- Nov 2, 2012
- 528
- 1,055
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
Be nice. Its not hard.
Well said sir.
Follow along with the video below to see how to install our site as a web app on your home screen.
Note: This feature may not be available in some browsers.
AFLW 2024 - Round 10 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
Be nice. Its not hard.
Garlett was exactly one player who was not picked up in his draft year based not on natural talent, but his behaviours and background.Are you saying nothing or little of use can be gleaned from a young players background and past behaviour?
Garlett was exactly one player who was not picked up in his draft year based not on natural talent, but his behaviours and background.
Hawthorn took a punt on him, didn't work.
yesAre you saying nothing or little of use can be gleaned from a young players background and past behaviour?
The stockbrokers and fund managers don't work alone either. They have whole teams of analysts who feed them information and report to them daily. It has never stopped them from making their own "captains calls". Often the underlings also become invested in finding or providing support for the "captains calls". You know how people like to please their bosses right. You might now say pppft .. how often does that happen? The answer is : more often than not! So much depends on the state of mind of our leaders. When it comes to drafting the buck stops with Hine. That means it's HIS head on the line and that means HE makes the ultimate calls...Your argument appears to be a bit self contained. What I mean by this is your argument assumes Hine does everything himself. Hine makes his decisions based on information his team gathers and is based on the team findings / discussions/ research. He is not working alone: If he was he would not be employed in his role.
no shit sherlock!I guess billions are being wasted around the wolrd on human resources departments.
nice stats.. thanks for the help.. love you Walter!One meta-analysis of predictive correlations for future performance in the workplace:
0.54 past performance
0.53 intelligence
0.23 interviewing
Interviewing is typically poor: confirmation bias, charisma trap, gut-feel nonsense, killer questions etc
Stone Cold Steve Austin What? What ? What ?He has got a bionic ear , sure his nickname will be Steve Austin the Six Million DOLLAR man
I assume that they'd do a fair bit more than just interview the player to get an understanding of his character.The best psychologists in the world can not get close to figuring this sort of stuff out; about a persons lifestyle; attitudes; intentions and other personality traits from one or two interviews.. are you saying Hine and Matty Rendell can... in a job interview situation? ..... Seriously?
But was Sier not the definition of "speculative". Then he has followed it up with another first pick which has taken the "pundits" by surprise. We do know that the "pundits" generally are pretty accurate year after year in their overall draft predictions. Hence my concern regarding the human frailties I outlined above. I think you will find that Sier and McClarty are both very big calls in terms of determining the future of Derek Hine. He's either going to be proved to be very clever, or a failed gambler.
I think you've been fooled by the fact that these were our first draft choices in these respective drafts. They were picks in the early 30s. Historically, picks in this range are very speculative to start with.
The stockbrokers and fund managers don't work alone either. They have whole teams of analysts who feed them information and report to them daily. It has never stopped them from making their own "captains calls". Often the underlings also become invested in finding or providing support for the "captains calls". You know how people like to please their bosses right. You might now say pppft .. how often does that happen? The answer is : more often than not! So much depends on the state of mind of our leaders. When it comes to drafting the buck stops with Hine. That means it's HIS head on the line and that means HE makes the ultimate calls...
Looking at this draft, I can't help thinking that first pick won't be too sorely missed.Correct. People convenienetly forget our first pick in both years went on Treloar.
His popping shoulder doesn't inflate me with hope. Will we again lament a year crippled by unlucky injuries, with 'Farty McLarty's' shoulder popping like snaps and crackles in a bowl of milk? The boy has a couple of years before he'll be expected to be ready for seniors, but there must be a dark cloud hanging over his AFL horizon. I don't mind the look of the guy but shoulder reconstructions don't form an ideal entry path to AFL football.Sounds Promising but the Injury Concern is a Worry. Good that he is Versatile
But not as speculative as Sier. Picks in this range would generally be more conservative and needs based, with an eye eagerly poised for a sliding first/early second rounder rather than someone that virtually no one even realised existed.I think you've been fooled by the fact that these were our first draft choices in these respective drafts. They were picks in the early 30s. Historically, picks in this range are very speculative to start with.
Look at past drafts, it's an approach that fails more often than not.But not as speculative as Sier. Picks in this range would generally be more conservative and needs based, with an eye eagerly poised for a sliding first/early second rounder rather than someone that virtually no one even realised existed.
Maynard was a good pick-up at 30. To me that is a comparable position to Sier's but a very different approach and perhaps result.Look at past drafts, it's an approach that fails more often than not.