There is no team in the 8 with a finals record that could make them confident. Collingwood have as good a recent finals record as anyone. If finals are a different game, as the cliché goes, then Collingwood can play that game. Adelaide have yet to prove they can and they would be the favourites except for any match between them and West Coast. If West Coast finish second they don’t meet until the GF and West Coast would be favoured to get that far with home finals. Adelaide and West Coast have to be the favoured grand finalists with the betting for the game pretty even. St. Kilda, Melbourne, Collingwood and Sydney all have some claims but IMO Sydney aren’t up to it this year. As for Collingwood’s chances, I don’t think we can beat either Adelaide or West Coast at their home but we can beat anyone at the G in September. Of course the GF is a different matter before anyone states the obvious.