Prediction Changes for Round 5 vs Sydney

[GlennTwenty]

If you think Langdon offers more than JJ on pretty much any given day then that says a bit about your judgement. JJ is hardly a Simmo favourite. He is still in the fringe category but rapidly breaking into the must pick bracket.
Jones wasn't bad last week but definitely down on his previous games, probably a result of missing a week.
Backing a class player who had a slightly down day due to first game back and getting an early head knock is not credits, it's sensible selection.
As much as I loved Langdon's game, and I also believe he has being playing well for a while now, JJ is a much higher chance to play an influential role than Langdon. In any case I called for Waterman to miss.

I don't think you are wrong on the call for Waterman to miss (unless JK is also going to miss) or in preferring JJ over Langdon. I was just trying to point out the hypocrisy of this board as a whole bemoaning selections based on "credits in the bank" but when we suggest changes it is nearly always based on our own favourites and not form. That is, its not considering credits in the bank that we object to its that it is Simmo's credits and not our credits. I picked on your post but we all do it and you are by no means one of the worst offenders.

FWIW though, backing a class player who was down on output for understandable reasons is the very definition of "credits in the bank" and can also be a sensible selection at the same time.

 

[Doashuey]

I don't think you are wrong on the call for Waterman to miss (unless JK is also going to miss) or in preferring JJ over Langdon. I was just trying to point out the hypocrisy of this board as a whole bemoaning selections based on "credits in the bank" but when we suggest changes it is nearly always based on our own favourites and not form. That is, its not considering credits in the bank that we object to its that it is Simmo's credits and not our credits. I picked on your post but we all do it and you are by no means one of the worst offenders.

FWIW though, backing a class player who was down on output for understandable reasons is the very definition of "credits in the bank" and can also be a sensible selection at the same time.

I think CITB are more to do with continuing to pick a player who has either been down on form for a prolonged period or bringing in an Underdone player for a form player based on their name or $ value.
Not dropping a player who has had one down game is not a CITB situation.

 

[Ambrose Burnside]

Matt Priddis Jackson Nelson

30

Jackson Nelson

Age

28

Ht

187cm

Wt

85kg

Pos.

D/M

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.8

3star

K

7.8

3star

HB

4.0

3star

M

3.2

3star

T

2.0

4star

MG

184.8

3star

D

14.8

4star

K

10.0

4star

HB

4.8

3star

M

4.3

4star

T

2.3

3star

MG

171.8

3star

D

8.6

3star

K

5.4

2star

HB

3.2

3star

M

2.4

3star

T

1.8

4star

MG

127.0

3star

can win the Brownlow and people will still want his head.

 

[mattyc75]

JJ has been banged up a bit in the last few games. He is very light weight for a mid, and although I really like him, I reckon he is being found out in that regard. He needs to get stronger.

Yes his tackle on elliot proves how small and ineffectual he is

Sent from my SM-G973F using Tapatalk

 

[bzparkes]

Matt Priddis Jackson Nelson can win the Brownlow and people will still want his head.

Simmo won a flag and some people around here still wanted him gone.

I'm talking about the next season, not 3 years on btw.

 

[Avalor]

Yes his tackle on elliot proves how small and ineffectual he is

Sent from my SM-G973F using Tapatalk

Didn't say anything about him being ineffectual, and yes, it was a great tackle.

 

[The_Gambler]

Simmo won a flag and some people around here still wanted him gone.

I'm talking about the next season, not 3 years on btw.

Some people still think worsfolf should be coaching… we’ve kept a few coaches a year or two too long

 

[bzparkes]

Some people still think worsfolf should be coaching… we’ve kept a few coaches a year or two too long

Did you read the second line of my post?

There were people calling for his head the season after he won a flag.

That's just ludicrous.

 

[Ambrose Burnside]

Some people still think worsfolf should be coaching… we’ve kept a few coaches a year or two too long

Definitely kept Ken Judge around for two years too many.

 

[eagles rule]

I’m hoping Xon and West keep their places in the team..
Xon with his 24 disposals the penny may have dropped on what’s required to hold his spot and Westy 16 disposals 4 tackles and 2 IS50’s 2 clearances off a interrupted preseason..
MC should be backing them in ..


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Miguel Sanchez]

Did you read the second line of my post?

There were people calling for his head the season after he won a flag.

That's just ludicrous.

Get ready to be called a “tough guy” and told you’ve said something that you didn’t say.

 

[bzparkes]

Get ready to be called a “tough guy” and told you’ve said something that you didn’t say.

 

[FKASC]

Matt Priddis Jackson Nelson can win the Brownlow and people will still want his head.

lol unfortunately for Slippy, he’s played 92 matches for a grand total of 0 brownlow votes.

Can you believe he’s almost played 100 games? He’ll equal Patrick McGinnity’s tally this Friday.

