Who will win the Brownlow?

[fairdinkum]

I have put my coin on Swallow to out-poll Harvey. Came in from $2 to $1.80 in the space of not much time so I'm not sure what is going on there. Also put a few smaller bets on Swallow to poll in the top five and three. Very unlikely, I know, but he stepped it up from last season (when he polled 17) and we won more matches so it is not out of the realms of possibility. Only has Harvey to take the 3s off him in most of our wins, Petrie/Wells/Basti/Anthony to pinch a few votes here and there.

Swallow big chance for three in Rounds 2, 5, 8, 17, 18.

For the main thing I have backed Mitchell (but only with a smaller bet) to keep things interesting if the umps hate Swallow early. Winner to get more than 29.5, too.

 

[nicshata]

hopefully for my sake scott thompson wins it

 

[Ravenous Crow]

Josh Kennedy's looking like pretty good value. Early season form was outstanding and his great work in close will get noticed by the umps.

If Jobe wins tonight, I'll have the 49ers to win the Super Bowl @ 220-1...they've firmed in the first 2 weeks of the season to 1st or 2nd favourite at 6's and 7's with most agencies - niners were 18-1 and Jobe I think around 16's when I put this on in Feb......and from what I've seen of the niners, green bay and the patriots this year, i'm REALLY hoping Jobe gets up as the niners are looking a very complete side.

I take it you're yet to see last night's replay?

 

[The House]

Josh Kennedy's looking like pretty good value. Early season form was outstanding and his great work in close will get noticed by the umps.


I take it you're yet to see last night's replay?

It was an anomoly god dammit!! - patriots lost too Either ways i'm pretty sure any of us would take the niners @ 220-1 given the option.

 

[Catswin12]

think jobe is an absolute certainty to be leading at round 13, at $2 will be putting a lot of money on it

You may have done very well.

 

[Simple Jack]

Probably Watson......

 

[Barry_Badrinath]

FWIW, a fairly detailed forecast that's currently doing the rounds on email, from "Global Markets Research" and apparently with the backing of Commonwealth Bank market analysts, predicts the following result:

35 Ablett
32 Swan
30 Thompson
28 Watson
26 Beams
25 Dangerfield
23 Boyd
22 Kennedy
20 Pavlich, Franklin
19 Deledio
18 Stanton
17 Jack
15 Murphy, Harvey, Hawkins, Selwood x 2
14 Kerr, Griffen, McVeigh
13 Rockliff, Dal Santo, Pendlebury, Hannebery
12 S.Johnson, Cox, Mitchell, Cotchin

Lol. Commonwealth bank pissing their money up against the wall.

 

[Rise_up_Stiffy]

$350 up on Scott Thompson top 5, thankyou very much. Will also take my Giles, S Selwood, Swan, Kennedy, Judd multi. Got stitched up by Harvey and Hartlett in a few multis. Rockliff drawing with rich wasn't great either.

 

[Call Me Cake]

When I made this thread, I knew Jobe would win it.

I didn't even need an answer to the question.

But thanks anyway guys!



(just kidding, I had no idea)

 

[fairdinkum]

I have put my coin on Swallow to out-poll Harvey. Came in from $2 to $1.80 in the space of not much time so I'm not sure what is going on there... Only has Harvey to take the 3s off him in most of our wins, Petrie/Wells/Basti/Anthony to pinch a few votes here and there.

Swallow big chance for three in Rounds 2, 5, 8, 17, 18.

Heart in the mouth stuff with the Swallow most votes for NM bet. Almost pipped by Bastinac. Just got there in the end so I had a good night all up.

For the main thing I have backed Mitchell (but only with a smaller bet) to keep things interesting if the umps hate Swallow early. Winner to get more than 29.5, too.

30 votes, thanks Jobe.

 

[juzzo]

Final Count:
31 Watson(30)
28 Ablett(24)
28 Beams(19)
27 Thompson(25)
25 Dangerfield(23)
23 Swan(25)

When your right 52% of the time your wrong 48% of the time. Completely missed Cotchin and Mitchell, also over-rated Beams. Fairly happy with the rest though given it's my first year doing it.

 

[Rustin Cohle]

1. Watson
=2. Cotchin, Mitchell
=3. Ablett, Kennedy, Swan
4. Thompson

Close. Damn.

 

[The House]

I'm not a big gambler, and by that i mean i bet about 4-8 times a week during the season, always a $5 bet (or at least 95% of the time).

But today I bet:

$10 on Jobe to be in front by round 13 @ even money (absolutely knew that would win, should have gone to town in hindsight).
$5 Watson, Mitchell, Cotchin tri @ $300
$5 Watson, Cotchin Mitchell tri @ 200

= $1250 win + around Feb/March

$5 Watson Brownlow + West Coast flag, lost $5 @ approx 150-1
$5 Watson Brownlow + 49ers super bowl (current favourites @$7) @ 220-1.

If the niners win, I'll be up well over $2K from $30 that I've bet on this Brownlow including all multi's - thank you Jobe

(at worst i've increased my $30 by $1220 )

/happy days.

 

[Watson_my_mind]

Fuuarkk, I put $10 on Jobe/Swans flag paying $28 the weekend leading up to semi finals Was good value then and looks like getting up