Preview Round 5 v Geelong at AO

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TheBeardAmigos

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Veteran 10k Posts
May 15, 2013
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16,814
AFL Club
Port Adelaide
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Round 5 is upon us and both sides have had indifferent starts to the season. Port Adelaide were 3-0 until their loss to Essendon in Round 4, but their final half against Brisbane showed a lot. Geelong snuck home against Melbourne in Round 1 thanks to an offline Gawn kick, but losses to Hawthorn by 1 point and West Coast by 15 followed, before downing the sorry Saints by 47 points last week at Kardinia Park.

Going into this game, Port Adelaide's list is in much better shape than Geelong's. Missing only Ryder and possibly Rockliff from our best 22 is manageable given the depth of the Port Adelaide list, but the Cats are missing superstar Gary Ablett and important defenders Harry Taylor and Lachie Henderson, with their return dates still unconfirmed, has hurt them in recent weeks.

Despite these injuries to key players, it has given the opportunity for young Cats and young Power players to make their name. Ablett's injury meant that former Power Aboriginal Academy player Brandan Parfitt had a career best game against St Kilda with 28 disposals and 3 goals, while Jack Henry, Tom Stewart and Jake Kolodjashnij are stamping their name as ideal replacements for Taylor and Henderson when they miss.

For the Power, the absence of Ryder saw youngster Dougal Howard take the reigns as first ruck against Essendon. He thrived collecting 13 disposals and 21 hitouts to highlight his ability to play anywhere on the ground. This performance comes just weeks after he equalled his own AFL record of most spoils in a game playing down back. Highlighting even more how much he is rated by the coaching staff, he is holding the ever reliable Jack Hombsch out of the side.

Recent Games:
Round 10, 2017 - Geelong 11.15 (81) def Port Adelaide 11.13 (79) at GMHBA
Round 5 2016 - Geelong 16.11 (107) def Port Adelaide 8.11 (59) at Adelaide Oval
Round 11 2015 - Geelong 14.8 (92) def Port Adelaide 11.3 (69) at Adelaide Oval

Players to watch:
Port Adelaide

Robbie Gray - Our superstar was struggling with groin issues in 2017 and he had a down year. But he looks back to his best this year after a 39 disposal performance against the Bombers. Gray's ball skills and game smarts were sorely missed by us at stages last year around stoppages, but it is highlighted by his rove and goal to down the Saints in Round 18 last year.
Charlie Dixon - The big brute forward should be licking his lips given the state of the Cats backline. No Taylor, no Henderson. Kolodjashnij is the tallest defender standing at 193cm, 7 shorter than Dixon and 11kg lighter. Tom Stewart (190cm) and Jack Henry (191cm) will give support, but an undermanned backline should mean Dixon will kick a bag this week.
Riley Bonner - Had a couple of down games after starting with a career best game against Sydney in Round 1. Will be looking to bounce back and give the Power the run and carry he provides, plus his lethal left boot.

Geelong
Patrick Dangerfield - Has been a bit quieter in the past couple of weeks, but will be looking to get back on track and show the world he is over his hamstring injury. Disposal is still iffy, but he is one of those players who doesn't need many to hurt you with his explosiveness around the contest. A known goal kicker as well, so watch for him to be thrown forward at times.
Brandan Parfitt - Can he back up a career best game? Parfitt was best on ground in the Cats win last week with 28 disposals and 3 goals, but his pressure and game smarts stood out the most. 7 tackles and 16 contested possessions shows that he isn't afraid of getting down and dirty.
Tom Stewart - Another Cat who has exploded out of the blocks to start the season. Stewart is a mature ager from Geelong who in his 2nd season, seems like the general of the backline. Will have a big task ahead of him as I see him going to play on Jack Watts.


Crownbet Odds (as of 17/3)
Port Adelaide $1.52
Geelong $2.55
 

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After the blatant screwjob in Round 10 last year, I want to insert objects into them this Saturday!

Our record against them is shocking, something like 2-17 against them since 2004 so it would be pretty f*****g nice to get a rare one back on them this time.
 
I'll be in Melbourne. The weekend between games there of course. So we should win. Fully expecting that the usual selection policy of:
Ken: 'DROP A TALL!'
Everyone else : 'Wait Ken we haven't started the selection meeting yet'
Ken: "Ok, now we've started. DROP A TALL!"

will prevail. Round 1 seems an eternity ago.
 
I know how this story goes.

We get a bunch of Geelong supporters telling us how bad they are at the moment, how fundamentally flawed they are in several areas and how they're riddled with injuries.

Cue the win against all odds - "we're really proud of the way the boys responded this week"

And Ken:
"Full credit to Geelong, their pressure was immense"
"You can't be just a little bit off your game in this competition, it's just so even..."

I wish I could feel good about this one but heck...
 
Two teams that have potential for top 4 when going at top speed, both well out of sorts and with hard to cover players missing.

Must win game. Probably must win ugly. Not expecting any help from the umpires despite the game being in Adelaide given it feels like everyone in AFL HQ is doubling down on defending these cheats.

Port to get it done in a close one.
 
Geelong by 23.

In 2015 we got off to a rough start and then won 3 in a row, we looked on track until we went to sleep at half time against the Eagles in round 6. From that point on we were buggered. The Brisbane game felt like that WCE game, the Essendon game felt like the bad Brisbane game and the Geelong game feels like it's going to continue rolling in negative fashion like we did against Richmond that year.

It wasn't that we lost, it was how we lost. Continuing to see the same things over and over again from this group just kills your soul. Our contested work is just garbage early when the pressure is on, like the Crows last year, when teams turn up early we just can't go with them. And overall our skills are just so bloody deplorable it isn't funny.

I couldn't hope more that we come out and win and give ourselves a good start of 4-1, but there's just no evidence in our performances that anything has changed yet, and until we see some proof of that it is near impossible to invest yourself fully in believing we're a true contender.
 
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I want us to beat Geelong like a red-headed stepchild, but have zero faith we will do so.

- Result: Geelong by 29 points.
- Spuds who will tear us apart: an unopposed Rhys Stanley in ruck, Cory Gregson, and the sleeveless Guthrie (Zach).
 
I want us to beat Geelong like a red-headed stepchild, but have zero faith we will do so.

- Result: Geelong by 29 points.
- Spuds who will tear us apart: an unopposed Rhys Stanley in ruck, Cory Gregson, and the sleeveless Guthrie (Zach).
Gregson sprained his foot, wont play
 
Remains to be seen what Geelong ruck we will face. In R1 they used Zac Smith, in R2 Rhys Stanley, in R3 Mark Blicavs and in R4 Rhys Stanley again. They lost the rucks the first 3 rounds, unsurprisingly as they were facing Gawn, McEvoy and Naitanui/Lycett. Stanley had more hit-outs than Hickey but neither featured as best players. This would be the first game where Geelong will come up against no ruck, but hopefully they won't have much to talk of either. As has been mentioned Dixon should be able to dominate their much smaller forward line, but only if he is allowed to stay there without running up the field to get the ball and being breathless when he takes his shots for goal.
 
We will win by 5 goals plus.

Port have too many options up forward against an inexperienced Geelong backline.

This is one of the few games we can get away with a makeshift ruckman as Stanley and Smith are not that flash.

Hopefully someone knocks Duckwood's head off.
 

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Preview Round 5 v Geelong at AO

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