 

[Goroyals22]

Nah, its becuase Nelson doesn't have enough CreDIt$ iN tHE b@Nk. Sure, he makes some mistakes by foot that everyone notices but he is actually a pretty good kick most of the time.

Selected stats for this season to date:

Willie Rioli 17 clangers from 44 disposals (massives gatorade soaked BigFooty credits in the bank)
Luke Foley 17 clangers from 65 disposals (medium BigFooty credits in the bank)
Jackson Nelson 9 clangers from 50 disposals (slipped over and dropped his credits before he got to the bank)
Brady Hough 9 clangers from 37 disposals (lots of BigFooty "shiny-new-thing" credits in the bank)

The logical conclusion being we should drop Nelson because he "butchers the ball most times"

Nelson has credits in the bank because we are stupid enough to keep offering the fraser mcinnes contracts to him.

 

[shooshka]

Nah, its becuase Nelson doesn't have enough CreDIt$ iN tHE b@Nk. Sure, he makes some mistakes by foot that everyone notices but he is actually a pretty good kick most of the time.

Selected stats for this season to date:

Willie Rioli 17 clangers from 44 disposals (massives gatorade soaked BigFooty credits in the bank)
Luke Foley 17 clangers from 65 disposals (medium BigFooty credits in the bank)
Jackson Nelson 9 clangers from 50 disposals (slipped over and dropped his credits before he got to the bank)
Brady Hough 9 clangers from 37 disposals (lots of BigFooty "shiny-new-thing" credits in the bank)

The logical conclusion being we should drop Nelson because he "butchers the ball most times"

Excluding Free's against (which are included as clangers - I get why, but they don't really have relevance to the point you are making):

Rioli - 10 from 44 (22.5% of possessions are clangers)
Foley - 12 from 65 (18.5%)
Nelson - 7 from 50 (14%)
Hough - 6 from 37 (16%)

Surprised Rioli's clangers are that high (not surprised he is ranked second on the team for free's against, with 7 to date).

As an aside, Nic has 3 frees for and 11 frees against so far this season (sadly we aren't going to see those stats move at all for ~12 weeks)

 

[Truckosaurus]

My concern with Kelly coming straight back is that when he's missed more than a week or two in the past it takes him a game to get his touch back.

 

[InTheWings]

Ok...

Ins = Bailey, Boots, TK, Yippee Yay Yeo and SPS

Outs = Nic Nat, LEdwards, Rotham, Waterman, Nelson

 

[Miguel Sanchez]

Excluding Free's against (which are included as clangers - I get why, but they don't really have relevance to the point you are making):

Rioli - 10 from 44 (22.5% of possessions are clangers)
Foley - 12 from 65 (18.5%)
Nelson - 7 from 50 (14%)
Hough - 6 from 37 (16%)

Surprised Rioli's clangers are that high (not surprised he is ranked second on the team for free's against, with 7 to date).

As an aside, Nic has 3 frees for and 11 frees against so far this season (sadly we aren't going to see those stats move at all for ~12 weeks)

Frees against count as clangers, I think, so you don’t necessarily have a possession to get a clanger.

Disposal efficiency might be a better measure, as flawed as that stat is. Nelson’s is 68% for the season, which is low, but that’s only from 3 games and for the previous couple of seasons (ie a higher sample size) it’s been 80.3% and 77.5%.

(Edit: I’ve just realized you took frees against out of the tally. That’ll teach me to skim read)

 

[Hap Hapablap]

covid rules have changed now for wa essentially meaning you only have to quarantine if you live with someone with covid.

 

[Astro7]

That Tom Joyce is a solid looking unit, has a Hurn build?
Midfielder...is he fast?

 

[RookiePick]

lol unfortunately for Slippy, he’s played 92 matches for a grand total of 0 brownlow votes.

Can you believe he’s almost played 100 games? He’ll equal Patrick McGinnity’s tally this Friday.

...and to think people mocked me when I labelled him a 200 gamer.

Halfway there already and still just a bub.

 

[Obeanie1]

Yes his tackle on elliot proves how small and ineffectual he is

Sent from my SM-G973F using Tapatalk

Jones isnt big. So the comment was more about how he is fairing against bigger bodies. Not running down tackles that end in an unfortunate injury.

 

[Flarn Rarn]

Whatever the team is I just hope we win because if we lose keeping the young guys it'll be because we didn't bring back enough senior players, or because we brought back too many senior players.

 

[Biggie]

So I’ve never been to a Mens game at Optus.

My colleagues at work just bought me and my two footballing daughters tickets for Good Friday as I’m leaving the business tomorrow.

Well I’m a little bit excited now…

MY WILLIE will be heard loud and proud at Optus

 

[Miguel Sanchez]

So I’ve never been to a Mens game at Optus.

My colleagues at work just bought me and my two footballing daughters tickets for Good Friday as I’m leaving the business tomorrow.

Well I’m a little bit excited now…

MY WILLIE will be heard loud and proud at Optus

Just make sure your WILLIE is heard and not seen.