- Jun 27, 2013
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Way different scenarios here.You mentioned yesterday we shouldn't trade Greene but rather keep him as F6/7 but you're happy to move on Heath Shaw?
I feel like Shaw would be exactly the same as trading Greene. He can easily become you D6/7
Shaw was about 50k more than Greene at seasons start and priced at about 8-9 points per game more at 101 vs 92.5 or something.
It is far easier for Greene to improve and get close to or better his last seasons average compared to Shaw, not to mention he is performing far better than Shaw also.
Greene is averaging 85 while Shaw is averaging 78
Greene is about 7 points per game below his starting average, not ideal but not a calamity either. All he needs to do is find that extra kick, mark and tackle a week and he immediately improves. I haven't closely looked at his stats, but he seems to be a bit of a campaigner, so potentially he gives a few free kicks away also which may hurt his score (I know Nank and Yeo have hurt their scores recently by having games where they give 3-5 free kicks away which is 9-15 points). 3 of Greene's 5 scores so far have been higher than Shaw's highest score also.
On Shaw, he is 23 points below his starting average, he is an absolute shadow of himself. He is down about 4-5 possessions and 3-4 marks a game compared to last year, which is around about a quarter of his last years output. That is absolutely horrible and trading him out in round 3 or 4 to a performing defensive premium like Adams, or in my case to a Stefan Martin was a solid call imo. It also helps that there are a few solid defensive rookies around in Hampton, Otten and Newman who are averaging around the same as Shaw, so I have no issues fielding 3 defensive rookies currently instead of the two I started off with.
Summing up, Greene is better off than Shaw by 16 points currently based on this years output to last years. There also isn't a great number of premium forwards this year with a few speculative types in ANB, Tex, B Hill, J Cameron etc that are doing well currently, so I think he'll be fine at F6/7 at seasons end. Shaw on other hand, nope. Adams, Lloyd, Lairdy, Docherty, Simpson, Joey and potentially Hodge are miles ahead of him currently, even a Roberton, Hunt or Salem who are the speculative/breakout types.
Boyd, Shaw and Vince are well under what is expected of them, but if I were to think 1 may come good then it's probably Vince as he has had 1 poor score which has affected his price/average, but his other 3 scores added together are roughly what he averaged last year, plus he has DPP, he could be a solid D6-7/M9 type.