- Jul 3, 2001
- 22,487
- 9,420
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Other Teams
- Heat, Victory, Man Utd, Redskins
Despite the absence of So You Think and no apparent superstars, we have a terrific edition in store this year with an even batch of G1 gallopers from most states and countries in Australiasia making it a terrific punting race.
Looking forward to getting back to the track after missing last year.
Race 1
2 Free of Doubt
8 Swipeline
14 Lamingtons
Some people get scared off these races for good reason, but I see it as an opportunity to find value and hopefully get off to a good start. The interesting thing about this years race is how many small stables have runners. Hopefully a few of them have spome handy types who will measure up. Im a big wrap for the Not A Single Doubt progeny so will throw something on the first starter from one of these small stables. Free of Doubt has reasonable trial form with a 3rd behind Planet Voyage who placed in a hot 2YO race on Thousand Guineas day. McEvoy has hinted he has a few handy 2YO's so have thrown in Swipeline, and Lamingtons run on debut was solid enough to throw in here.
Race 2
7 Torah
5 Twilighting
2 Euryale
Doing a little bit of video form, the maiden Torah is the one that really jumped at me and got me in her camp on this card. Last start over 1500 she had the outside gate, travelled 4 wide at the back most of the way, got checked severely and nearly fell, yet came all the way around the outside (albeit against a weakish field) and just missed on the line. It was a huge run. With a professional ride from Nolen, she is the only one I have jumped on for tomorrow early. Twilighting did it all the way last time and Classic Elle the other fave didn't look like grabbing her. Euryale is the class runner I'd most bank on finding some form again.
Race 3
8 Karuta Queen
1 Amah Rock
6 Beckon
I agonised over this race the most on the program, and just couldn't forgive myself if I jumped off the Queen in her current form. I think she is best at 1100 where she can freeroll, but she can win at 1200 provided she gets enough of a breather midrace. She just seems perfect for this track where she can ping again off the corner and hold on down the short straight. Holding off Stirling Grove last start just seems much better form to me than any of the others formlines. Amah Rock has been looked after by trainer and owners and I expect a great run here as reward. Beckon is the big question mark, a 3 length win won't surprise nor will a moderate gallop.
Race 4
1 Manawanui
3 Scelto
2 Collar
I'm a huge wrap for Manawanui, its dissapointing though to see the bookies not take on the punter a little more with him having his first try past a mile. Hopefully the tote comes up with some backable odds. He is going to be ridden quietly which says to me Leemon knows what he's doing with this horse. Scelto is the surprise horse for your exacta, he has been plugging away in these Derby lead up races, he punctured badly last time but he will be rock hard fit for this and his run from 2 starts ago will put him up there. Collar will run better than last time.
Race 5
5 Black Caviar
3 Doubtful Jack
1 Scenic Blast
Little to be said here, the most interesting thing will be how far SB finishes from the winner.
Race 6
4 Tullamore
10 Anudjawun
1 Americain
This will be a tight finish, and I'll be on the Nash factor and a race ready Tullamore who ran fantastic in the Caulfield Cup. I'm throwing in a roughie for 2nd, Anudjuwun has been one Ive had in the back pocket for a while and he has always been capable of pulling out a massive run in a race like this if everything goes right. I would love to see him be a bit more positive and be in the first 5. Americain will of course place and not lose by any less than a length if he does lose at all.
Race 7
4 Triple Elegance
9 Testa My Patience
3 Dao Dao
Another tough race with a few chances. Triple Elegance has always been highly rated by myself but perhaps has just found the top races a bit too much, last start he finished on the tail of Foreteller who ran brilliantly down here last week so perhaps his fortunes can change also. Testa My Patience is well weighted will go close. Dao Dao with a more positive ride will be up there.
Race 8
5 Jimmy Choux
4 Glass Harmonium
12 Secret Admirer
If we see the NZ star at his best I fully expect him to win. He was breathtaking last start, just the way he puts himself into the race at the right time and then powers to the line without really needing any whip. He will sit 6th-8th on the outside I imagine and let the leaders go at it, track into the race and find a passage with 100 to go to win running away. Glass Harmonium is tough and will stay and stay and hold on. Secret Admirer will be the eye catcher flashing home, albeit too late.
Race 9
3 More Strawberries
5 Raspberries
4 Little Surfer Girl
Think we can finish off with another Nash factor win here. I thought she had turned the corner after her first up win, but she weakened badly in the Epsom after doing a stack of work out wide and looking great for the majority of the race til the final 200. With a more econonical ride should be able to hold them off from the 3 gate.
Raspberries is another you have to forgive from the Epsom run but she has come on in leaps and bounds this Spring. Little Surfer Girl will round out the trifecta for Sydney but is obviously a big winning chance in this.
