KA's Dream Team bets

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Good start to the weekend going 2-0 last night. Petrie had me worried but just scraped under by .5 of a point.

Adding:

Rockliff over Redden @1.80 (2U) Sportingbet

Moloney out = very good for Rockliff. His last two scores without Moloney have been 120 and 134. On that stat alone I will back him in to score higher than Redden.

Douglas over Boak @2.05 (1U) Sportingbet

As mentioned previously, Douglas has been very good this year up until the Crowley tag. Is unlikely to get tagged in this game.

In their earlier meeting this year Boak was tagged by Van Berlo and dominated him. Despite that I think he will get a lot of attention again and I'm happy to take the 2.05 on offer for the player less likely to get tagged.

Hartlett over Wines, Monfries @2.65 (1U) Sportingbet

Like any bets involving Hartlett, a lot depends on whether or not he receives the tag or not. He was left alone in round 2 against the Crows and scored 107.

His scores lately are fairly consistently between 80-100 with one shocker and one tonne (last week).

Monfries has dropped away a bit lately with scores of 70, 60 and 73 in his last 3 matches. Wines is the main danger but if Hartlett isn't tagged then I believe he should have him covered.
 

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Its hard to know whether Deledio will be tagged by Lewis or not. I dont think he will but never know.

Im a little worried about Rockliff he got tagged by the saints last year in their last meeting.

Ive gone Ward under 97.5 2U
N.Jones under 87.5 1U
Grimes under 95.5 2U

Probably gone against a few general thoughts their.

Luckily for me also Petrie scraped in under otherwise it couldve been a shit night. Only lost about .5 units maybe a bit more. Bloody Stokes stormed home in the last half.
 

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Keystone agony said:
Gaff Over (84.5) 4U LOSS

GC one of the easiest teams to score against. Dont tag. At Pattersons. Sunny over here. Make that 4U actually ahha
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Ouch that hurts by just 1.5 points and he was on 54 at half time

Keystone agony said:
2U Mundy under 102.5 WIN
2U Fyfe under 102.5 LOSS
2U S.Hill under 18.5 disposals WIN
1U Z.Clarke under 74.5 @1.50 LOSS
2U Barlow over Fyfe,Mundy, M.Murphy @2.55 WIN
2U Barlow over Fyfe @1.75 WIN
2U D.Cox over JJK @1.88 WIN

Rest are 1.87
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Thats far better. Bad luck to lose such another close with Fyfe by just 0.5 points. Z.Clarke by just 2.5 aswell
 
Keystone agony said:
Thats far better. Bad luck to lose such another close with Fyfe by just 0.5 points. Z.Clarke by just 2.5 aswell
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Fyfe lost a couple of points after the game. Ended up on 101 so you get that one. Really wish I had of waited to see what his line was with Luxbet instead of taking the 99.5 line.

Still, a good day in the end with my Cox, Rockliff, Deledio and Barlow bets all getting up.
 
Awesome After being down quite a fair bit after my big bet of 4U on Gaff just lost by 1.5 points, i find myself up by over 6 Units after a very successful night.

I dont really have much for tomorrows game. Im hopeing to target a dog and hoping for a lower then expected line for a don.

I also wrote down overs for Rockliff, Leuy but didnt go ahead with those bets.

#stillhappy
 
Luxbet markets up early today. They don't usually have all 3 games up by now.

Douglas over Thompson, Vince, Crouch @2.85 (2U) Luxbet

It's safe to say that it will hurt if Douglas gets tagged. Reasons for Douglas are as mentioned in earlier bets.

Hartlett over Westhoff, Schulz, Wright @2.75 (1U) Luxbet

It's hard to have fait in Hartlett but his scoring has been reasonably solid lately. Main threat is Westhoff imo who seems to step it up in Showdowns.

Watson over H.Shaw, Hibberd, Zaharakis @2.35 (2U) Luxbet
Watson over 93.5 @1.75 (2U) Luxbet

He might be coming back from injury but he should have these guys covered. Macaffer might go to him but he hasn't been tagging lately and with Beams back, I think they will go head to head.
 
2U Stanton over 100.5
Im disappointed i couldnt get on Zaka at 80.5 overs Butler do yoy know when luxbet odds are going to come out for each game?

The other bet i was looking at but have decided against was unders for Rob Murphy
Why i thought it would be a good idea? Sydney tagged him last time with Bird who has been doing tagging roles lately so he will just about 100% sure go to him.

Why not? I just had a quick look and he kills it at Etihad stadium absolutely kills it barely has gone under 78.7 (i was hopeing to see something a bit higher).
 
Keystone agony said:
2U Stanton over 100.5
Im disappointed i couldnt get on Zaka at 80.5 overs Butler do yoy know when luxbet odds are going to come out for each game?
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I try and check as regularly as I can within about 4 and a half hours of the game. That seems to be when they generally put them up but it varies a lot. Every now and again they come out really early but just yesterday I think it was the markets weren't up until within an hour of the game.
 
Just confirmed that WB will send Wallis to Kennedy so I'm adding:

T.Mitchell over Kennedy @1.95 (2U) Sportsbet

Wallis has been very good negating who ever he has been playing on lately. I'm expecting a big Sydney win so Titch should get plenty of supply up forward if he continues to spend most of the game up there.

Also adding:

R.Murphy under 83.5 @1.75 (4U) Betstar

As KA just mentioned, Bird has been in very good tagging form and should go to Murphy. Not too worried about his record at Etihad because he averages just 64 against Sydney with scores of 53 and 56 in his last two.
 
Butler said:
Just confirmed that WB will send Wallis to Kennedy so
R.Murphy under 83.5 @1.75 (4U) Betstar

As KA just mentioned, Bird has been in very good tagging form and should go to Murphy. Not too worried about his record at Etihad because he averages just 64 against Sydney with scores of 53 and 56 in his last two.
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Bugger you id probably take that

4U is big though

G/L
 

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