First side to 17 premierships?

[Dave]

Lol so thanks for pointing out what he said was correct... we won 1991 (covered 90's decade) and won 2008 (covered 2000's).
Don't be a sour grapes peanut.

That’s nice dear.

 

[Bombermania]

Essendon has won a flag in every decade except for the 1930s and 1970s, with the current decade looking 50:50 at this stage.

 

[BF Tiger]

Number of years it has taken each side to each flag from time of entry into VFL/AFL.

 

[SuperSub17]

The only true and proper measure would be premierships pro-rata-ed by number of years in the competition and adjusted for number of teams in the league.Not sure who woudl be leading that stat but the Eagles would be up there as would possibly Hawthorn (having joined late and winning a large chunk of their flags in an 18 team comp). But who could be bothered working that out.

Me, because I was bored

Awarding a team 8 points for a flag in an 8-team competition, 12 points in a 12-team competition etc, then dividing that by number of seasons in the comp:

Brisbane Lions 2.182
Hawthorn 1.968
Essendon 1.500
Carlton 1.500
West Coast 1.484
Collingwood 1.380
Richmond 1.180
Melbourne 1.176
Adelaide 1.143
Geelong 1.017
Port Adelaide 0.727
Fitzroy 0.670
North Melbourne/Kangaroos 0.596
South Melbourne/Sydney 0.529
Footscray/WB 0.319
St Kilda 0.100
Fremantle 0
Gold Coast 0
GWS 0
Brisbane Bears 0
University 0


The Brisbane one could be a bit contentious depending on how you view the merger: combining Fitzroy/BL you get 0.943, combining BB/BL you get 1.5.

If Collingwood wins on Saturday they improve to 1.516, if West Coast wins they move to exactly 2.

 

[Boomerfan99]

I'm backing the Gold Coast Suns.

 

[Timmy from Thomastown]

Me, because I was bored

Awarding a team 8 points for a flag in an 8-team competition, 12 points in a 12-team competition etc, then dividing that by number of seasons in the comp:

Brisbane Lions 2.182
Hawthorn 1.968
Essendon 1.500
Carlton 1.500
West Coast 1.484
Collingwood 1.380
Richmond 1.180
Melbourne 1.176
Adelaide 1.143
Geelong 1.017
Port Adelaide 0.727
Fitzroy 0.670
North Melbourne/Kangaroos 0.596
South Melbourne/Sydney 0.529
Footscray/WB 0.319
St Kilda 0.100
Fremantle 0
Gold Coast 0
GWS 0
Brisbane Bears 0
University 0


The Brisbane one could be a bit contentious depending on how you view the merger: combining Fitzroy/BL you get 0.943, combining BB/BL you get 1.5.

If Collingwood wins on Saturday they improve to 1.516, if West Coast wins they move to exactly 2.

So using rounding....StKilda is on 0!!!!!!!!

 

[Borussia Teeth]

Essendon has won a flag in every decade except for the 1930s and 1970s, with the current decade looking 50:50 at this stage.

How is this decade 50:50 for Essendon?

 

[Bombermania]

How is this decade 50:50 for Essendon?

Its 50:50 as in will Essendon win a flag this decade, with one season to go then it will either win next year or it wont.

 

[PenAndPaper]

How is this decade 50:50 for Essendon?

I'll take a 50% chance at a flag in the next decade thanks

 

[Borussia Teeth]

Its 50:50 as in will Essendon win a flag this decade, with one season to go then it will either win next year or it wont.

Ah, so that’s how it works then!

 

[Benno_900]

Its 50:50 as in will Essendon win a flag this decade, with one season to go then it will either win next year or it wont.

Damn it's school holidays again.

 

[Bombermania]

Damn it's school holidays again.

Is that the best you can come up with and its a fact that Essendon will either win the flag in 2019 or it wont, and if it does then it will have a flag this decade and if Essendon doesn't win the flag then it will add this decade to the 1930s and 1970s as decades without a flag.

 

[Bombermania]

Ah, so that’s how it works then!

There is one year left in this decade, at present Essendon has not won a flag this decade, so it has one year to add a flag this decade or this decade joins the 1970s and 1930s as decades without an Essendon flag.

 

[BF Tiger]

Is that the best you can come up with and its a fact that Essendon will either win the flag in 2019 or it wont, and if it does then it will have a flag this decade and if Essendon doesn't win the flag then it will add this decade to the 1930s and 1970s as decades without a flag.

When school gets back ask your maths teacher about probability.

 

[Bombermania]

When school gets back ask your maths teacher about probability.

One season remains this decade so next year Essendon will either win the flag or it wont, that is 50:50 for it can only be one or the other.

 

[BF Tiger]

One season remains this decade so next year Essendon will either win the flag or it wont, that is 50:50 for it can only be one or the other.

So if I had a single roll of an 18-sided die and needed a 17 to come up it would be 50:50? Because, you know, it either comes up or it doesn't.

 

[Bombermania]

So if I had s single roll of an 18-sided die and need a 17 to come up it would be 50:50? Because, you know, it either comes up or it doesn't.

You are answering a different question to the one I am, I am not saying Essendon is a 50:50 chance of winning the flag, I am saying it is 50:50 chance that Essendon will add a flag this decade, it either will or it wont hence 50:50.

 

[BF Tiger]

You are answering a different question to the one I am, I am not saying Essendon is a 50:50 chance of winning the flag, I am saying it is 50:50 chance that Essendon will add a flag this decade, it either will or it wont hence 50:50.

So at the start of the next decade what exactly is Essendon's chance of winning a premiership in that decade?

 

[Bombermania]

So at the start of the next decade what exactly is Essendon's chance of winning a premiership in that decade?

There is a probability of 1/10 as you want one flag from ten seasons.

 

[Timmy from Thomastown]

One season remains this decade so next year Essendon will either win the flag or it wont, that is 50:50 for it can only be one or the other.

So nine teams will win the flag next year. Goddit.

 

[Timmy from Thomastown]

Damn it's school holidays again.

This cliche has never been so true. His maths is appalling!

 

[Bombermania]

So nine teams will win the flag next year. Goddit.

That is so far off what I am saying it isn't even funny so I will ignore your following comment, I am talking about one football club in isolation.

At the start of any year every club has a 0.0555 or 1/18 chance of winning the flag, but we all know some clubs are better placed to compete for a flag than others.

 

[Timmy from Thomastown]

That is so far off what I am saying it isn't even funny so I will ignore your following comment, I am talking about one football club in isolation.

At the start of any year every club has a 0.0555 chance of winning the flag, but we all know some clubs are better placed to compete for a flag than others.

Yeah and Essendon has a 50 percent chance.

 

[Timmy from Thomastown]

You are answering a different question to the one I am, I am not saying Essendon is a 50:50 chance of winning the flag, I am saying it is 50:50 chance that Essendon will add a flag this decade, it either will or it wont hence 50:50.

They are the same thing

 

[Bombermania]

Yeah and Essendon has a 50 percent chance.

No that isn't what I wrote, I wrote that Essendon has a 50:50 chance of either winning a flag this decade or not.