Noted, but my criticisms of the Giants are that they are outside the double chance and home finals which are significant, and even at their best they are prone to the odd flaky game and underachieving particularly in finals.I don't want to devalue your opinion.. but I think you are seriously underestimating GWS. They are a huge sleeper. Even with the injuries, they have star players in every position. No position is a weakness - Good defence/offence/midfield/ruck. I would have Tier one - Cats/Richmond, 2 Collingwood/GWS, 3 Bulldogs (if they make it)/West Coast. Bulldogs are without a doubt the strongest team of that cluster stuck from 7th onward. If Collingwood/GWS didn't have half their lists out injured, id have them as tier 1 with Richmond and move Geelong to Tier 2.
I'd be incredibly surprised if someone outside the top 5 wins it this year, they are the best chances with a gap to the rest.