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  1. F

    USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

    The Left is going to have to abandon some of the terms of centerism and speak to voters grievances with real solutions. Like a gun, the only way you take a social democratic gain from a middle class voter is ‘from their cold dead hands’
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    USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

    Under the current system that’s pretty much never, at least in the middle of America
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    USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

    For me, the GOP playing the victim card after running for weeks on everyone needing to harden up just isn’t working.
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    What would a Dutton Liberal leadership mean for the Liberals and the country?

    Sunk costs mean that existing end of life plants are cheap up until the point they need to be upgraded, then renewables are far cheaper.
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    USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

    Just when you think the Trump campaign couldn't get any crazier they find a way to take it up a notch.
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    Qld Queensland State Election 2024

    Jay Weatherill pulled off an unlikely election save with a swing against to the Libs, but they made gains mostly in seats they already held.
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    Qld Queensland State Election 2024

    Will early votes favour the LNP?
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    Play Nice 45th President of the United States: Donald Trump - Part 20: The Decline of Donald

    ‘Control your border or a Fascist will’ is probably the defining issue of our age in Aus/UK/USA.
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    Play Nice 45th President of the United States: Donald Trump - Part 20: The Decline of Donald

    I remember in 2016 the press tried to tell everyone ‘oh it’s the forgotten people’ who voted for him, but now after seeing a 4 year term with nothing achieved of note for the middle class everyone is ‘oh, it’s the racism, definitely the racism’
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    What would a Dutton Liberal leadership mean for the Liberals and the country?

    That’s not how government works, a plan written on the back of a piece of toilet paper isn’t a plan for the national energy grid. We built our systems around baseload because we had to make up for the fact that coal plants couldn’t be turned off and therefore wouldn’t be economic. Dispatchable...
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    What would a Dutton Liberal leadership mean for the Liberals and the country?

    every state premier has said they don’t want nuclear in their state, so it’s another likely cause of delay and serious protests + backlash. Dutton’s plan lacks credibility.
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    Jacinta Allan - Leading a zombie government

    If she gets a statue I suggest it is placed in Brighton with her pointing to a development
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    What would a Dutton Liberal leadership mean for the Liberals and the country?

    Not without a better agenda. The Nats are hanging over the Libs like the sword of Damocles if they ever try to offer up action on climate change. Dutton is busy going to the regions to try and stop offshore wind farms.
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    What would a Dutton Liberal leadership mean for the Liberals and the country?

    The claim is that the Libs were thinking of a two-term strategy given they need 18 seats back. So first term was damage the government and put them in minority with a pivot in the next term to win again with the teal seats back in the book. But at 50-50 or 51-49, they think they can win. WA and...
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    What would a Dutton Liberal leadership mean for the Liberals and the country?

    Yeah, if he thinks the problem with moderates are that they are lawyers who can simply argue both sides, he also got to reckon with the fact he’s losing talented potential candidates who also could appeal to metropolitan voters.
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    What would a Dutton Liberal leadership mean for the Liberals and the country?

    One analysis I read is that he does ok with outer suburban voters that he spends his time trying to whip up fear in because he is authentically one of them. He doesn’t talk about reconciliation or complex societal issues because he also doesn’t care about them. He’s focussed on similar things to...
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    What would a Dutton Liberal leadership mean for the Liberals and the country?

    If Dutton really wants to be PM, he should have a (semi) costed and coherent plan for the nuclear solution. Given all the states have said no, it’s not currently even plausible that it can meet deadlines.
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    What would a Dutton Liberal leadership mean for the Liberals and the country?

    It’s so annoying because that cop out seems to be working for him. His battle lines are clear. Elites vs the outer suburban middle class. I think the path to victory for the ALP is to focus on that group (which the tax cut changes did)
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    USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

    Peterson really shot to fame on the back of that interview in channel 4 iirc when the interviewer was just hopeless and tried every tactic to try and invalidate him rather than his points, instantly he became popular with males. A caricature of the interview: JP: well men take on some jobs...
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    USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

    Basically Trump is an empty vessel for the Fox network to run through which explains why he’s polling better than his rambling indicate he should. In some ways it would explain also why Biden’s decline could be hidden before blowing up at the debate. 24/7 News repackages everything
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    USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

    I just watched the Fox interview. I think Fox are trying to be the generic GOP candidate who would push Trump’s case given he’s not mentally fit to do so. Definitely she was presented with GOP talking points on a lot of issues and then two things happened 1) she changed the topic in some case...
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    USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

    Cheated on Melania whilst doing so. The problem of course is that he misappropriated campaign funds to pay hush money. Normally falsifying business records is a misdemeanour in NY, but well our dopey mate the felon did so to commit a federal crime and influence an election. 12-0 went the jury.
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    USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

    Most podcasters lack the skills to ask tough questions and press a point, so it’s the ultimate ‘safe space’ for Republicans. The paradox is long form conversation was initially held up as a better way to discuss complex ideas, by removing the adversarial element of the conversation. Yet the...
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    USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

    RWNJ can’t deny their ‘science’ on this one
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    USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

    We have to talk about interviews in this way, especially with Trumpers, as there is 0 intellectual content to Trump. He’s gamed modern society and the media but ultimately is a bore. I think people are ready to turn the page.
  26. F

    USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

    this page only aggregates A+ to B- polls and gets a pretty similar average to 538 but without the meme pollsters https://polls.votehub.us/
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    Mid East Israel declare war after Hamas attack III

    Palestinians used as human shields Another potential war crime to add to the list. The problem with RW governments is they are nearly always incompetent
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    Mid East Israel declare war after Hamas attack III

    True but the US will pay for a while as they can simply print money. Once their public know it's all on them it will hopefully create more pressure.
  29. F

    Mid East Israel declare war after Hamas attack III

    It's a start though. Having the US all alone will send a message. Israel's economy will collapse eventually given people are fleeing and all the men are being deployed to an expending war which would need even more people.
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