English Premier League - 2011/12

[Borgsta]

I can guarantee that you did not win last season. Liverpool didnt even win half their games last season so it's an instant loss considering you rarely get good enough odds on them. Only 7 teams won more than half of their home games last season and 4 of them were the "big 4" that you stated even though Liverpool aren't in the big 4 anymore.

so yeah 100% guaranteed that you are talking shit.

 

[Donkson]

no one consistently makes money betting EPL, no matter what they tell you.

lol no.

 

[JHAD]

Also, is it just me or, is Bolton way overs paying $3.05 against newly promoted QPR? I know it is going against everything I said earlier but surely they are a chance..?

Might be making up about the winning more but it worked the year before ha.

Whats everyones thoughts on Bolton?

 

[Trojan Pies]

Lads

Thought I'd give you a heads up - we have a promotion running on our site for our members which does not appear to be up in the public arena as yet. It is a $300 Free EPL season bet with Luxbet.

FWIW I'm using it to jump on Man U effectively turning their odds into $5.20...

Check it out - click here.

 

[twarby]

lol no.

lol yes

 

[Donkson]

Might be making up about the winning more but it worked the year before ha.

Whats everyones thoughts on Bolton?

Bolton were the worst away team in the EPL last year, coupled with it being QPR's opener is pretty much the reason for the price.

I wouldn't bring myself to touch that game.

 

[charcoalchicken]

Newcastle V Arsenal game has interesting odds

 

[Rocco_S]

Early in the season, I'm gonna get on the Man Utd games overs on the goals. Their scoring potential is just outrageous. Rooney looks as sharp as ever, Berbatov and Hernandez are fighting out for a starting spot, Nani is gonna tear the comp a genuine new one, and Ashley Young and Park look dangerous every time they get the ball. I also think the new keeper will be somewhat shaky at the start of the season.

 

[Jolldo87]

Hernandez isn't playing for at least the first couple of catches due to the concussion he suffered on the US tour.

 

[Borgsta]

Might be making up about the winning more but it worked the year before ha.

Whats everyones thoughts on Bolton?

Just give it up your advice was terrible and wouldn't work. In 09/10 Liverpool only had 18 wins overall. Half the teams won 50% or less home games. Again it would have been another losing season.

For every $1.10 you get right by picking the "big 4" - again neglecting that Liverpool aren't actually big 4 - you are losing approx 55% of your bets.

Feel free to keep the stats this year and prove me wrong.

 

[Borgsta]

Hernandez isn't playing for at least the first couple of catches due to the concussion he suffered on the US tour.

Yeah he should be back for the 3rd game. I highly doubt Berbatov will start those 2 games anyway.

 

[Borgsta]

Newcastle V Arsenal game has interesting odds

Yep Im hoping on Arsenal most likely. Newc will be terrible.

 

[Donkson]

Yeah I think people are overrating the disruption the Fabregas issue is causing, it probably has some effect but they are still miles and miles ahead of Newcastle.

I still can't believe Newcastle replaced Hughton with Pardew.

 

[Tomgeezer]

Might be, but I followed this last season, and I got more tips right then I got wrong..

You are right that in EPL tipping comps, sticking to your methods will get you up near the top. I've used the "tip big 4, tip home teams and don't tip draws" method for years with great success in tipping, but in betting this simply CANNOT earn you a profit for the reasons Borgsta mentioned.

 

[Cizzler]

Lads

Thought I'd give you a heads up - we have a promotion running on our site for our members which does not appear to be up in the public arena as yet. It is a $300 Free EPL season bet with Luxbet.

FWIW I'm using it to jump on Man U effectively turning their odds into $5.20...

Check it out - click here.

Thanks very much for the bonus!!

I've gone $500 on Man U and $100 on Chelsea, thus if Chelsea wins I get my money back and if Man u wins it will be drinks on me

 

[The_Next_JB]

Thanks very much for the bonus!!

I've gone $500 on Man U and $100 on Chelsea, thus if Chelsea wins I get my money back and if Man u wins it will be drinks on me

Not worried about city? I'd much rather have the $100 on city than chelsea. Chelsea to drop off this year imo. Midfield of lampard, obi mikel and ramires getting too old for mine. Although if they get modric it'll help

 

[Borgsta]

They have 0% chance of getting Modric. Agree with your assessment, odd misfit of a midfield esp. with no Essien.

