Expectations for 2014

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Reid being out thus far this season plus coupled with Cloke,s form means we have done well to remain close to the top of ladder.
The return of Reid cannot come soon enough and another bloke we really could have done with because of his pace is Freeman who also has a bit of bulk about him.

I think the time is right to give Grundy a rest for a week or 2 even and I would like to see Karnezis played and it would be against the Saints or someone like that not a high pressure game he does not have the match fitness for that style of game.

Neither have Langdon or Frost but they have done alright but it is a worry not being able to rest younger players.

Anywhere between 4th and 8th is about right for where we are at and as long as the youngsters keep progressing steadily things look great for the future,that was a great win yesterday 2 men down we could have folded our tent but they dug deep.

The continuing improvement of Elliott and Witts and co means I am more than happy with the way we are going if we Can get Trav going it could make a massive difference,so it is over to you big fella what do you say.

We got slaughtered in the ruck yesterday and I think we need to change it up for a week or 2 and I would prefer to see Witts Stay in the team he does not look as tired as Grundy does.
 
76woodenspooners said:
We're currently on '6 and 3' with 13 games yet to play.

We've got some tough games coming up that I think we've got little chance of winning (two against Hawthorn and a game against Port (at MCG)). I'd add "Suns at Metricon" and "WCE at Pattersons" to that list - so that's 5 of the remaining 13 I think we'll likely drop.

The remaining games: Melbourne, Bulldogs, Saints, Crows (at MCG), Carlton, Essendon, Brisbane (at MCG), Giants (at Spotless) ... of course we'll be favourites to win all of those, but we are a young list with hardly any experience to come in. We clearly have problems: a dysfunctional forward line, a non-performing midfield, and a back 6 that are young and unsettled. So I can see us dropping around 2 of those games.
Click to expand...
Pretty astute and balanced view on it all 76 - a lot of people have us finishing top 4 from here however realistically with the way we're playing we'll end on about that 6-9th range with north having a reasonably easy run this season (although they're doing their best to stuff it up) and west coasts travelling games easy from here out... I think we're behind the 'big 5' teams in swans, geelong, hawks, port and freo...
Ive got us winning another 7 games (Melb, Dogs Saints, Crows, Carl Bris and Giants - lose the essendon on after some dumb footy)
The real question is in a fairly deep year is 13 wins enough for finals. I'd say its boarderline -

Gold Coast Current wins 6 next games: WBD W, Ade (A) L, Syd L, WCE (A) L Geel (A) L, Hawks (A) L, Coll (H) W, WBD W, Bris W, STK W, Carl W, Port L, Essendon W, West Coast L This leaves gold coast with roughly 13 Wins (however they being young will drop a silly one sooner or later and probably win one they shouldnt but thirteen is about right

Adelaide Current wins 4, Next games: Carl W, Gold Coast (H) W, Freo (A) L, North (H) W, Ess (A) L, Port (H) L, GWS (A) W, Hawks (H) L, Coll (A) L, WCE (H) W, Brisbane (A) W, Rich (H) W, North (A) L, St Kilda (H) W - This sequence would leave them with 12

North Melbourne Current Wins 5 Next games: WCE (A) L, Rich (H) W, Adel (A) L, Melb (H) W, Bris (A) L, Hawks (H) L, Stkilda (A) W, Carl (H) W, Geel (A) L, GWS (A) W, WBD (H) W, Adel (H) W, Melb (H) W - This leaves them with 13 Wins

WCE Current wins 4 Next games, North (H) W, Hawks (A) L, GC (H) W, STK (A) W, Freo (H) W, Syd (H) L, Bris (A) W, Rich (H) W, Adel (A) L, Coll (H) W, Ess (A) L, Melb (H) W, Gold Coast (A) W Leaves them with 13 Wins

Finally (i rate them higher than I probably should however they have a really easy run from here)
Essendon Current Wins 4 Next Games, Rich W, GWS (A) W, Melb (H) W, Adel (H) W, Geel (H) L, Port (A) L, Coll (A) W, WBD (H) W, Syd (A) L, Rich (H) W, Wce (H) W, GC (H) W, Carl (H) W - Leaves them with 14 wins...

