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AFLW 2024 - Round 9 - Indigenous Round - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
Derby Day Tips
- Thread starter OrangeCutter
- Start date
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Lisa Cropp on Sculptor I see.
Good to see her get another chance after all the crap she copped for her MF ride last year.
It was no worse than about 5 others in that race,to say it cost her the race was just rubbish.
Not good enough then or now,connections were still bagging her 51 weeks later.
The wetter the better for Sculptor.
seth
Good to see her get another chance after all the crap she copped for her MF ride last year.
It was no worse than about 5 others in that race,to say it cost her the race was just rubbish.
Not good enough then or now,connections were still bagging her 51 weeks later.
The wetter the better for Sculptor.
seth
Race 5 - Scenic Blast to knock off Weekend Hussler. Was good down the straight last time, was good at 1200 last time, and Ollie is back.
Race 6 - Pillar Of Hercules, Casual Pass $tylez. Or Princess Coup.
Race 7 - Marching or Littorio
Race 8 - Like It Is.
Race 9 - This race is full of non winners (Shadoways, Swick, Typhoon Zed) or horses that have had their birthday (T.Jack, Stanzout, Here de Angels) so i'm with Undue.
Race 10 - Rockford Bay (dry) Amerryking (wet)
Race 6 - Pillar Of Hercules, Casual Pass $tylez. Or Princess Coup.
Race 7 - Marching or Littorio
Race 8 - Like It Is.
Race 9 - This race is full of non winners (Shadoways, Swick, Typhoon Zed) or horses that have had their birthday (T.Jack, Stanzout, Here de Angels) so i'm with Undue.
Race 10 - Rockford Bay (dry) Amerryking (wet)
race 1 - ballerina girl
race 2 - wilsons promontory - massive run last week. was flying home.
race 3 - cefalu - weight relief will help kick on the turn.
race 4 - diana's secret - almost beat kibbutz last start. good enough form for this
race 5 - weekend hussler - just can't see anything getting near him.
race 6 - devil moon - not really sure about anything. can't pick annenkov this week (although i'm hoping)
race 7 - kibbutz
race 8 - divine madonna - surely she can't be beaten at level weights
race 9 - undue - class act of the field
race 10 - king johannes - winning form is good form. down in weights.
good luck to all.
race 2 - wilsons promontory - massive run last week. was flying home.
race 3 - cefalu - weight relief will help kick on the turn.
race 4 - diana's secret - almost beat kibbutz last start. good enough form for this
race 5 - weekend hussler - just can't see anything getting near him.
race 6 - devil moon - not really sure about anything. can't pick annenkov this week (although i'm hoping)
race 7 - kibbutz
race 8 - divine madonna - surely she can't be beaten at level weights
race 9 - undue - class act of the field
race 10 - king johannes - winning form is good form. down in weights.
good luck to all.
Apart from the Derby where i think Marching will just win. I like Douro Valley in the McKinnon Stakes.
I don't know why Douro Valley is so underated. I think he is an outstanding each way prospect against that field and is 20/1 on betfair.
I don't know why Douro Valley is so underated. I think he is an outstanding each way prospect against that field and is 20/1 on betfair.
- Oct 17, 2003
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Apart from the Derby where i think Marching will just win. I like Douro Valley in the McKinnon Stakes.
I don't know why Douro Valley is so underated. I think he is an outstanding each way prospect against that field and is 20/1 on betfair.
I'm with you on those. If his name wasn't Douro Valley he would be favourite. I'm not confident he will win but great each way value
so who do you like the ron you've been on a role lately?
Apart from the Derby where i think Marching will just win. I like Douro Valley in the McKinnon Stakes.
I don't know why Douro Valley is so underated. I think he is an outstanding each way prospect against that field and is 20/1 on betfair.
I thought Magic Capes run in the Kelt Stakes against Douro Valley would stack up after Douro's run in the Caulfield but it hasn't
thecarpetsnake
Team Captain
I just don't understand how anyone could be on Pillar of Hercules in the Mackinnon. I know 3 year olds have won it before, but POH only just won what was a really slowly run 3yo race. Just coz it'll be carrying no weight doesn't mean it's good enough.
I guess it just proves that any publicity is good publicity. I guess zipping might actually be $3.70 if it was owned by a mobster too.
I guess it just proves that any publicity is good publicity. I guess zipping might actually be $3.70 if it was owned by a mobster too.
Had a great run at MV last week with 4 winners. Due for a fall.
Race 1 is a non betting affair as these 2yo races are a recipe foe a bad start to the day.
Race 2 is difficult but the vibe around RIGHTFULLY YOURS is hard to ignore.
Race 3 should see THE FUZZ continue winning.
