Player Watch Sam McLarty (Delisted 2018)

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Are you saying nothing or little of use can be gleaned from a young players background and past behaviour?
Garlett was exactly one player who was not picked up in his draft year based not on natural talent, but his behaviours and background.
Hawthorn took a punt on him, didn't work.
 

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Not going to pretend to be able to provide any insightful comments on the basis of two minutes of footage of a kid I wouldn't have known from a bar of soap

Seems a good kid, it's a nice story in terms of him dealing with deafness, you can only wish him well (and hope his shoulders hold up, by the sounds).
 
Your argument appears to be a bit self contained. What I mean by this is your argument assumes Hine does everything himself. Hine makes his decisions based on information his team gathers and is based on the team findings / discussions/ research. He is not working alone: If he was he would not be employed in his role.
The stockbrokers and fund managers don't work alone either. They have whole teams of analysts who feed them information and report to them daily. It has never stopped them from making their own "captains calls". Often the underlings also become invested in finding or providing support for the "captains calls". You know how people like to please their bosses right. You might now say pppft .. how often does that happen? The answer is : more often than not! So much depends on the state of mind of our leaders. When it comes to drafting the buck stops with Hine. That means it's HIS head on the line and that means HE makes the ultimate calls...
 
One meta-analysis of predictive correlations for future performance in the workplace:

0.54 past performance

0.53 intelligence

0.23 interviewing

Interviewing is typically poor: confirmation bias, charisma trap, gut-feel nonsense, killer questions etc
nice stats.. thanks for the help.. love you Walter!
 

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The best psychologists in the world can not get close to figuring this sort of stuff out; about a persons lifestyle; attitudes; intentions and other personality traits from one or two interviews.. are you saying Hine and Matty Rendell can... in a job interview situation? ..... Seriously?
I assume that they'd do a fair bit more than just interview the player to get an understanding of his character.
 
But was Sier not the definition of "speculative". Then he has followed it up with another first pick which has taken the "pundits" by surprise. We do know that the "pundits" generally are pretty accurate year after year in their overall draft predictions. Hence my concern regarding the human frailties I outlined above. I think you will find that Sier and McClarty are both very big calls in terms of determining the future of Derek Hine. He's either going to be proved to be very clever, or a failed gambler.

I think you've been fooled by the fact that these were our first draft choices in these respective drafts. They were picks in the early 30s. Historically, picks in this range are very speculative to start with.
 
Looks good in the footage. Good size and speed. A good intercept mark. And a neat if not damaging kick. Seems to make his decisions quickly to execute. All of that already gives him a few more strings to his bow than Frost and Brown. Given that lets just hope we can develop him.
 
I think you've been fooled by the fact that these were our first draft choices in these respective drafts. They were picks in the early 30s. Historically, picks in this range are very speculative to start with.

Correct. People convenienetly forget our first pick in both years went on Treloar.
 
The stockbrokers and fund managers don't work alone either. They have whole teams of analysts who feed them information and report to them daily. It has never stopped them from making their own "captains calls". Often the underlings also become invested in finding or providing support for the "captains calls". You know how people like to please their bosses right. You might now say pppft .. how often does that happen? The answer is : more often than not! So much depends on the state of mind of our leaders. When it comes to drafting the buck stops with Hine. That means it's HIS head on the line and that means HE makes the ultimate calls...

Analogy is a poor form of argument. If your premise is incorrect then so too will be your conclusion.

Your premise is that Hine is making bad decisions because he is under pressure to retain his job. That at best is speculative. To support the argument you make an absurd (in my view) case that Hine makes decisions without recourse to his team which you label a captains call. Again this is speculative at best & comes across as an argument looking for a cause. It reads very text book & inherently narrow.

If Hine made captains calls without the due diligence of his team & made decisions without recourse to the research / modelling / discussions and investigations of his team he would be unemployed. As simple as that. I disagree with your view as I think it is inherently narrow & for me defies logic.

However it is your view & that's fine. I happen to disagree.
 
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Correct. People convenienetly forget our first pick in both years went on Treloar.
Looking at this draft, I can't help thinking that first pick won't be too sorely missed.
Brown and Daicos were a given. Seriously excited by prospects of Kirby now that we got Wells and Varcoe at our club.
McLarty seems to be made of the right stuff. Leadership, desire, big bodied and some friendly faces in the squad already.
And no go-home factor either. If we can get the other Berg on Monday, I will be seriously squealing.
 
Sounds Promising but the Injury Concern is a Worry. Good that he is Versatile
His popping shoulder doesn't inflate me with hope. Will we again lament a year crippled by unlucky injuries, with 'Farty McLarty's' shoulder popping like snaps and crackles in a bowl of milk? The boy has a couple of years before he'll be expected to be ready for seniors, but there must be a dark cloud hanging over his AFL horizon. I don't mind the look of the guy but shoulder reconstructions don't form an ideal entry path to AFL football.
 
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I think you've been fooled by the fact that these were our first draft choices in these respective drafts. They were picks in the early 30s. Historically, picks in this range are very speculative to start with.
But not as speculative as Sier. Picks in this range would generally be more conservative and needs based, with an eye eagerly poised for a sliding first/early second rounder rather than someone that virtually no one even realised existed.
 
But not as speculative as Sier. Picks in this range would generally be more conservative and needs based, with an eye eagerly poised for a sliding first/early second rounder rather than someone that virtually no one even realised existed.
Look at past drafts, it's an approach that fails more often than not.
 
Gotta say im really shattered we didnt pick one or both of Battle/Kerr but anyhow welcome mate!
I feel like he could be used as a Ben Reid-type swingman who can play at both key posts. Might give bucks options to throw him forward to give Darcy a chop out against oppositions that have multiple tall defenders.
 

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Player Watch Sam McLarty (Delisted 2018)

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