May Daily Punt - Adelaide G1s jammed between NSW provincial coverage

[rideclutch]

Nice horse Torpenhow.

Probably taking the spruik price from here for his city debut but I think he's got a bit up his sleeve still.

 

[Gavin Excell]

Nice horse Torpenhow.

Probably taking the spruik price from here for his city debut but I think he's got a bit up his sleeve still.

Yes it effortlessly moved away when challenged. Suggests more in the tank.

 

[iluvparis]

https://www.racing.com/form/2016-04-10/echuca/race/5/results

Settled last in the red is the horse in question, red silks, 2nd fave. I think it's pretty clear he's hooked it.

Interesting ride - raced pretty ungenerously for him

 

[FallingLiefs]

just reading betfair lays and if Fell Swoop isn't value at 1.65 in that race i don't know what is, yet they want to lay it. could run his worst race all autumn and still brain this lot.

Also a big day for Xtravagant tomorrow.

 

[sirlothie]

just reading betfair lays and if Fell Swoop isn't value at 1.65 in that race i don't know what is, yet they want to lay it. could run his worst race all autumn and still brain this lot.

Also a big day for Xtravagant tomorrow.

Crazy. Lays are dicy at the best of times but that has a massive backfire risk. But then again you are getting better odds on the rest of the field combined doing that.

 

[iluvparis]

just reading betfair lays and if Fell Swoop isn't value at 1.65 in that race i don't know what is, yet they want to lay it. could run his worst race all autumn and still brain this lot.

Also a big day for Xtravagant tomorrow.

Yup - on exposed form FS looks as close to a nailed on certainty as you are likely to see in an open Group 2 race.

 

[FallingLiefs]

re: punters top 10 cats, Edition #2 without horses from the first.

https://www.punters.com.au/news/10-most-over-hyped-horses:-Readers-Choice_144904/

LOTS #1.

only horse i've really been burnt by there is Prince Harada. probably got off light with a few of the others.

 

[rideclutch]

Is the list money-muchers or over-hyped? They don't have to mean the same thing.

Il Cavallo, La Amistad and Prince Harada are the clear top 3 hype horses on that list for mine. Chivalry 4th.

I don't think LOTS is overhyped, however he is the the king muncher.

 

[RobbyRoy]

Is the list money-muchers or over-hyped? They don't have to mean the same thing.

Il Cavallo, La Amistad and Prince Harada are the clear top 3 hype horses on that list for mine. Chivalry 4th.

I don't think LOTS is overhyped, however he is the the king muncher.

Agreed. It was a "reader's choice" this one, meaning comments on the site/forum/twitter were collated to come up with that list. LOTS definitely fits the money-muncher category but no where near the likes of Chivalry in terms of hype.

 

[FallingLiefs]

Is the list money-muchers or over-hyped? They don't have to mean the same thing.

Il Cavallo, La Amistad and Prince Harada are the clear top 3 hype horses on that list for mine. Chivalry 4th.

I don't think LOTS is overhyped, however he is the the king muncher.

PDL stiff to miss. Different level of horse/hype yes but only won 2 starts after its QE. beating Ajeeb and a dead heat with Budriguez.

 

[rideclutch]

PDL stiff to miss. Different level of horse/hype yes but only won 2 starts after its QE. beating Ajeeb and a dead heat with Budriguez.

Yeah but the hype came from his Bendigo Cup/QE wins + obligatory Bossy spruik - then we never saw him at those trips again. I never thought he'd be a WFA miler/Cox Plate horse off those efforts, but that's what they wanted.

I guess you could argue muncher but I can think of 10 worse than him.

 

[puntking]

liking calf race 7 number 1 good luck

 

[BEEG]

Really like Atom Eve in first at Sydney, followed it last prep tough as nails and should beat this lot, get the day of to a good start.

 

[FallingLiefs]

Really like Atom Eve in first at Sydney, followed it last prep tough as nails and should beat this lot, get the day of to a good start.

went up wrong price but not sure you'd want to take the rock bottom price now. think you will get a better price come the jump. saw the on course bookies laying it on the exchange too.

anway today i've already backed

Perth
r8 - Zuccheros $8*
Adelaide
r5 - Sweet Varden $5.5
Melbourne
r1 - Antelucan $5.5
r6 - Bassett $6.5/Divine mr Artie $4.6

finishing sydney form now

 

[Gavin Excell]

anyone prepared to take the $1.60 Xtravagant?

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Sydney form Lel just set up a dartboard and see which one it hits!

 

[LukeParkerno1]

anyone prepared to take the $1.60 Xtravagant?

Rolling it in a few multis but jeez it's skinny. I'd rather it be $2.20 ish

 

[FallingLiefs]

anyone prepared to take the $1.60 Xtravagant?

took the 1.75. the fresh ones on the scene and his first up effort last prep a worry but these are the things you do.

edit* the let up run where he won but not outstanding.

 

[iluvparis]

PDL stiff to miss. Different level of horse/hype yes but only won 2 starts after its QE. beating Ajeeb and a dead heat with Budriguez.

I was going to say it was a bit rough to include PDL - crippled by injuries. Agree that the latest list looks like a bunch of munchers rather than overhyped horses.

 

[iluvparis]

X would want to be hosing up today - pretty defensive placement at Group 3 at his own age.

 

[LukeParkerno1]

I was going to say it was a bit rough to include PDL - crippled by injuries. Agree that the latest list looks like a bunch of munchers rather than overhyped horses.

Still failed at group 1 level when it got the chance though. On the list for mine.

 

[FallingLiefs]

If Rich Enuff can make the list then PDL definitely can.

 

[iluvparis]

If Rich Enuff can make the list then PDL definitely can.

Horrible call

 

[BEEG]

****ing jockeys

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Hahahaha that's Hawksbury for you lol