Race 4 is a race to ignore the terribly weighted fav and go with ABSOLUTE GLAM who will adore Flemington and win this.
Race 5 appears a benefit for the HUSSLER.
Race 6 is tough with so many backing up from the CP. DEVIL MOON may get the soft lead that Bowman didnt take last week and prove hard to catch.
Race 7 shows once again the folly of a 2500m grind for 3yos by producing a skinny field with far too few chances. Stuff tradition and drop 500m off and you will have far deeper Derbies. VILLIAN should be able to run MARCHING down here.
Race 8 depends entirely on the tempo. If genuine the fav is a moral, if not LIKE IT IS will be hard to beat at odds.
Race 9 is a cracking sprint with many chances. Leaning towards SHADOWAYS which has the right barrier and is due for better luck.
Race 10 is a surprisingly good finisher. AMERRYKING has a nice weight drop and might be in the best part of the track for this race.
Race 1 is a non betting affair as these 2yo races are a recipe foe a bad start to the day.
Race 2 is difficult but the vibe around RIGHTFULLY YOURS is hard to ignore.
Race 3 should see THE FUZZ continue winning.
Race 4 is a race to ignore the terribly weighted fav and go with ABSOLUTE GLAM who will adore Flemington and win this.
Race 5 appears a benefit for the HUSSLER.
Race 6 is tough with so many backing up from the CP. DEVIL MOON may get the soft lead that Bowman didnt take last week and prove hard to catch.
Race 7 shows once again the folly of a 2500m grind for 3yos by producing a skinny field with far too few chances. Stuff tradition and drop 500m off and you will have far deeper Derbies. VILLIAN should be able to run MARCHING down here.
Race 8 depends entirely on the tempo. If genuine the fav is a moral, if not LIKE IT IS will be hard to beat at odds.
Race 9 is a cracking sprint with many chances. Leaning towards SHADOWAYS which has the right barrier and is due for better luck.
Race 10 is a surprisingly good finisher. AMERRYKING has a nice weight drop and might be in the best part of the track for this race.
thecarpetsnake
Team Captain
Teskara in the Carbine Club. Will get back from crap draw so hopefully they run along a bit
Absolut Glam in the Wakeful. Don't usually fancy horses that seem to 'find' trouble, but she has been pretty stiff the last couple of starts. Would fancy serious speed at equal weights, but 57 is a fairly big ask.
Absolut Glam in the Wakeful. Don't usually fancy horses that seem to 'find' trouble, but she has been pretty stiff the last couple of starts. Would fancy serious speed at equal weights, but 57 is a fairly big ask.
- Banned
- #39
Race 1 - 2yo races are always a bit meh, so i probably will sit this one out, but Exceedingly Good should win this.
Race 2 - Pit Lane, copped an awful barrier, but still a chance here i reckon.
Race 3 - Mandela. Ran like a dog at the CC, but dropping back to an easier field here. Was only 12 months ago won the Geelong cup against a reasonable field. Currently at $20 so a good e/w bet.
Race 4 - Serious Speed
Race 5 - Not touching Hussler at those odds, will have a go at Royal Asscher at around the $5 mark and see if she can get up
Race 6 - Douro Valley would be a good chance at 2000m, just seemed to struggle the last couple of hundred at the Cup. Maybe Better, Pillar of Hercules and Miss Finland there abouts as well.
Haradasun to break his streak of place gets and not finish in the first four.
Race 7 - Well I'm not about to jump off the Marching bandwagon now, even if just about everyone else seems to think Kibbutz has it in the bag.
I reckon Stockade will be the biggest danger to Marching.
Race 8 - This is a race that i wont really decide on who to back until tomorrow. If the backmarkers are doing alright tomorrow on this turf then Divine Madonna wont be beaten, if they are struggling somewhat then it really opens up the field.
Race 9 - Friggin tough race this one. I reckon Typhoon Zed has a massive chance here.
Race 10 - I'm a bit of a fan of Valedictum but i can't even remember the last time he had a win, must be easily more than a year. I reckon I'll get on Royal Ida for this race.
Race 2 - Pit Lane, copped an awful barrier, but still a chance here i reckon.
Race 3 - Mandela. Ran like a dog at the CC, but dropping back to an easier field here. Was only 12 months ago won the Geelong cup against a reasonable field. Currently at $20 so a good e/w bet.
Race 4 - Serious Speed
Race 5 - Not touching Hussler at those odds, will have a go at Royal Asscher at around the $5 mark and see if she can get up
Race 6 - Douro Valley would be a good chance at 2000m, just seemed to struggle the last couple of hundred at the Cup. Maybe Better, Pillar of Hercules and Miss Finland there abouts as well.
