Pakenhamsaint
Hall of Famer
- Jan 5, 2011
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The big change is the rise of the independents. Labor is losing the primary not to the Liberals or Greens but to the smaller parties and independents.On the LNP 37...
As with other things, it would be unprecedented if the LNP won government with a primary vote that low. But the ALP is at 28... a different time, but when the ALP got crushed in 1992, their primary was 38.4.
But its higher than the 34.5 the LNP got at the last election or the 35.2 they got at the one before that.
The LNP needs to get that primary with a 4 in front of it to really be in the game, but the ALP 28, if replicated at an election, makes anything possible.
There hasn't been a lot of bad press or mistakes for Pesutto or the LNP lately. The apology to two of the ladies suing him went by in one media cycle, and I'm still confident Mrs Deeming's action never sees the inside of a court room. One of Pesutto's main threats in the party room is damaged by the Colac Health Amateur Theatre Hour, and the issues being discussed (debt, broken promises, etc) are good ground for the opposition.
I would say it is a good start but they need to keep playing mistake free football.
We are entering the new era of politics where the major two no longer as major. There will be minority government more often than not.