I was looking at the amount of draws from the Premier League, Division 1, Seire A & Bundesliga, and the amount of draws was roughly 3.2/10 per weekend per league.
Now, I know my leagues quite well and can more or less cut out a lot of obvious games that won't be draws.
If I were to (for next soccer season) choose 10 games each weekend that could be draws, at average odds of around $3.25 @ $20 per game:
3 draws = ((3.25*20) * 3 = 195 - 200 = a loss of $5
--------------------------------------------------
Now every exata draw will be $65 extra, so 4 draws = 260 profit of $60 and so on, but remember this is just for $20 on each game, if you were to place $50, 4 draws would profit you $150.
What does everyone think of this theory? It just popped in my head.
Now, I know my leagues quite well and can more or less cut out a lot of obvious games that won't be draws.
If I were to (for next soccer season) choose 10 games each weekend that could be draws, at average odds of around $3.25 @ $20 per game:
3 draws = ((3.25*20) * 3 = 195 - 200 = a loss of $5
--------------------------------------------------
Now every exata draw will be $65 extra, so 4 draws = 260 profit of $60 and so on, but remember this is just for $20 on each game, if you were to place $50, 4 draws would profit you $150.
What does everyone think of this theory? It just popped in my head.