The daily punt- October

[2121]

ballart racing ill post my selections tomorrow.

 

[Purrfect Pussies]

Ballarat 01/10

Race 1: Morssa 1st $2.20
Race 2: Old Regret
Race 3: Lady Gaga
Race 4: Craquelure 3rd
Race 5: Red Emperor 1st $3.40
Race 6: No Vacancy
Rcae 7: Eightways 1st $2.70
Race 8: Elegance Dragon 1st $3.00

Good Luck and Happy Punting.

 

[TheBlackPrince]

Ballarat 1/10 (Dead5, no downgrade likely - Rail out 3m to the 800m, then out 10m to the WP)

Race 1 - French Secret
Race 2 - Savaging
Race 3 - Lady Gaga
Race 4 - Hartley's Choice
Race 5 - Excuse My French
Race 6 - Redwood Park
Race 7 - Eightways
Race 8 - Brand New Pair

Best Bet - Eightways
Best Each-way - Redwood Park
Best at odds - Hartley's Choice

 

[not quite rite]

ballarat
race 1 no 7 tamland 4th
race 2 no 10 pretty 2nd
race 3 no 4 still dirrty 4th
race 4 no 2 craquelure 2nd
race 5 no 5 the red emperor 1st
race 6 no 7 danish puss 3rd
race 7 no 2 eightways
race 8 no 2 fuji fame

 

[carn tigez]

Ballarat

Race 1: FRENCH SECRET 3rd $1.60
Race 2: SAVAGING Nothing
Race 3: LADY GAGA Nothing
Race 4: THINK MONEY Nothing
Race 5: THE RED EMPEROR 1st $3.40 $1.40
Race 6: NO VACANCY Nothing
Race 7: EIGHTWAYS 1st $2.70 $1.50
Race 8: ELEGANCE DRAGON 1st $3 $1.40


Race 3: 10-1 box exacta Lost
Race 5: 5-1 box exacta Lost
Race 6: 13-1 box exacta Lost
Race 7: 2-12 box exacta Lost
Race 8: 5-1 box exacta Lost

26 units spent
15 units gained

11 unit loss

 

[Santoz]

BALLARAT

1 - Packing Prince 2nd $2.90
2 - The Comedian 1st $3.30 & $1.30
3 - Groovy Choice 1st $2.30 & $1.30
4 - Undiscovered 4th
5 - The Red Emperor 1st $3.40 & $1.40
6 - No Vacancy
7 - Global Conqueror
8 - Brand New Pair 2nd $2.30

 

[tarky]

anyone here watch the racing on bigpond? i can't get video now since they've gone and changed the format

 

[Lockyer24]

Eightways was my only bet today.... crapped myself nearly

 

[TheBlackPrince]

Kyneton 2/10 (Dead 4)

Nice track up there!!

Race 1 - Superfly Sister
Race 2 - The Eighth Marker
Race 3 - Phone Me Archie
Race 4 - Snowy On The Tram
Race 5 - Spirit Of Kintyre
Race 6 - Jagger Crow
Race 7 - Lakedro
Race 8 - The Annihilator

Best Bet - Lakedro
Best Each way - Snowy On The Tram
Best at odds - Spirit Of Kintyre

1 bet today - All-up win the Eighth Marker into Lakedro

 

[carn tigez]

Kyneton

Race 1: MISS PHROMILY
Race 2: THE EIGHTH MAKER
Race 3: PHONE ME ARCHIE
Race 4: SNOWY ON THE TRAM
Race 5: BELAHINA
Race 6: YA STILL WONDER
Race 7: GIGANTOR
Race 8: ALL THE QUEUES

Race 1: 3-4 box exacta
Race 3: 8,9/8,9,11,13/8,9,11,13 trifecta
Race 5: 2-11 box exacta
Race 6: 2-1 box exacta
Race 7: 7-8 box exacta - BET OF THE DAY

 

[Santoz]

KYNETON

1 - Hostage To Fortune 3rd $1.90
2 - The Eighth Maker 1st $1.60 & $1.10
3 - Stars
4 - Bishop Of Derry
5 - Belahina 3rd $1.60
6 - Count The Diamonds 1st $2.70 & $1.70
7 - Lakedro $1.70 & $1.20
8 - The Annihilator 2nd $1.50

 

[Danger Mouse]

Tomorrow in the metrop i might have my first bet in a year on gallops on Enzedex Eagle e/w (quoted 18-1 in the sun) ... Before i commit, i'd apreciate some advice to his winning chances from someone like Nuke or Lockyer if you guys are around? Thanks!

