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If Rayner was good/fit enough, he would've taken all 12 of Bailey's cba's and had 18 for the match.
Rayner is having a poor year because he hasn't improved on last season. And still is in the 14-16 touches, 1 goal a game stat line.
Let's have a look at Brent Daniels, same draft. 29 touches, 11 tackles. So far ahead of Rayner it isn't funny. Lets have a look at some others in the same draft and see how they went:
Worpel, 27 touches and 1 goal, 7 tackles.
Dylan Moore: 26 touches, 2 goals.
Lloyd Meek: 47 hitouts and 13 touches.
Xerri: 17 touches, 35 hitout, 1 goal, 7 tackles.
LDU having 30 and 1 goal.
Oscar Allen kicking 4.3 today.
Jack Higgins, also kicking 3.1 but against the top team.
Ed Richards, always playing well.
Bailey Banfield: 17 touches.
Switkowski: 14 touches, 7 tackles, 1 goal.
Tom De Koning having 24 touches in the ruck and laying 5 tackles.
Rayner is still the 32-35th best player in his draft. And it's almost un-arguable at this point. Half the brissy fans want him dropped.
Let's see what a less biased, totally objective system of ratings says about the 2017 draft crop right now then shall we Danster? You know, the one that takes into account all offensive and defensive performance, plus contest and efficiency stats, plus impact, based on average 2024 performance....
1. Uniacke 15.45
2. Xerri 14.86
3. DeKoning 14.63
4. Worpel 14.48
5. Richards 13.70
6. Meek 13.47
7. T Kelly 12.87
8. Miers 12.73
9. Dyl Moore 12.71
10. Andrew Brayshaw 12.07
11. L Baker 11.29
12. B Miller 11.24
13. Naughton 11.18
14. Cerra 11.13
15. Bailey 11.09
16. Higgins 10.80
17. Switkowski 10.76
18. Daniels 10.74
19. Rayner 10.35
20. D Fogarty 10.09
21. Guelfi 10.07
22. S Taylor 10.01
23. W Powell 10.00
24. K Farrell 9.81
25. T McCartin 9.52
26. Barely Avfritsch 9.09
27. L Fogarty 9.07
28. P Dow 9.00
29. H Clark 8.56
30. L Ryan 8.55
31. Ballard 8.53
32. Mihocek 8.52
33. Balta 8.32
34. L Murphy 7.6
35. J Payne 7.16
36. B Zerk 7.06
37. J Stephenson 6.65
38. Petrucelle 6.48
39. Starcevich 6.39
40. J Amartey 5.68
41. Coleman-Jones 4.07
42. B Paton 3.47
43. H Petty 3.11
44. C Spargo 2.50
45. Coffield 2.27
46. O Allen 2.11
Of the players turning 25yo this year(born 1999), ie the natural bottom age for the 2017 draft, Rayner rates 16th on 2024 average performance. Petty rates 44th, Spargo 45th. And there are 47 players born 1999 playing. For disposals in this age group, Rayner rates 17th in 2024. For goals he rates 10th. For goal assists he rates 13th. For contsted possessions he rates 12th. For offensive 1 v 1 contest win % he rates 8th. Contested marks 14th. Centre clearances 12th. Total clearances 12th. Tackles 16th. Pressure acts 12th. So if you rate Rayner on his 2024 performance, he is somewhere in the mid to high teens for his age group overall.
If you put all these guys into a trade auction at the end of this season, that is where Rayner would go, in the 15-20 range. A bit below my prediction of 10th that was made a couple of years ago on this thread. Way above Dan's prediction of 30th.
Fritsch of course would go nowhere near Dan's prediction of 4th. He would struggle to fetch a bid in the top 30 from this deep and even draft crop.
Of the players born 1996, turning 28yo this year, Barely Avfritsch rates 21st of the 39 players that have played based on 2024 performance. But he has made a huge leap forward, going from the 5th best performed player on Melbourne's list from this age group, to the 4th best, due to Langdon's dramatic drop in ratings. Still, we might have to change his name from Barely Avfritsch to Below Avfritsch.
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