I understand why your MO is to talk up teams who get on a run during the back half of the season, finish strong and claim the premiership with a strong win/loss record and percentage over the final 8/10/12 games of the season.
We're all very well aware it's because Richmond weren't able to maintain elite form over the course of a full season in the way that the best premiers this century have. The one chance they had to maintain form over a full season was 2018, and we all know how that worked out for you.
I started a thread this season entitled 'The Changing Face of The Premiership Favourite', because year on year, the Premiership Favouritism fluctuates on close to a week by week basis. Collingwood were installed as Premiership Favourites after round 3, and retained favouritism for the remainder of the season, including on Grand Final Day. And they won the premiership.
When was the last time this happened? Essendon 2000?
Here is the form line leading into the finals for the other teams that were still alive on Semi Final Day:
Brisbane - 9 wins, 2 losses in final 11 home and away games;
GWS - 9 wins, 2 losses in final 11 home and away games;
Carlton - 9 wins, 1 loss in final 10 home and away matches (the loss being a dead rubber against GWS, when they couldn't move from 5th place on the ladder in the final round);
Melbourne - 7 wins, 1 loss in final 11 home and away games;
Port Adelaide - the outlier with only three wins from their final 7 games (though had won 13 matches on the trot prior to that).
So in your deluded world, if any of Brisbane, GWS, Carlton or Melbourne win the flag, they are a strong premier based on their form leading into finals, in addition to winning three finals to win the flag (regardless of whether they lose their Qualifying Final).
But if a team wins 16 of their first 18 matches, secures top 4 and most likely top 2 by that stage, manages their list with an eye on the finals and in the process drop 3 of their last 5 matches, but go through the finals undefeated by beating three of the above 'form' teams, that team is a weak premier because of their form leading into the finals was poor and their winning margins in finals weren't great enough?
Boy oh boy Wowee!
Long and very confusing post trying to justify why Collingwood had the weakest finals performance of any Premier in history but are somehow supposed to be a stronger Premier than most in the last decade, which includes 2 triple Premiership dynasty teams who absolutely dominated finals.
There are 3 games and only 3 games that tell you how good a Premiership team really is Fadge. That is the 3 FINALS games they HAVE to win to secure the flag. How they get there is subject to all sorts of different issues, including whether the team themselves is fully wound up at different stages of the home and away season as you have more or less conceded in your post.
Had Brisbane or GWS for eg kicked one more goal and beaten Collingwood in the PF or GF then under my way of assessing these things they would simply have been a 1 goal better team than they are now. So you have written some absolute tripe born of your own imagination about how I assess the relative strength of Premiership teams.
To be clear, a Premiership team could have a 23-0 home and away record @ 200% but if they fall over the line in each of their finals and require luck to do so, then they cannot be a historically strong Premier. Conversely a team could qualify for finals with 10 wins in the home and away season then smash their way through the finals series and they are a historically strong Premier. Neither of these things happen too often to any great degree, normally the strongest finals team comes from the strongest few home and away teams. This year though there was no clear strongest finals team, and given Collingwood's many advantages afforded by the finals system there is an argument to say they were not even the best performed team in the finals series.