In all of this there is about 10 key games for the other finals competitors they are:
RD 11 WCE VS North
Ade vs GCS
RD 13 Ade vs North
WCE vs GCS
RD 14 Ess v Adelaide
RD 19 Ade V WCE
RD 21 Ess V WCE
RD 22 Nth V Crows
RD 23 GC V WCE
 

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Top 4 and play at our best more often and drop games like the Adelaide one again
 
About 6th. I think the Hawks are coming back to the field, and cant wait to try oursleves against them. But Port are looking scary, Sydney and Freo are above us. Still not sure about Geelong. And underestimate Gold Coast at your peril.
 
im a one week at a time kind of bloke, but if we play consistant footy for the rest of the year we will be looking good, but if we drop games like we did against Adelaide we can throw that hope away. Would also love to beat Hawthorn atleast 1 of the 2 times we play them.
 
RobbyTMagpies said:
gonna be like this:
1. Port Adelaide
2. Geelong
3.Hawthorn
4.Collingwood
5.Sydney
6.Freo
7.Gold Coast Suns
8.North Melbourne
Click to expand...

Disagree.

1 - Port
2 - Hawthorn
3 - Sydney
4 - Geelong
5 - Fremantle
6 - Collingwood
7 - North Melbourne
8 - Gold Coast Suns
 
Scottabe_pendles said:
Finally (i rate them higher than I probably should however they have a really easy run from here)
Essendon Current Wins 4 Next Games, Rich W, GWS (A) W, Melb (H) W, Adel (H) W, Geel (H) L, Port (A) L, Coll (A) W, WBD (H) W, Syd (A) L, Rich (H) W, Wce (H) W, GC (H) W, Carl (H) W - Leaves them with 14 wins...
Click to expand...

I think it's very unlikely that the ASADA nonsense will result in any Essendon players missing games in the 2014 season - but I can see the wheels falling off their season purely from the distraction of it.
 
My expectation

anything outside of a grand final is development time. Keep the kids coming

check the career development of any top 100 player in the afl. It takes on average 4 years to reach the standard.
 

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It's tough to predict.

Today, after the completion of round 10 we can speculate that round 22 ( V GWS) will probably be a win and round 23 ( V Hawthorn) will probably be a loss.

But things can change quickly.

Consider the Western Bulldogs for example. They're currently 14th. What are the chances of the Bulldogs winning a Premiership the year after next (2016)? Stuff all? Nobody would be predicting that.

At the end of the 2012 season - less than two years ago - Port finished 14th on the ladder with 5 wins, 16 losses, 1 draw. They'd sacked their coach during the season. They were getting stuff all people turning up to games and they had the indignity of having to cover huge sections of their home ground with covers because nobody was turning up to watch it.

Let me assure you if you'd suggested to somebody 18 months ago that Port would be outright top of the table and selling out home games 3 weeks in advance ... They'd say you've got rocks in your head!

It'd be the same as suggesting Bulldogs / Brisbane / St Kilda will get up in 18 months. Wouldn't seem like there'd be any chance, but things change.
 
I believe we bat as deep as anybody currently, with Brown's likely long absence the only question mark and how long is Reid going to be, does he have to play back now? etc. but other than that we're in tip top shape so I'd be disappointed if we didn't make top 4 with the talent we have. Bucks obviously takes it game by game but on paper you'd think we have the talent to just make the top 4 then you are a chance.

I may be an eternal optimist but I still think we are a chance. Slim maybe but the improvement is in us, if we get a roll on and carry it all the way.
 
Think we might be able to deal with Hawthorn this time and maybe beat another top 4 side but might drop another. I think the 5-7 range is about right.
 
My expectations haven't changed.

5-8 while making a push for top 4 is where we're at. I'd definitely stand by a 10th placing being a failure from here.

The only further ingredient I'm looking for in the second half of the season is another of our second, third or fourth year players to really step up.

Elliott and Frost have been the only ones to consistently do the business at senior level from that group so guys like Williams, Seedsman, Fasolo, Karnezis, Broomhead, JT and Adams are the guys I'm looking at :thumbsu:
 
I don't think we can finish top 4. Think we will probably drop a couple more games that we are expected to win. Similar to the Adelaide game. Having said that we may also win 1 or 2 that we are expected to lose.
I think we will finish with enough points to be in the top 6 but due to percentage we will miss out. 7th or 8th imo
 
1.Sydney
2.Port Adelaide
3.Hawthorn
4.Fremantle
5.Collingwood
6.Geelong
7.North Melbourne
8.Gold Coast Suns

Unfortunately 5 won't go into 4 and we are probably 5th best at this stage
 
Most people seem to be discounting Essendon. If you have a look at their run home it is not too difficult. They could still win enough games to make the 8
 

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Expectations for 2014

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