For context… there are currently 32 Legends in the HoF from over 100 years of football, across the four main state leagues up until the 1980s and the AFL since.Not at all, I named two walkups in GAJ and Franklin who I think can get in on just their playing CVs alone. The age spread between the players is 14 years; that is 80-110 HOF inductees at current rates, so approximately 8 to 11 legends at the current 10% max HOF rate, minus at least one or two historical spots for 6-9 legends.
Two or three will probably miss due to either poor coaching records or just getting on with their lives after football and not coaching. Good coaching records have strong weight in Legend status whilst administration, commentating/journalism and personal conduct all play apart as well.
In my mind they are all Legend worthy (Oliver TBD), but some will likely just not make it because their contemporary peers stayed with the game longer and achieved more success on the sidelines which they can't control. For example if someone like Petracca at his current record (future HOF) coaches two or three premierships in the future that might be enough to jump Gawn or Bont if they just go cycling and make coffee after footy.
All the players except Martin still have a chance to move into a walk-up player spot alongside GAJ and Franklin. Martin is probably already in the same tier as GAJ and Franklin, but I'll reserve judgement to see how unprecedented his finals record will be in another 15-25 years.
Legend status is only for football and coaching deeds. Administration, commentating, journalism and being a good bloke are not factors, although being a campaigner might see you disqualified.
I think you should study the records of the 32 Legends and have a re-think about what might be required to be awarded that honour.
While I agree that GAJ, Buddy and possibly Dusty might get there on playing record alone I think the others all might be some way off. Pendlebury as a two-time premiership player, 6xAA and AFL games record holder (potentially) might just need one flag as a coach. Neale would need another Brownlow and then a few coaching flags. Gawn, Dangerfield and Oliver would need four coaching flags.
Yes it could happen, but it is so unlikely for even just one of them it’s not worth contemplating.