Josh Frydenberg. Out of his depth.

[Dixie Flatline]

actually this gives me an idea why some pre-poll centres may be so heavy with volunteers

pre-poll venues often cater for multiple electorates. i wonder if the teams are not coordinating, so they are both sending volunteers and gear onsite

for example, the place I was at is on Glenferrie and High Street, so its in Higgins but Kooyong is just up the road past Toorak Road. Most voters were from Higgins, but a lot were in from Kooyong. is it possible both the Higgins and Kooyong campaigns sent people there??

this is just pure speculation, as most planning for grassroot campaigning isnt at the state level, but at the seat level.

I voted earlier in the week at Box Hill Town Hall. Liberals had volunteers for Chisholm and Kooyong. Dr Ryan had at least one volunteer. Although the ALP had volunteers at the pre-polling place, they didn't have anyone handing out HTV cards for Kooyong, as far as I'm aware (the card I took was for Menzies, Deakin and Chisholm). I only received my first piece of election flyers from the ALP today in my letter box, three days out from the poll. Looks like the ALP have given their local candidate (Peter Lynch) SFA of a budget to work with, and they're right behind Dr Ryan's push to oust Joshie from the seat.

Interestingly, the ALP candidate at the last federal election for Kooyong - Jana Stewart - is now on the Senate ticket for the ALP. I can't remember whether she's high enough on the list to get elected to the Senate, but perhaps it's a reward for effort in taking on Josh last time out.

 

[Brunswick Trap King]

Interestingly, the ALP candidate at the last federal election for Kooyong - Jana Stewart - is now on the Senate ticket for the ALP. I can't remember whether she's high enough on the list to get elected to the Senate, but perhaps it's a reward for effort in taking on Josh last time out.

I went to a Peter Khalil funding announcement a few weeks ago to get some free sausages and Jana spoke there. She seemed like a pretty decent person.

 

[Dixie Flatline]

Just reflecting on the fact that three years ago, Josh was meant to face a real challenge from Burnside and Yates. Frydenberg won 55.7-44.3 over Burnside.

Frydenberg got between 54%-56% of the primary vote in booths like Balwyn North and Bellevue, but came second on primary votes to Burnside in Glenferrie Central (34% to 33% in favour of Burnside), which I think was the only booth he didn't come first on the primary vote in 2019.

Frydenberg actually lost the absentee votes to Burnside 50.26-49.74% last time out, but had a pretty comfortable margin for ordinary in-person votes, provisional votes, pre-poll votes and a whopping margin for postal votes (64-36% in Frydenberg's favour).

I expect that Frydenberg will generally win the primary vote in places like Balwyn North, Greythorn, Kew, etc., but the question is whether Dr Ryan can finish second or at worst third to capture the preferences from Greens and ALP voters to ease ahead of Frydenberg in 2PP voting.

Incumbency favours Frydenberg, and he's blitzing the electorate with flyers that tell everyone just how great he has been (he hasn't). I do think he'll get over the line on Saturday, but Dr Ryan will turn the electorate into a technical marginal seat (margin <5%).

 

[Home Alone]

Just reflecting on the fact that three years ago, Josh was meant to face a real challenge from Burnside and Yates. Frydenberg won 55.7-44.3 over Burnside.

Frydenberg got between 54%-56% of the primary vote in booths like Balwyn North and Bellevue, but came second on primary votes to Burnside in Glenferrie Central (34% to 33% in favour of Burnside), which I think was the only booth he didn't come first on the primary vote in 2019.

Frydenberg actually lost the absentee votes to Burnside 50.26-49.74% last time out, but had a pretty comfortable margin for ordinary in-person votes, provisional votes, pre-poll votes and a whopping margin for postal votes (64-36% in Frydenberg's favour).

I expect that Frydenberg will generally win the primary vote in places like Balwyn North, Greythorn, Kew, etc., but the question is whether Dr Ryan can finish second or at worst third to capture the preferences from Greens and ALP voters to ease ahead of Frydenberg in 2PP voting.

Incumbency favours Frydenberg, and he's blitzing the electorate with flyers that tell everyone just how great he has been (he hasn't). I do think he'll get over the line on Saturday, but Dr Ryan will turn the electorate into a technical marginal seat (margin <5%).

