Preview Round 4 Port Adelaide v West Coast, Metricon Stadium 1.15 Saturday 27/6/20

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WHERE: It's our home game, against a WA team. Of course it's in Queensland!

WHEN: 1.15, Saturday June 27th. Probably. Depends upon which Vic team breaks Covid protocols this week.

WEATHER: Ports are playing, there will be rain

LAST TIME: Port went over to Perth in round 4 last year, and played on Good Friday night. In a downpour , especially in the second term (very reminiscint of yesterday's win over the Dockers!), Port were too tough and tore the Weagles a new one, leading by 49 points at half time and resticting the woeful Big Birds to only 2 goals. After the long break, it was relatively even, and Port ended up saluting by 42, with Duursma, Ebert and S Gary booting 2 each.

Prior to this, Port had lost 6 of the previous 7 to the Eagles, including several heartbreakers where we led all game, dominated all statistics and looked the better team, only to be overtaken at the death LUKESHUEYISACUCKINGDUNT

TEAMS: With the unfortunate injury to X-Man, we will need to make a change. It is almost unfathomable how important Duursma's ceaseless run has become to Port and I expect that either Bergman or Mayes will be his replacement. Otherwise, our structure looks pretty spot onand I can't see too many other changes.

West Coast will probably regain McGovern, it seems his ankle isn't too bad. A few of their stars looked banged up against Brisbane - Yeo, LUKESHUEYISACUCKINGDUNT and Liam Ryan at various stages all received treatment for injuries but played the game out; however, the form of the team may force them to look at some unforced changes. Jackson Nelson, Jake Waterman and Bailey Williams are some names mentioned as being close to selection.

PREVIEW: It all starts in the middle. Nic Nat is back for the Eagles, and possibly no-one in the country has rucked against him and knows his game as much as Scott Lycett. It is likely that Natanui will jump all over big Slyce, but we hope that he knows enough to ground the big Eagle's leap and get his share of the taps. If so, our midfield, led by Boak and now Wines, have the big, bullocking bodies to win the ball out of the centre, against the likes of Tim Kelly, LUKESHUEYISACUCKINGDUNT and Redden. On the outside, Andrew Gaff is in some form, getting lots of possessions, and this is where the loss of Duursma will be felt.

In defence, we have been very solid for a while now, with a good balance of dour defenders, flair and running players and driving kicks, but this is our biggest test for a while. Josh Kennedy has had a slow start to the season, as has Jack Darling, but theoir ability hasn't left them and Two Toms will have to be on their best defensive mindsets to stop the Eagle twin towers. The Eagles have also been playing Oscar Allen as a third tall; McKenzie will get that job, but apart from Ryan, who looked dangerous against Brisbane and booted 3, the Eagles' smaller forwards in Cripps and Petrucelle may find themselves up against one of Hartlett, Bonner, Houston or Byrne-Jones, who all have attacking mindsets.

Our tall forwards have started to really hit their straps. Dixon, Marshall and Westhoff have combined beautifully since the resumption, rarely flying against each other, holding marks and kicking straight. They will be matched up by Barass, McGovern and possibly Schofield, but the most interesting tactical ploy will be on whoever plays on McGovern, as he likes to float away and be the intercept marker. Which we have allowed him to do without competition in the past; however, I feel that this has changed. We now play a forward line; there has hardly been a single occasion in the past two weeks of a long ball into a vacant forward half. We need to look for McGovern and Hurn's opponents, as this can be their weak link. Our smaller forwards, Robbie, Rozee and Butters, will need to compete against the likes of Hurn and Duggan, and especially Brad Sheppard, who has been in subline form.

Overall, the Eagles look unhappy and a little disinterested. It is the first time that they have played more than 2 consecutive H&A games away from Perth, and they haven't handled it well publicly, complaining about minor annoyances and issuing ultimatums about going home. A couple of losses to the Queensland teams has them sitting in the bottom 4, and they only average 58 points per game, whilst we have scored freely, albeit against ordinary opponents. This is our biggest test so far, but the formline and the vibe will see us go in as heavy favourites.

TIP: We still owe these mofos, we'll always owe them. Port by 24 points.
Oh, and LUKESHUEYISACUCKINGDUNT
 

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I'm actually concerned about this one. Not only are West Coast seeking to keep their season alive (Beating a team coming off of a loss I always harder anyway) but on top of that I remember us not playing Xavier in either round 17 or round 22 last year, our 2 worst losses of the year, so without him, I don't know why I just feel uneasy about what awaits us on Saturday afternoon. It will be the first time I won't be available to watch the game either, so really the writing doesn't look clean from here. As stupid as it sounds wet weather might be an advantage for us, but I'm sure the Eagles would've learned from good Friday.

Their midfield is my concern. It was smashed in the past 2 weeks but no doubt it's going to be more active this time, and we get killed by agile midfielders if we try to stop them with meat and potatoes. I want Rozee and Butters to try out the centre a bit more again. Although in the conditions who knows maybe meat and potatoes might be enough.

The replacement for Xavier is either Bergman or Farrell for me, get some good outside run and a decent boot to pair.
 
This is the one. They're gettable, and we need a scalp early to add some substance to what we've done so far and for our groups confidence going forward.

No reason we can't get West Coast, I'm confident in what we've put forward this season will stack up against a side I rate.

Bring on Saturday arvo, at least we aren't in the midnight time slot again this weekend.
 
West Coast have been sh*t this year. It's not at AO. We've been playing a forward line. Everything points to a Port victory.

So this is ripe for a classic What happen Ports? Recorder Titanic theme is all set to go.
If we have had 3 good wins and then lose to a premiership fancy that's not a "what happen Power".

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The Eagles seem to be depressed, but they are also with their backs on the wall. They will probably come hard against us.

We need to start the game in full force to break their spirits. If we do this, they might capitulate early.
 
Eagles have not really been at the races when it comes to contested footy, now that's not really their style but they've been done badly in all their games pre and post the Covid break. This is one of the areas we are strong in, so a win would look like us getting on top in this area around the ground.

We'll probably go pretty close to winning the clearances or at least we should not be getting comfortably beaten, so my concern would mainly be avoiding the likes of McGovern and co when we win the ball and move it forward.

Also, if we do get on top of West Coast for an extended period, they know how to play us on the break effectively and have done it many times successfully in the Hinkley era and it will be up to us to score more effectively (unlikely but maybe Dixon & Marshall being fit and in form will make a difference) OR more likely to continue our definite improvement of restricting opponents breaking out of our forward half when they've flooded back (e.g the 3rd quarter vs Freo).

If West Coast play half reasonably I think it will be the closest game we've had so far, and they definitely have the style to counter the Hinkley game-plan if we're on top.

If they don't turn up to the contest like Rd1-3, they're cooked.
 
Hopefully we can win, but can live with it if we lose. They are considered a flag contender, three losses in a row would be a disaster to them... But somehow am feeling a bit confident. Get the job done boys!!
 

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Preview Round 4 Port Adelaide v West Coast, Metricon Stadium 1.15 Saturday 27/6/20

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