Keys
Looking for a cloud to yell at
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GMGBA Stadium Saturday April 24
R6 2019 - 7.4 46 v 15.14 104 (58)
R7 2016 - 12.7 79 v 18.15 123 (44)
R4 2014 - 4.8 32 v 16.11 107 (75)
R22 2010 - 10.8 68 v 16.16 112
(44)
R22 2008 - 10.5 65 v 24.20 164 (99)
R7 2007 - 10.10 70 v 16.13 109 (39)
R10 2006 - 16.5 101 v 15.8 98 Hallelujah
We’ve had more losses at Kardinia Park since our last win than that stadium has had name changes or currently has letters in the alphabet in its title.
Lost our last 6 by an average margin of 10 goals and since the turn of the century have the grand total of 1 win and a draw from 12 attempts.
Graveyard doesn’t even begin to describe our record there. (It used to be good - we held a 7-5 record there prior to 2000).
To say this game is a challenge is an understatement but let’s get into why we can defy history and beat these ****ers.
This is also a good spot to advise that your favourite
Recent Form
Both sides enter this match with 3-2 records on the back of some patchy form to start the season although Geelong were one non-HTB decision from being 2-3.
The WCE have gone W-L based on home and away games despite leading at 3/4 time in both their away games. Geelong lost their season opener on the road to Adelaide, split their MCG games with a narrow win over Hawthorn and a loss to the chest puffers (Melbourne), and had unconvincing home wins against Brisbane (should’ve been a loss umpire) and perennial footnote North Melbourne
Both sides will be looking to consolidate their position in the top 8 with a win to get their season on track after indifferent starts.
Team Changes
Geelong look set to lose Dangerfield for several weeks following ankle surgery but will welcome boom recruit Jeremy Cameron into the hoops for the first time. Higgins is the only other noteworthy best 22 player missing through injury.
Enough of them, what about us you say.
Pending our penchant for last minute injury notifications it would appear JK is the only player under a cloud from last weeks side that may require a forced change to the land of giants that defeated Collingwood. My hunch is he won’t make the trip and the club take the opportunity to freshen him up for the Derby- his record against Geelong is kinda shit too, averaging 2 goals a game over 14 games and just 3 wins.
So who replaces him?
Despite our win over Collingwood the side looked unbalanced with too many talls so I’d be looking for a running player to come into the team. Most likely the JJ hokey pokey to play against the team that didn’t want him after a solid outing for the beagles. Perhaps Winder if he’s overcome the illness that kept him out of the beagles last weekend
Langdon and O’Neill aren’t guaranteed selection after quiet games against Telstra but I think they’ll survive
Out : JK
In : JJ
Key Matchups
WCE v Four(th) Quarters
When we’re good we’re very very good but when we’re bad we’re horrid.
So far we’ve been unable to string together 4 solid quarters of football with the Gold Coast game possibly the closest we’ve come to 4 consistent quarters. Lapses in our home games have only cost us some % which may or may not be significant come seasons end. But it’s our inability to run out games on the road that have arguably cost us two wins given we led both the bulldogs and Saints at 3/4 time
If we can play our best footy and sustain it for more than a 1 or 2 quarter burst we’ll win
TB/Gov v Punchy and his new mate
Tommy Barrass has been in pretty good form so far, however Gov has been mixed as clubs find ways to expose his lack of accountability. Hawkins has given us trouble in the past with his strength and will be hoping to improve on his average score of 2.3 this year given he’s normally more accurate than that. Cameron doesn’t have a good record against us averaging less goals vs West Coast than any other side
Geelong have struggled so far to find a consistent Avenue to goal with only Hawkins (10) kicking more than 5 for the season so far. Containing their new twin pillars we be a key
The
Conversely all roads to goal lead through Darling(15), Allen (14) and Kennedy (13) for West Coast. As a triple threat they’ve been hard to contain as a collective. With the likely absence of JK Geelongs job just got a little easier as outside that trio our other forwards have struggled.
We’ll be looking to Waterman to step into the 3rd tall role and hit the scoreboard for the first time this year. It’d be nice if Vardy can have an impact up forward as well since he’ll likely see more game time but I won’t hold my breath
Kelly v the ferals
TK returns to the Corio boghole for the first time since his release and he can expect a hostile reception from the inbreds. He’ll also have to deal with a hard tag from O’Connor who is set to return from injury
He will be familiar with the ground and I’m sure he’ll set himself for a big game. We’ll need it
Summary
History says Geelong win this and win it by a lot, however, they’ve looked vulnerable there in their two games and without Dangerfield this is a great opportunity for us notwithstanding our own injuries.
But to build on Simpson’s words **** history, **** you and **** them
West Coast by 24
And tune in to our live commentary
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