Good luck everyone, look forward to hearing your tips and reasoning before I head off tomorrow in case we need a change of gameplan early.
Looking forward to getting back to the track after missing last year.
Race 1
2 Free of Doubt
8 Swipeline
14 Lamingtons
Some people get scared off these races for good reason, but I see it as an opportunity to find value and hopefully get off to a good start. The interesting thing about this years race is how many small stables have runners. Hopefully a few of them have spome handy types who will measure up. Im a big wrap for the Not A Single Doubt progeny so will throw something on the first starter from one of these small stables. Free of Doubt has reasonable trial form with a 3rd behind Planet Voyage who placed in a hot 2YO race on Thousand Guineas day. McEvoy has hinted he has a few handy 2YO's so have thrown in Swipeline, and Lamingtons run on debut was solid enough to throw in here.
Race 2
7 Torah
5 Twilighting
2 Euryale
Doing a little bit of video form, the maiden Torah is the one that really jumped at me and got me in her camp on this card. Last start over 1500 she had the outside gate, travelled 4 wide at the back most of the way, got checked severely and nearly fell, yet came all the way around the outside (albeit against a weakish field) and just missed on the line. It was a huge run. With a professional ride from Nolen, she is the only one I have jumped on for tomorrow early. Twilighting did it all the way last time and Classic Elle the other fave didn't look like grabbing her. Euryale is the class runner I'd most bank on finding some form again.
Race 3
8 Karuta Queen
1 Amah Rock
6 Beckon
I agonised over this race the most on the program, and just couldn't forgive myself if I jumped off the Queen in her current form. I think she is best at 1100 where she can freeroll, but she can win at 1200 provided she gets enough of a breather midrace. She just seems perfect for this track where she can ping again off the corner and hold on down the short straight. Holding off Stirling Grove last start just seems much better form to me than any of the others formlines. Amah Rock has been looked after by trainer and owners and I expect a great run here as reward. Beckon is the big question mark, a 3 length win won't surprise nor will a moderate gallop.
Race 4
1 Manawanui
3 Scelto
2 Collar
I'm a huge wrap for Manawanui, its dissapointing though to see the bookies not take on the punter a little more with him having his first try past a mile. Hopefully the tote comes up with some backable odds. He is going to be ridden quietly which says to me Leemon knows what he's doing with this horse. Scelto is the surprise horse for your exacta, he has been plugging away in these Derby lead up races, he punctured badly last time but he will be rock hard fit for this and his run from 2 starts ago will put him up there. Collar will run better than last time.
Race 5
5 Black Caviar
3 Doubtful Jack
1 Scenic Blast
Little to be said here, the most interesting thing will be how far SB finishes from the winner.
Race 6
4 Tullamore
10 Anudjawun
1 Americain
This will be a tight finish, and I'll be on the Nash factor and a race ready Tullamore who ran fantastic in the Caulfield Cup. I'm throwing in a roughie for 2nd, Anudjuwun has been one Ive had in the back pocket for a while and he has always been capable of pulling out a massive run in a race like this if everything goes right. I would love to see him be a bit more positive and be in the first 5. Americain will of course place and not lose by any less than a length if he does lose at all.
Race 7
4 Triple Elegance
9 Testa My Patience
3 Dao Dao
Another tough race with a few chances. Triple Elegance has always been highly rated by myself but perhaps has just found the top races a bit too much, last start he finished on the tail of Foreteller who ran brilliantly down here last week so perhaps his fortunes can change also. Testa My Patience is well weighted will go close. Dao Dao with a more positive ride will be up there.
Race 8
5 Jimmy Choux
4 Glass Harmonium
12 Secret Admirer
If we see the NZ star at his best I fully expect him to win. He was breathtaking last start, just the way he puts himself into the race at the right time and then powers to the line without really needing any whip. He will sit 6th-8th on the outside I imagine and let the leaders go at it, track into the race and find a passage with 100 to go to win running away. Glass Harmonium is tough and will stay and stay and hold on. Secret Admirer will be the eye catcher flashing home, albeit too late.
Race 9
3 More Strawberries
5 Raspberries
4 Little Surfer Girl
Think we can finish off with another Nash factor win here. I thought she had turned the corner after her first up win, but she weakened badly in the Epsom after doing a stack of work out wide and looking great for the majority of the race til the final 200. With a more econonical ride should be able to hold them off from the 3 gate.
Raspberries is another you have to forgive from the Epsom run but she has come on in leaps and bounds this Spring. Little Surfer Girl will round out the trifecta for Sydney but is obviously a big winning chance in this.
Good luck everyone, look forward to hearing your tips and reasoning before I head off tomorrow in case we need a change of gameplan early.