Winderlich is next best on 5. So I've got him as any easy bet. Or have I been generous to him?

Watson, Judd and Hodge are the only certainties imo.

Watson wins Ess no doubt

 

[chico]

I've got Watson on 14 and Winderlich is next best on 5. So I've got him as any easy bet. Or have I been generous to him?

Watson, Judd and Hodge are the only certainties imo.

I have watson 13, wlich/fletcher 4.

Comfortable win id say.

 

[Brownlow King]

Hodge will be so short that I won't be touching him at all. He's almost 99% sure to win their votes but he doesn't poll as well as he should usually so I don't think it's worth the risk.

I think Thompson is definitely a lock after today, as well.

Judd, Thompson and Watson will be in 70-75% of my multi's. I just wish there was 1-2 others I could be as confident about.

Brown and J Volt are the 2 missing ingredients in your Brownlow cake.

 

[twarby]

Hodge will be so short that I won't be touching him at all. He's almost 99% sure to win their votes but he doesn't poll as well as he should usually so I don't think it's worth the risk.

I think Thompson is definitely a lock after today, as well.

Judd, Thompson and Watson will be in 70-75% of my multi's. I just wish there was 1-2 others I could be as confident about.

a boomer bog
or a jack bag
could become unlikely heros for 70% locks

 

[AjsGuns]

Fingers crossed Goodesy can kick straight tonight and end up with 4-5.

With the way things are going this weekend I'm expecting Boomer to have a shocker tomorrow and Swallow to be BOG.

That would be perfect? Swallow basically = to Harvey according to my tally atm.

 

[Brownlow King]

So Brown, JVolt, Thompson, Watson and Judd are your "A Graders" for your system?



Yeah, definitely. I think they should have it locked up or close to already but fingers crossed those 2 things happen tomorrow.

Yep I'd say that those 5 cld be the anchors. All with some risk which is the prob vs last year.

 

[twarby]

grant, ward, cross, gia and boyd all in contention so far.
boyd just out of votes for mine atm

 

[AjsGuns]

Jack BOG, Goodes 0 votes.

 

[stuziman]

How's jack what a player he is turning into

 

[twarby]

Grant with the 3.. goal on siren for his 6th will get him the bog i think

Cross
Harbrow/Boyd

Jetta extremely good and could easily get the 1 was clearly essendons best and stood out
Ward was almost bog first half but real quiet 2nd half will probably see him not poll. + id say his history isnt flash for votes
Griffin mothballed just after half time and wont poll.

 

[Brownlow King]

Jack BOG, Goodes 0 votes.

I agree, Jack 3 so the Swans a no go zone now.

 

[Notorious_29]

Good result in my opinion. Goodes should become a bit better value now, still has the Sydney votes in the bag IMO.

 

[AG]

I have Jack finishing with four 3 votes in a row. That's Goodes like.

 

[adii_7]

jack BOG for sure, goodes danger now

 

[AjsGuns]

Good result in my opinion. Goodes should become a bit better value now, still has the Sydney votes in the bag IMO.

They (Centrebet) dont even have Jack as an option , so Goodes wont go out if anything he will prob shorten because Bolton wont poll.

 

[Notorious_29]

3. Grant
2. Cross
1. Jetta

3. Jack
2. Brennan
1. Malceski

 

[AjsGuns]

Grant with the 3.. goal on siren for his 6th will get him the bog i think

Cross
Harbrow/Boyd

Jetta extremely good and could easily get the 1 was clearly essendons best and stood out
Ward was almost bog first half but real quiet 2nd half will probably see him not poll. + id say his history isnt flash for votes
Griffin mothballed just after half time and wont poll.

3. Grant
2. Cross
1. Gia

Boyd an outside chance to take the 1, Harbrow wont feature.

Swans/Bris
3. Jack
2. Malceski
1. Brennan

 

[carpsi]

BK Leaderboard at the end of R22 is :

Swan 25
Ablett 24
Hodge 24
Judd 23
Pendlebury 22
Hayes 21
Selwood 20

I still think that Pendlebury will be the value. Hodge can win but I wouldn't want to be on him. I think that Swan will poll poorly and don't think he will win. I also reckon that Ablett won't win for reasons stated during the year. My confidence re all of this has dropped after the results of the past 24 hours but it is a 22 round season not 1.
However I think that we need to apply who is the safest bet in terms of who has played the most outstanding games as well as who has the chance to poll in the most games. That's how I land on Pendlebury as the value bet and happy to be on him.
Realistically any of Swan, Ablett, Hodge, Judd or Pendlebury can win IMO and anyone else would surprise ( Hayes wouldn't surprise me too much ).

Brownlow King
BigFooty Member

Geelong

Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: Mount Eliza


Re: Brownlow Medal 2010
Quote:
Originally Posted by AjsGuns
BK any chance you can post your tally for Swan and what you have him on and what rounds you think he will poll in?

Believe it or not I have him on 29 !!! I'll pop up a breakdown when I get a chance. Naturally I can't see him as being on 29 but as I've said previously, if he polls he will blow them away.



Was this a typo BK?