Knightmare
Brownlow Medallist
- Sep 22, 2010
- 19,533
- 19,542
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Other Teams
- Chicago Bulls
- Thread starter
- Banned
- #4,326
I don't understand, on one hand your listing a bunch of guys as "only had one or two good years", "awful injury history only more recently established himself" "scrappy battler", yet half of the guys you've listed haven't even achieved a what you've originally stated yet, a good season.
Half of the guys being mooted are half way through their careers, you have to take them on face value now, sure you can speculate, but it's exactly that, a pure guess, I'm not sure how you could include 2015 in a list like this with any sort of confidence.
I could break down all of your comments, but it seems it would be fairly futile so I will cross the main ones; I wouldn't classify Langford's season as lousy, he averaged almost identical numbers as the year before.
As for Grundy, you are severely overrating him at this point, he's not in any discussions with the Mumfords/NN/Goldstein's in any facet of the game at the moment, "influence winning" is a fairly vague criteria. Adams is fairly comparable to "scrappers" like Greene and Viney.
As for De Goey, well, we can only go off what he's produced so far, Shiel/Prestia were far better players at the same age, I don't see the "Dangerfield without the explosiveness" tbh, "Dangerfield without explosiveness" is basically an umbrella of about 50 players in the league. He's well behind other midfielders around his age.
It's an interesting way to view things - just going so purely off performance. It's a way average Joe who attends AFL matches every weekend without having seen or even read about any of the juniors cab go about it. And that's not wrong, but just one way of seeing it.
I'm just going to flat out trust my ability to identify talent and back myself to beat simply what has been done.
It's like saying which career do you take Zac Dawson as an example who has played 146 games or would you back in Jacob Weitering as the recent number one pick to have the stronger career? I'm backing in Weitering as I'm sure most would.
And I'll approach young talent from the very same perspective. If a young guy has a better game as Weitering does in the above comparison I'll ride with them.
There is I will agree with you an element of uncertainty with picks. Picks as a rule are grossly overrated. Pick one most particularly, pick two. That's why pick for player deals so often go in the direction of the team getting the players.
Ruckmen don't hit their primes till the age of 25 and over so your argument of Grundy not being Mumford/NN/Goldstein yet is null. It's not a position in the modern game where you're going to see a 20 year old be the best at their position with Naitanui the closest thing at that age we've seen in recent times with his dominant contested ball winning ability at his age. Grundy is the best ruckman under the age of 24 though and the more impactful and overall most complete for his age. Mumford until the age of 23/24 was still developing into an AFL standard ruckman. Grundy as a 21 year old by comparison is already a best 10 ruckman in the game with only Goldstein/Mumford/Naitanui/Jacobs/Sandilands/S.Martin/Gawn better in terms of standard of performance today based on 2015 play.
As for Taylor Adams v Toby Greene and Jack Viney. I agree all three are in the same conversation. They can all find the footy (Viney to a lesser extent as he does not find outside ball as easily or at all really) and all three of them to varying extents are below average kicks. I'll take Adams over Greene primarily on the basis of being a harder worker and actually showing improvement, he'll continue to elevate his game whereas Greene just hasn't and doesn't look like he will as largely the same player he was in his first season. Viney isn't quite there yet but approaching and progressing but needs to add some more things to his game as the worst kick/scoreboard impact/outside accumulator of the three, as a contested baller and tackler though that's what he does better than both and he's a great character guy so I like Viney and feel he can continue to improve, even if it continues to be at what he does.
Regarding De Goey and my Dangerfield without the same explosiveness comment. Dangerfield is one of three with 15+ contested possessions per game last season and one of nine with 7+ clearances per game. He also offers scoreboard impact, the ability to take marks forward of centre. That's what De Goey can be. De Goey like Danger probably will I expect most likely win more ball as per Danger from contested situations and match his numbers across the board. Having both Treloar and De Goey. I back De Goey to be in time the better pro of the two. It only takes watching his work at a small few stoppages to realise just how dominating he can be when given his minutes on the ball, and when he gets consistent midfield minutes I'm confident he'll live up to where I rate him.