Oddly - Sam Walsh. I know he was no 1 pick and all, and looked like a player who was ready for AFL day one, but I somehow formed the opinion that his ceiling wasn’t any higher and he would spend his career as a smaller sized okay type accumulator who wasn’t especially damaging.
I ballsed up that prediction big time. Probably owe him a letter of apology
This one always annoyed me.
We gave Dixon and Waite 10 years, Rayner is still getting excuses 5 years, as are plenty of other high picks (LDU, Dow etc).
But lots and lots of pundits, and media people like Kane Cornes, were writing him off based on his first couple of months as an AFL player, as a skinny kid in a shit team.
Not having a go at you, I've got plenty wrong too, just never understood how it was almost universal that Walsh would never improve, he would always be the 2019 wing type version. Normally these high picks are given years and years before people go oh ok maybe he isn't going to improve, Walsh got about 6 weeks before it was decided he'd be an ineffective stats mid. With time and strength added he was always going to be a super mid.