Good analysis.

But the dynamic you haven't factored in is the womens vote. The sisterhood is very strong and united.

Sorry if that comes across as sexist, it isnt meant too.

I think he is gonski.

 

[Ice-Wolf]

"Attorney-General Michaelia Cash renewed her appointment six days before the election was called, meaning Synon remains in the position until May 2027."

Woops

 

[Ice-Wolf]

Political tribunal appointee in hot water over Frydenberg election sign

Joshy has been really terrible about following the rules this election (and the last one). Could have cost someone their cushy government appointment with this stuff up, so keep up the good work Josh only 65 other dodgy appointments to **** over.

 

[Pessimistic]

He’s kept the young soccer players of Kooyong safe from scomo…that’s onething

 

[mill204]

Welcome to the muppet show.

How appropriate for the Member for NSW to get a fellow Sydneysider to help him across the line.

 

[Trucker Tiger]

Kooyong has the highest proportion of 18-24 voters of any Victorian electorate.

Ryan also has the 0.5 per cent advantage of being top of the ticket.

I doubt we’ll know the result on Saturday but reckon she’ll be in front, pending outstanding postals, which will favour Frydenberg, obv.

Too close to call.


Or, Ryan steamrolls him.

 

[footscray1973]

Or, Ryan steamrolls him.

We can only hope. (I did appreciate the rest of your post, I just focussed on the line I liked the most.)

 

[Donakebab]

Advertising in his own thread...If this is targeted then Joshy is getting reeeally desperate!

 

[Not Important]

the real frydo. self entitled twat.

 

[Number37]

Anyone catch Simon HAC fronting Jane Hume yesterday at one of Frydo's polling stations?

F she's the typical cowardly LNP dog.

 

[Brad Goodman]

Jane Hume, eh. I hope she chokes on Scomo's chode next time.

 

[western royboy]

Good analysis.

But the dynamic you haven't factored in is the womens vote. The sisterhood is very strong and united.

Sorry if that comes across as sexist, it isnt meant too.

I think he is gonski.

Added to that is the way he shat on Victoria at the start of Covid and now magically is trying to pass himself off as grass roots - is the electorate that dumb or that forgiving? It’s going to be knife edge

 

[mill204]

Not Joshy. Honest as the day is long. I mean little Johnny has vouched for him. Nah! Be useful if one of the media asked the question. The real media I mean, not the pseudo media like the Murdochracy.

The Klaxon Print Edition — The Klaxon

CLICK HERE for the 16-page print edition of The Klaxon

www.theklaxon.com.au

 

[western royboy]

Political tribunal appointee in hot water over Frydenberg election sign

Isn’t she the person who put the Barrister from SA who kept on overturning decisions according to the rules on latrine duty? Sounds like a real campaigner…Federal ICAC anyone

 

[Crankyhawk]

separate boxes, yes. but venues tend to have only one main entrance to the polling centre (often a second one for mobility restricted people to bypass the queue)

The one I went to had boxes for the 2 main seats nearby. Not sure where other seats went maybe it was near the aec officer who did out of area?

 

[Crankyhawk]

Political tribunal appointee in hot water over Frydenberg election sign

Sack her sack her now

 

[Donakebab]

Anyone catch Simon HAC fronting Jane Hume yesterday at one of Frydo's polling stations?

F she's the typical cowardly LNP dog.

Wait, they made an ad out of that?

**** off Edwina.

 

[mill204]

HUGE THANKS & GO MON

 

[mill204]

Out of his depth and hopefully out of office. F**k off Joshy.

 

[Maggie5]

Wait, they made an ad out of that?

duck off Edwina.

Had to laugh at the guy with LNP leaflets in his hand say, "1.5 metres mate". How close do they get when handing out leaflets? Dumb ducks!

Seems this is what she has said.

 

[footscray1973]

Had to laugh at the guy with LNP leaflets in his hand say, "1.5 metres mate". How close do they get when handing out leaflets? Dumb ducks!

Seems this is what she has said.

Jane Hume lied? I'm shocked to be sitting here.

 

[carloss]

Out of his depth and hopefully out of office. F**k off Joshy.

Shady as, no accountability at all.