Haradasun to break his streak of place gets and not finish in the first four.
Race 7 - Well I'm not about to jump off the Marching bandwagon now, even if just about everyone else seems to think Kibbutz has it in the bag.
I reckon Stockade will be the biggest danger to Marching.
Race 8 - This is a race that i wont really decide on who to back until tomorrow. If the backmarkers are doing alright tomorrow on this turf then Divine Madonna wont be beaten, if they are struggling somewhat then it really opens up the field.
Race 9 - Friggin tough race this one. I reckon Typhoon Zed has a massive chance here.
Race 10 - I'm a bit of a fan of Valedictum but i can't even remember the last time he had a win, must be easily more than a year. I reckon I'll get on Royal Ida for this race.
Ted
Club Legend
I'm mostly sticking with my favourite runners and hoping one or two get up at big odds.
Race 1 - Exceedingly Good, too hard to go past.
Race 2 - Pit Lane, wet track won't hurt.
Race 3 - Black Tom, almost bowled over at the start last time and I think he went a lot better than first appearances suggested.
Race 4 - Antarctic Miss, supposed to be putting in some very good trackwork and I think she is good enough.
Race 5 - Shrewd Rhythm, no luck in the Guineas and the Hussler has to have an ordinary run sometime.
Race 6 - Tawqeet, showed signs of getting his head back in order last time and if his trackwork is as good as they've been saying for the last month he has to be close to showing it on raceday.
Race 7 - Husonic, no luck in Geelong where I think he looked better than Stockade and will be one of the few runners loving the extra distance.
Race 8 - Divine Madonna, should be too good.
Race 9 - Typhoon Zed, I just like him, and think he will fight on in a very even race.
Race 10 - Valedictum, last couple have been good and he should be just about peaking.
Race 1 - Exceedingly Good, too hard to go past.
Race 2 - Pit Lane, wet track won't hurt.
Race 3 - Black Tom, almost bowled over at the start last time and I think he went a lot better than first appearances suggested.
Race 4 - Antarctic Miss, supposed to be putting in some very good trackwork and I think she is good enough.
Race 5 - Shrewd Rhythm, no luck in the Guineas and the Hussler has to have an ordinary run sometime.
Race 6 - Tawqeet, showed signs of getting his head back in order last time and if his trackwork is as good as they've been saying for the last month he has to be close to showing it on raceday.
Race 7 - Husonic, no luck in Geelong where I think he looked better than Stockade and will be one of the few runners loving the extra distance.
Race 8 - Divine Madonna, should be too good.
Race 9 - Typhoon Zed, I just like him, and think he will fight on in a very even race.
Race 10 - Valedictum, last couple have been good and he should be just about peaking.
haywood jablome
Cancelled
Translate>miss fantabulous
Well a 9:50 start so I'm posting my first couple of tips now and the rest later.
1 - Exceedingly Good - The boom on it is huge.
2 - Zacroona - Looking for value in an even race. Gear change, N.Rawiller jumps on. Nice draw. That's enough for me.
1 - Exceedingly Good - The boom on it is huge.
2 - Zacroona - Looking for value in an even race. Gear change, N.Rawiller jumps on. Nice draw. That's enough for me.
haywood jablome
Cancelled
Anyone know about Rick Hore-Laceys first starter in the first?
- Nov 25, 2003
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Valedictum - my best for the day.
He is going better than ever. Should have run 2nd last start behind Divine Madonna but struggled to get threw the field. 1st up effort just as impressive when came home as well as any when getting clear room. Olly to weave some magic, great each way chance.
He is going better than ever. Should have run 2nd last start behind Divine Madonna but struggled to get threw the field. 1st up effort just as impressive when came home as well as any when getting clear room. Olly to weave some magic, great each way chance.
haywood jablome
Cancelled
Good start to the day with a small collect, champion horse Exceedingly Good !
continued from previous page -
6 - Haradasun
7 - Husonic - going for the value in an even field. McEvoy on board. I reckon Freedman can do another Benicio.
8 - Translate - McEvoy says she should have won last start, Divine Madonna too short for me.
9 - Shadoways - Impressed me last start. This isn't strong.
10 - Royal Ida - As honest as they come. Does perform when brought over for the big races. If it gets wet it won't bother him and can handle a big weight.
6 - Haradasun
7 - Husonic - going for the value in an even field. McEvoy on board. I reckon Freedman can do another Benicio.
8 - Translate - McEvoy says she should have won last start, Divine Madonna too short for me.
9 - Shadoways - Impressed me last start. This isn't strong.
10 - Royal Ida - As honest as they come. Does perform when brought over for the big races. If it gets wet it won't bother him and can handle a big weight.
