Mathematical formula for player value movements

[tragicforces]

One of Albert Einstein's formulas is been used according to HS.
Tweak the figure in bold & you have solved it Blinger.

I was on right track, but no cigar.

Great work.

there is a global factor applied and this will vary each round depending on how averages changes overall.

 

[The_New_Recruit]

there is a global factor applied and this will vary each round depending on how averages changes overall.

I realise that. If you scroll back several pages, I have made that very point.

 

[tragicforces]

I realise that. If you scroll back several pages, I have made that very point.

should be able to get closer to it next week....

 

[Benno_900]

I have got very close to the formula, I tried it for several players and I'm spot on or at most $1500 off.

 

[Cassius_Clay]

The most I've been off is $100 and i've tried 50 players

 

[rgauci]

I'm never wrong if you presume they truncate the results.

e.g.

66599 --> 66500

66501 --> 66500

123456 --> 123400

123499 --> 123400

etc.

 

[Cassius_Clay]

You're off on Dean Cox.

 

[rgauci]

Your right Cox does go over by $15 with my theory. But you have to remember we are using rounded figures to begin with. Cox wasn't exactly 395000 prior to round 3.

If he was higher, say 395099. It works. THerefore because we have rounded figures to start with, my formula does work. We don't know Cox's value exactly. I'm saying its somewhere between 395000-395099. the programmer would use the real value to calculate the new price.

Think about it logically. Would a program use some bogus number with 5 decimals, or a round number and truncate all numbers the public see.

EDIT: thats the exact reason nobody can find a perfect formula. We are using rounded figures. The programmer will use true figures and give us rounded results. Thats why i think the simpler the formula the more likely.

 

[Cassius_Clay]

Your right Cox does go over by $15 with my theory. But you have to remember we are using rounded figures to begin with. Cox wasn't exactly 395000 prior to round 3.

If he was higher, say 395099. It works. THerefore because we have rounded figures to start with, my formula does work. We don't know Cox's value exactly. I'm saying its somewhere between 395000-395099. the programmer would use the real value to calculate the new price.

Think about it logically. Would a program use some bogus number with 5 decimals, or a round number and truncate all numbers the public see.

Hey, if Hodge scores 100 this week did you get him going down by in excess of 8k. To me it doesnt sound right.

 

[grimlock]

Hey, if Hodge scores 100 this week did you get him going down by in excess of 8k. To me it doesnt sound right.

Yes that's right because they deliberately overpriced every player at the beginning of the season.

 

[Cassius_Clay]

Yes that's right because they deliberately overpriced every player at the beginning of the season.

It shows how good Cox's scores have been. If he scores 100, he goes up by nearly 10k

 

[grimlock]

It shows how good Cox's scores have been. If he scores 100, he goes up by nearly 10k

Cox is a monster, I was deliberating between him and Spida at the beginning of the season. How good was that decision!

 

[Effes]

Hey, if Hodge scores 100 this week did you get him going down by in excess of 8k. To me it doesnt sound right.

Have him going down 7931 if he scores 100 this week

 

[D0nk]

It shows how good Cox's scores have been. If he scores 100, he goes up by nearly 10k

Indeed, it is strange, as that would put Hodge at an avg of 103.67, which I believe is just a bit higher than his avg last year.

Edit: 8100 drop by my calc.

 

[Cassius_Clay]

Have him going down 7931 if he scores 100 this week

I got him at 8.3k

 

[Effes]

Cox 100 this week should go up 9785

 

[Cassius_Clay]

Cox 100 this week should go up 9785

Yeah so 9800. Thats what I got.

 

[rgauci]

We are damn close to the formula round to round. Argueing about a few decimal points

The next thing to figure out would be how the hell did they come up with there starting prices. Because every player is overpriced. Makes it very hard to make money.

 

[DG33]

We are damn close to the formula round to round. Argueing about a few decimal points

The next thing to figure out would be how the hell did they come up with there starting prices. Because every player is overpriced. Makes it very hard to make money.

We are damn close to the formula - all of us except that twit shakin77 that is.

Starting prices were takin exactly from last years averages but with a different scale. ie N Brown had the highest average last year and was the most expensive and it goes like that all the way to the cheapest players. The other thing they did is increase the minumum price as alot of people worked out how to use trades to get more cash in the bank. At 66k its alot harder to manipulate that it was when some guys were 25k last year. All-in-all its a much harder comp this year and trade decisions and timing are even more important.

 

[Effes]

How did they get the 3660 value when price/last year ave is around 4150 for everyone, yet you look at Henry Slattery

 

[Effes]

Interesting what 366....value they use for different players. The cheaper the player the higher the value

 

[chooka_delic]

Are you guys using 3660 or 3665?

 

[SnIcKeRs #3]

who hasnt figured out a formula that works???

 

[jds69]

Who's pocket protector is dusty?

 

[Blue right through]

What are you doing here then, satisying your nerd fetish?