Opinion How many current players are actually worth a top 3 pick in a trade?

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Was a terrible take at the time and only looks worse now that Holmes has tore it up in a final.

You could just as easily go back to the original list by whoever posted it and probably find players on that list who stunk it up in finals too.

Are you still paying a top 3 pick for JUH?
 

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Dan Rioli
Liam Baker
Shia Bolton


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Picks are overrated. Unless it’s the stand out number 1 player like Reid or Walsh where you know you’re getting a jet, I think there’d be a large group of players “worth” a top 3 pick purely because you know what you’re getting from them
 
There would be at least 50 players in the league i would give up FOS, Draper or Jagga.

West Coast - Reid, Allen
Fremantle - Serong, Brayshaw, Jackson, Young
Port - JHF, Butters, Rozee
Crows - Rankine, Thilthorpe,
Brisbane - Ashcroft, McCluggage, Raynor
Gold Coast - King, Anderson, Rowell, Walter, Andrews
Sydney - Warner, Heeney, Gulden, Blakey
GWS - Green, Callaghan, Cadman, Taylor
Geelong - Holmes, Stengle
Collingwood - Daicos
Hawks - Day, Newcombe, Weddle, Moore
Melbourne - Petracca
Saints - Wanganeew-Milera, Owens
North - Sheezel, Wardlaw, Larkey, McKercher, LDU
Richmond - Bolton
Essendon - Merrett, Durham
Dogs - Bontempelli, JUH, Darcy,
Carlton - Curnow, Walsh, Weitering
 
If a team in the window ended up with a top three pick (from a previous trade we assume) then I could see them parting with it for Merrett.

Other than that scenario, nobody else at Essendon.
 

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Picks are overrated. Unless it’s the stand out number 1 player like Reid or Walsh where you know you’re getting a jet, I think there’d be a large group of players “worth” a top 3 pick purely because you know what you’re getting from them

Yeah this.

At pick 3 I think it’s a 50% chance at 200 games and 1-2 AA selections.

So any player who can give you 5 seasons and 1-2 AA selections is worth that pick.

It’s far more players then teams would like to trade the pick for because they all want the upside Best Case outcome rather than the likely average outcome.
 
Yeah this.

At pick 3 I think it’s a 50% chance at 200 games and 1-2 AA selections.

So any player who can give you 5 seasons and 1-2 AA selections is worth that pick.

It’s far more players then teams would like to trade the pick for because they all want the upside Best Case outcome rather than the likely average outcome.
The only thing I question is their age. A 25 year old probably isn’t giving you 200 games unless they are a freak but if they deliver 2+ AA’s then you’re infront.
 
Picks are way overrated on Bigfooty, media and pundits IMO.
Here is a list of players I'd currently rather have at the Dockers than a top 3 pick: Young, Jackson, Amiss, Treacy, Clark, Brayshaw, Serong (and probably Bolton) I would imagine every club would have a least 5. That's almost 100 players in the system that are worth a top 3 pick.

Here are some names from 2012-2022 drafted in the top 3: McCartin, Schache, Taranto, McGrath, Raynor, Dow, Lukosius, Phillips, O' Rourke, Plowman, Boyd, Billings. A top 3 pick definitely does not guarantee a star for the next 10 years.
 
Just a thought exercise based on the current available players.

There are obvious ones... Darcy, Sheezel, Daicos, Harley Reid, Curnow, Sam Taylor.

But how many more would you give up a top 3 pick for?

Pick 1 2023 for Nick Daicos?

Possible, but i wouldn't trade it for anyone else!

Pick 1 2024 for Nick Daicos, start the ****ing car. There would be at least dozen other players too!
 

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Opinion How many current players are actually worth a top 3 pick in a trade?

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