Racing October Daily Punt- A cup , A plate and trip up Everest

[kicksome]

Birdman has some elite Royal Ascot form.

Beaten by Illinois who then came out and ran 2nd to the current Melbourne Cup fav, let's see how that holds up.

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Sayedaty sadaty also had good form lines running 3rd to the MC fav jan brueghal by 3 lengths in a group 3 and he came over and ran like an absolute busted arseh*le.
then birdmans next 2 races it lost by a combined 20 lengths. Hm not sure im going to touch this one

 

[Jugada]

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Sayedaty sadaty also had good form lines running 3rd to the MC fav jan brueghal by 3 lengths in a group 3 and he came over and ran like an absolute busted arseh*le.
then birdmans next 2 races it lost by a combined 20 lengths. Hm not sure im going to touch this one

He has only had one run since but still it was dreadful and not a run you could then back a horse next start.

Sold overseas and then puts in a run like that not a great sign usually

 

[Peter Doherty]

The Map is $15 into $8.50 tomorrow ($0.02 deductions).

 

[Moonatic77]

Unusual legacy looks overs at 6s first markets for Wednesday. Ford to Moreira a massive plus and he's riding 54kg. Got no idea on the 2 UK horses. i see Birdman been backed early though.

I think your on the money here with Unusual Legacy. If Moreira's hanging around for the ride and not flying in and our like he usually does then this = a bet in my mind. The 6's were actually overs too

 

[Jamz]

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Sayedaty sadaty also had good form lines running 3rd to the MC fav jan brueghal by 3 lengths in a group 3 and he came over and ran like an absolute busted arseh*le.
then birdmans next 2 races it lost by a combined 20 lengths. Hm not sure im going to touch this one

The European racing pattern makes it hard for some of their horses to come over for a cameo appearance and strike straight away, we hold our horses up for a late dash, they're building into their race at the 800.

 

[Waca Jr]

I think your on the money here with Unusual Legacy. If Moreira's hanging around for the ride and not flying in and our like he usually does then this = a bet in my mind. The 6's were actually overs too

Missed the price now. Express into 3.3

 

[qarocks]

seems like a trap race, but geelong R4 - delivering, seems way overs to me. worth a few pennies ew id say.
yes some horses above it have raced in higher grades but did nothing.
i must be missing something

 

[Axl the great]

In the Cup today I think Muramasa gets the job done.
He will probably have the drop on Vow and Declare and Herman Hesse and be right there on the turn.

 

[qarocks]

looks like there have been big goes for autumn storm and unusual legacy

 

[Waca Jr]

Rarely take futures bets, but 2 of note i am keen on

El Castillo (Derby) Currently 4.5 all in for Saturday's Spring Champion, but 11 to win Derby with Broadsiding fave, who won't be going there.

looks like there have been big goes for autumn storm and unusual legacy

Unsual Legacy I completely understand. Not Autumn Storm. Stable is cast. Thought Musgrave's trial was real good ahead of that race. 21s you could do worse than have a small ew play on it for mine

 

[Jamz]

The Map is $15 into $8.50 tomorrow ($0.02 deductions).

I've been quite bullish on here in regards to what I think about her chances in the Melbourne Cup.

Runs well today and that quote available about her probably gets halved, she's just missing a good run where she attacks line this prep. First up, way too short, needed another lap and then a couple of runs at Caulfield which doesn't suit her at all.

I think she attacks the line today. Whether or not she wins will depend on how the race unfolds.

 

[qarocks]

here are the ones i like today, nothing too exciting

Track	Race	Time	Time	Horse
Geel	1	12.40	12.40	Muktamil
Geel	3	13.50	1.50	zaszu
Geel	4	14.25	2.25	delivering
Geel	7	16.10	4.10	unusual legacy
WF	6	17.10	5.10	spanish fox
Geel	9	17.20	5.20	oh too good

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Muramasa looks like a bit of a plodder, don’t think it has the turn of foot as some of the others here.

Can see Birdman doing a More Felons from last year and just missing.

 

[Waca Jr]

Muramasa looks like a bit of a plodder, don’t think it has the turn of foot as some of the others here.

