Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 2)

[NDFCHFC2]

Goodes doesn't need high stats to get votes, no doubt you based alot of your count on stats.

i bet if you sat down and watched every Sydney match, he would feature highly

superman?

He pretty much is. I was thinking about laying him in a few markets on Betfair but after reconsideration I'm largely staying away from Goodes related markets as I don't have much confidence in pinpointing how many votes he is on. Plenty of value elsewhere.

I've watched close to every Sydney game this year he really hasn't had that good a year in comparison to his position in the brownlow markets. My gut instinct is that he will finish about 7th or 8th and normally I would say trust your own count but given his polling history and some of the other trusted counts I have seen I don't want to touch him.

If i was with betfair id lay him for top 5 lol

ive missed the boat prob this yr having just considered it, but testing out my count for next yr wont hurt

where is all this value.......

 

[flea29]

Re: Geelong, anyone?

Found something pretty interesting on sportingbet.... surely must be a glitch....

For some reason it has Priddis to be leading vote getter for WC paying $2.10 while Cox is paying $2.50...

BUT... for top 5 brownlow finish, Priddis is paying $10, while Cox is paying $3, WTF??? Maybe jump on Priddis for a top 5 finish ? lol

I reckon he is a huge chance. Polled 13 of WCE 31 votes last year in a wooden spoon side, this year they have won 17 games & his output has been just as good, if not better.

 

[deledio_gun]

superman?


If i was with betfair id lay him for top 5 lol

ive missed the boat prob this yr having just considered it, but testing out my count for next yr wont hurt

where is all this value.......

I'm happy to take your odds for Goodes Top 5 on Betfair if your keen. What oods are you happy to give?

 

[NDFCHFC2]

I'm happy to take your odds for Goodes Top 5 on Betfair if your keen. What oods are you happy to give?

what odds you want?

also is there any markets for not top 5?

 

[Dr Awkward]

what odds you want?

also is there any markets for not top 5?

lay on betfair. Also for top 3.

 

[deledio_gun]

what odds you want?

also is there any markets for not top 5?

I'll happily take the 1.70 originally offered for Goodes Top 5.

 

[NDFCHFC2]

sorry im not going to sign up for that. I was thinking itd be a better return than for the win, but laying it works the opp way, so its pointless.

cheers

 

[Tigertriumph]

Could someone let me know if any of the brownlow exotics markets, including h2h's and groups at unitab are multi-able or if they only accept single bets?

Cheers


FWIW I have Pendles winning by 1 with Goodes in 2nd (the could tie though). I'm really unsure of Judd this year, if I stick my neck out I say he won't win but ultimately I think we will know by round 5 of the count whether or not he will win based on how he polls in the early rounds. There is even a chance Judd could finish outside of the top 3 but this is highly unlikely I guess given his brilliant polling history. Really depends on how strong a season Murphy has because he is the only other person apart from Swan I can see sneaking into the top 3 (neglecting Judd of course).


Looking forward to the count

 

[twarby]

can multi the h2hs at unitab, aslong its not players from same team

 

[bob7965]

can multi the h2hs at unitab, aslong its not players from same team

Before I create an account can h2h be multied into best forwards, mids etc markets?
Is there anything else worth noting?

 

[twarby]

h2h only

 

[bob7965]

h2h only

Cheers twarby

 

[bob7965]

I don't mind Martin over Watson at 2.30. Bit of value with multis..

 

[Dr Awkward]

I don't mind Martin over Watson at 2.30. Bit of value with multis..

I've got Watson 2 ahead actually.

 

[char]

I've got Martin 1 ahead. Too close to call for me

 

[Wickzki]

I have Watson on 17, Martin on 15.

Too bad there's no market for first six rounds. Watson in that one.


Edit: D'oh. Forgot to add in the last game of the season (Richmond/North) - had Martin for 2.

 

[Keystone agony]

Is Swallow a sure thing?

 

[Stockdale]

Is Swallow a sure thing?

No. I would have my money on Wells

 

[TheNextBigThing]

Is Swallow a sure thing?

I got on Wells during the season at $5.50, however I think Swallow finished the season better off and will get the most votes for North, wouldn't call it a "sure thing" though

 

[Youdy]

Anyone Else see value in freos count

For me fyfe played a lot of his better games in freos losses was particuarly their best player in the 2nd half of the season

Pav and even Mundy were their form 2 players for freo in the first half of the season in my opinion
Pav at 2.2 looks value to me

Thoughts?

 

[duncs]

I did a very rough preliminary count using one source only, and couldnt believe goodes poultry return when i counted them up.

He wins a chicken?

 

[stuziman]

He wins a chicken?

Classic.

 

[Trojan Pies]

Westhoff to win the Port Adelaide vote count is very good value at $3.00. They only won 3 games and he was BOG in two of them.

 

[Stockdale]

Westhoff to win the Port Adelaide vote count is very good value at $3.00. They only won 3 games and he was BOG in two of them.

yep, six votes will be enough but he is also a big chance of polling in there other win too.

 

[Dr Awkward]

Who knows anything about when TAB are going to release h2h and group markets?