Got the Blue Diamond wrong last week but still a profitable Saturday, hoping for more of the same this week.
Flemington:
Not a card of huge interest for mine, pretty tough races with several winning chances in most.
Race 4 - 2.6 Units - Angels Beach - lightly raced but talented, has some progressive figures to her name and with the 4.5kg weight drop from her last start win she should be hard to beat, I'm expecting a new career peak. The concern is Bossy down the straight.
Race 6 - 1.5 Units Dany The Fox. 1.3 Units Muoro. Another tough race but happy to risk Moody runners and back these two, Dany the Fox made good progression last campaign and his recent jump outs at Caulfield have been impressive. Muoro is the best horse in the race in my opinion but has to give the others weight, at level weights I would be very keen on him.
Race 7 - 1.5 Units Shamus Award (on @ $6.50). 1.5 Units Hucklebuck (wating until he drifts on Betfair, might get $6). 0.75 Units Eurozone. They are the 3 main chances for mine and I would be surprised if one of them doesn't win, I will have two going for a result and one to make my money back.
Rosehill:
Race 1 - 3.8 Units Ecuador. Provided the track not too slow I think he will be winning again, nothing special ratings first up but did the same last campaign before improving 4 lengths 2nd up, I'm expecting the same here.
Race 3 - 3.8 Units Red Tracer. She is just better than her own sex as she has proved that time and time again, she went to another level last campaign and trials leading into this have been spot on, she should be fit and ready to go, runs well on all surfaces, just think she wins. If Ecuador lands in race one I will be having more like 5 Units on her.
Race 5 - 1.2 Units Carlton House. A speculative bet more than anything, gets to a distance to suits him now and should be ready to show something. All his trials have been good and his last start rated on par with Junoob (at different distances) with his closing sectionals comparable to the likes of Speediness and Boban. Junoob is going well and hard to beat with 54kg but not going to back him in the red against much better horses than he has been racing.
Good Luck
Flemington:
Not a card of huge interest for mine, pretty tough races with several winning chances in most.
Race 4 - 2.6 Units - Angels Beach - lightly raced but talented, has some progressive figures to her name and with the 4.5kg weight drop from her last start win she should be hard to beat, I'm expecting a new career peak. The concern is Bossy down the straight.
Race 6 - 1.5 Units Dany The Fox. 1.3 Units Muoro. Another tough race but happy to risk Moody runners and back these two, Dany the Fox made good progression last campaign and his recent jump outs at Caulfield have been impressive. Muoro is the best horse in the race in my opinion but has to give the others weight, at level weights I would be very keen on him.
Race 7 - 1.5 Units Shamus Award (on @ $6.50). 1.5 Units Hucklebuck (wating until he drifts on Betfair, might get $6). 0.75 Units Eurozone. They are the 3 main chances for mine and I would be surprised if one of them doesn't win, I will have two going for a result and one to make my money back.
Rosehill:
Race 1 - 3.8 Units Ecuador. Provided the track not too slow I think he will be winning again, nothing special ratings first up but did the same last campaign before improving 4 lengths 2nd up, I'm expecting the same here.
Race 3 - 3.8 Units Red Tracer. She is just better than her own sex as she has proved that time and time again, she went to another level last campaign and trials leading into this have been spot on, she should be fit and ready to go, runs well on all surfaces, just think she wins. If Ecuador lands in race one I will be having more like 5 Units on her.
Race 5 - 1.2 Units Carlton House. A speculative bet more than anything, gets to a distance to suits him now and should be ready to show something. All his trials have been good and his last start rated on par with Junoob (at different distances) with his closing sectionals comparable to the likes of Speediness and Boban. Junoob is going well and hard to beat with 54kg but not going to back him in the red against much better horses than he has been racing.
Good Luck