Can see Birdman doing a More Felons from last year and just missing.

Massive plodder. Moor had 85 rides in last 90 days for 3 wins too. Just a jockey

 

[qarocks]

muktamil wtf

 

[Waca Jr]

muktamil wtf

3000 back in trip trained by a bloke that struggles. Surprised by the support to be honest. Griffo with fave in next. Good race to lay it or bet around it. I'll be backing Don'tcallmebruce with a key rider change and saving Up And Over

 

[qarocks]

3000 back in trip trained by a bloke that struggles. Surprised by the support to be honest. Griffo with fave in next. Good race to lay it or bet around it. I'll be backing Don'tcallmebruce with a key rider change and saving Up And Over

100% place distance, track and 67% conditions, plus 1/2/2 last 3 races - seemed the best horse in the race to me

 

[qarocks]

3000 back in trip trained by a bloke that struggles. Surprised by the support to be honest. Griffo with fave in next. Good race to lay it or bet around it. I'll be backing Don'tcallmebruce with a key rider change and saving Up And Over

the leaders have done well in the first 2 races, and zazsu has come in a lot in the next, who is a leader, so maybe there is some sort of bias for leading horses today?

lets just say there is a small bias and you never know if there is or not until after the first few races - wouldnt this suggest that you shouldnt bet on the first 2/3 races or "somehow" account for a bias in your handicapping?

 

[d-mac3276]

The Map is $15 into $8.50 tomorrow ($0.02 deductions).

So you could say he's been backed off The Map...i'll show myself out

 

[qarocks]

wow

 

[Drakescoffeecake]

The one time I back Kah and she screws me

 

[qarocks]

not much today but rolling magic R6 hawkesbury looks too good

 

[GoEaglesGoSGIO]

Did LOL at these oddds

Northam | Greyhound Racing | Odds & Betting | TABtouch.com.au

Race information for race 3 at Northam on 24/10/2024. Detailed form and uptodate odds for you to place your bets.

www.tabtouch.com.au

So basically a maiden with a 1.05 favourite. On the tote some guy puts around 5000 bucks on an outsider to place to drive up the place dividends of the favourite. Favourite paid 1.10 for the win and 3.70 for a place. 3rd paid 64.80 for a place snd 4.80 fixed

I’m very curious how this plays out online. I reckon the guy went too far and probably ended up with the online bêts being voided? Surely Sportsbet and co ain’t paying that out ?

 

[Jugada]

Did LOL at these oddds

Northam | Greyhound Racing | Odds & Betting | TABtouch.com.au

Race information for race 3 at Northam on 24/10/2024. Detailed form and uptodate odds for you to place your bets.

www.tabtouch.com.au

So basically a maiden with a 1.05 favourite. On the tote some guy puts around 5000 bucks on an outsider to place to drive up the place dividends of the favourite. Favourite paid 1.10 for the win and 3.70 for a place. 3rd paid 64.80 for a place snd 4.80 fixed

I’m very curious how this plays out online. I reckon the guy went too far and probably ended up with the online bêts being voided? Surely Sportsbet and co ain’t paying that out ?

Looks more like a misclick to me. Wouldn't make any sense to just bang 5k on the 8 to place when it was the third favourite and a realistic chance to place and make the bet pointless.

Also presume most books do middle div for place bets on dogs?

 

[qarocks]

Did LOL at these oddds

Northam | Greyhound Racing | Odds & Betting | TABtouch.com.au

Race information for race 3 at Northam on 24/10/2024. Detailed form and uptodate odds for you to place your bets.

www.tabtouch.com.au

So basically a maiden with a 1.05 favourite. On the tote some guy puts around 5000 bucks on an outsider to place to drive up the place dividends of the favourite. Favourite paid 1.10 for the win and 3.70 for a place. 3rd paid 64.80 for a place snd 4.80 fixed

I’m very curious how this plays out online. I reckon the guy went too far and probably ended up with the online bêts being voided? Surely Sportsbet and co ain’t paying that out ?

i thought the tote/pool was fair game and the bookies only cared about fixed odds - the reason being there is no need to care too much about the tote because they take a gigantic cut of it no matter what - the more money in there the better for them