 

[TheBlackPrince]

Tomorrow in the metrop i might have my first bet in a year on gallops on Enzedex Eagle e/w (quoted 18-1 in the sun) ... Before i commit, i'd apreciate some advice to his winning chances from someone like Nuke or Lockyer if you guys are around? Thanks!

DM (and anyone else betting Sydney tomorrow), be aware of the deteriorating conditions. If you are doing form, look at a Dead track at best. Forecast is for some rain overnight and tomorrow.

As for Enzedex Eagle, I think he is great e/w value. Currently $23 on TAB sportbet, he will appreciate the cut in the ground with the expected rain. Barrier 14 should not be a real problem, whilst he and Lodge the Deeds get some weight relief from Newcastle Gold cup winner, Streetfighter. Has won at the distance so you don't have to worry about him staying.

Speed Gifted could come out and go bang, however I'd rather take the longer odds of the 3 Newcastle Gold cup placegetters and roll the dice!!

 

[TheBlackPrince]

5mins til Auckland Reactor vs Monkey King and Mr Feelgood.
Should be a cracking race!!!

Edit: Huge run by AR, but is still suspect in standing starts

 

[rizzo]

The missus just put money on Cats Whisker at $110 fixed odds on sportsbet. Must be a mistake, but she is laughing atm!!

 

[Trevanian]

The missus just put money on Cats Whisker at $110 fixed odds on sportsbet. Must be a mistake, but she is laughing atm!!

Centrebet:

Cats Whisker 8.50 9.00* 2.90 2.90*

Another Rizzo Family Fix!!!

How you get away with it!!! I will never know........you must have EPO flowing through your veins

 

[rizzo]

centrebet:


Another rizzo family fix!!!

How you get away with it!!! I will never know........you must have epo flowing through your veins

hahaha!!

 

[dr nick]

HEDGE!!!

$10 now

 

[rizzo]

HEDGE!!!

$10 now

What would be the best way to do it?

 

[dr nick]

really looking forward to the carnival tomorrow.

4 group 1 races including the Metropolitan and the Epsom Hcp at Randwick. Then there's the Turnbull Stakes at Flemington.

Randwick also sees all the unraced and new 2yo's colts, geldings & fillies at set weights. 10 race card as well

 

[Lion El'Johnson]

I've seen quite a few mistakes like that on sportsbet the last couple of years. The few I placed on I got a call saying they would be voiding it.

 

[dr nick]

What would be the best way to do it?

well the absolute ideal way to do it would be on betfair, say you put $10 at 110/1, you could lay $100 at 11/1 and guarantee $85.68 whichever horse won

(that includes commission... i just did the hypothetical bet just then)

If your just using IAS or s-bet, you could heavily back the favourites, like $100 each, chuck maybe $30 on the mid lines of betting and about $5-10 on the real outsiders, guaranteeing you a profit no matter what (that's complicated tho)

or... you win over a grand if you just let it ride, and just hope it gets up.

hmm decisions decisions.... but i envy your predicament. Do you think it will win?

 

[rizzo]

well the absolute ideal way to do it would be on betfair, say you put $10 at 110/1, you could lay $100 at 11/1 and guarantee $85.68 whichever horse won

(that includes commission... i just did the hypothetical bet just then)

If your just using IAS or s-bet, you could heavily back the favourites, like $100 each, chuck maybe $30 on the mid lines of betting and about $5-10 on the real outsiders, guaranteeing you a profit no matter what (that's complicated tho)

or... you win over a grand if you just let it ride, and just hope it gets up.

hmm decisions decisions.... but i envy your predicament. Do you think it will win?

Think we shall just ride this one and hope it gets up at E/W odds

 

[dr nick]

yep, just ride it out. Personally i'd have a bit on Hot Danish and Neroli just in case. good luck... but 2 weeks in a row for the cats? dunno

 

[rizzo]

yep, just ride it out. Personally i'd have a bit on Hot Danish and Neroli just in case. good luck... but 2 weeks in a row for the cats? dunno

I guess we will soon see

Just done my form Maldivian to win the Turnball