 

[Rocco_S]

It's a long season. When Torres hits his straps (Yes I'm aware of this mornings concussion) and the money hungry squibs at City are being pussies (you know it'll happen) you'll be wishing you put money on Chelsea.

 

[Cizzler]

Not worried about city? I'd much rather have the $100 on city than chelsea. Chelsea to drop off this year imo. Midfield of lampard, obi mikel and ramires getting too old for mine. Although if they get modric it'll help

Man City have never won the title but yes I'm slightyly worried..

Having said that I've done a pretty god job of hedging I would've thought by getting by $1k on Man U, or my money back on Chelsea (i.e circa $300).

I'll take my chances with those two clubs considering they have the last 5 premierships between them.

That bonus is by far the best I have seen and must to take advantage of.

I also noticed Luxbet have a separate $200 on their site but you must bet it on this weekends games.

Centrebet also have a bonus for the EPL but only $20.

Let me know if you guys know of any other bonuses that are real juicy. Cheers.

 

[Rocco_S]

I also noticed Luxbet have a separate $200 on their site but you must bet it on this weekends games.

The EPL freebie you're talking about only applies if one of Man Utd, Chelsea, Arsenal or Man City aren't on top of the table after this weekend. It's a free bet to the value of the first EPL bet you place, up to $200.

Luxbet have weekly specials and for a regular punter, they're fantastic. They have one one where you get a free bet if the guy you back in the US open starting tomorrow is in the top 3 after any of the first 3 rounds.

They have AFL, NRL and racing specials weekly.

 

[Cizzler]

The EPL freebie you're talking about only applies if one of Man Utd, Chelsea, Arsenal or Man City aren't on top of the table after this weekend. It's a free bet to the value of the first EPL bet you place, up to $200.

Luxbet have weekly specials and for a regular punter, they're fantastic. They have one one where you get a free bet if the guy you back in the US open starting tomorrow is in the top 3 after any of the first 3 rounds.

They have AFL, NRL and racing specials weekly.

Cheers, correct me if I'm wrong but is that $200 free bet a bit hit or miss then, particularly after one round?

 

[phil daly]

Top team goalscorers - Multies

Carroll, Odemwingie, RVP, Bent, Gyan, Rodallega, Hernandez, Ba @ 208

Kuyt, Odemwingie, RVP, Gyan, Rodallega, Ba @ 187

I actually disagree with 2 - bolded above.

Suarez isn't really a goalscorer at Liverpool. In fact there is a high chance he won't even be playing as a striker for most of the season. He is much more of a creator with his movement than a goalscorer. If Carroll stays injury free he will score 20 goals with this Liverpool squad. If not than Kuyt will most likely be the top scorer again.

Rooney either plays as a goal scorer - 09/10 edition or as a support striker - every other year at Man U. Hernandez is a very very special striker and got more goals than Rooney last season in half the minutes in the EPL. 8 goals from 15 starts in a start up season is fantastic and with his elevation above Berbatov he will only get better. Rooney has already got a very nice working relationship with him already giving off a lot of assists for him.

RVP even with his constant injuries should still score 12+ which will be enough.
Gyan head and shoulders above the rest.
Ba is quite literally the only scorer for Newcastle.
Rodallega - See Ba.
Odemwingie - See Ba.
Bent - only in 1 multi as he is $1.20. Probably should have excluded him just in case of injury.

Others that are good value IMO are.

Dempsey - $5
Taarabt - $3.25

Where do you find the top goal scorer market on Bet365

 

[Rocco_S]

Cheers, correct me if I'm wrong but is that $200 free bet a bit hit or miss then, particularly after one round?

I guess so. But I'll probably chuck $200 straight out on Man Utd to beat West Brom. If they win then happy days, if say Liverpool win 4-0 and are on top, then I'll get a $200 free bet.

 

[Rooster Cogburn]

Where do you find the top goal scorer market on Bet365

Soccer > Antepost Betting > Top Team Goalscorer

 

[Borgsta]

I guess so. But I'll probably chuck $200 straight out on Man Utd to beat West Brom. If they win then happy days, if say Liverpool win 4-0 and are on top, then I'll get a $200 free bet.

Liverpool won't score 4 goals. City should be on top at the end of this round.