USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

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Harris leads in all 3 rust belt battleground states according to latest Marist poll.

+3 MI (down from +5 in Sept)
+2 WI (up from +1 in Sept)
+2 PA (up from tied in Sept)


As always depends which Pollster you look at.

P35 which groups and then avgs out other pollsters has; (as of 30th October)

WI +0.8 to Harris
PA +0.7 to Trump
MI +0.8 to Harris

Another close one is Nevada which they have as +0.1 to Harris

It's all basically even though at those margins, as line ball as you can get almost.

These are the 4 ish (there's a couple more) states where the election is won or lost though.

 
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As always depends which Pollster you look at.

P35 which groups and then avgs out other pollsters has; (as of 30th October)

WI +0.8 to Harris
PA +0.7 to Trump
MI +0.8 to Harris

Another close one is Nevada which they have as +0.1 to Harris

It's all basically even though at those margins, as line ball as you can get almost.

These are the 4 ish states where the election is won or lost though.

Yes, I'm quoting a particular, very recent, likely voter poll and am aware of 538, RCP which when I looked earlier today didn't have this poll yet.

RCP includes some additional Republican aligned pollsters which 538 doesn't, hence why 538 tends to favour Democrats a bit more.
 

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Trumpism is fascism, it surely has to die. Hopefully there are enough decent republicans to pick up the pieces. Ther are sure a lot of them who have fully denounced him. It will probably take decades to erase the damage he has caused.
Trumpism will die off naturally when people aren't struggling.
 
I'll take this as it doesnt matter if you go to war on a premise of WMDs being present leading to 100k lives being lost for it then to be proven false that as long as you endorse the Democrats it will all be wiped clean

So this is why you clumsily avoided my question and instead asked my opinion about a thumbs-up from old Dick.

He's a loathsome man, is Dick Cheney. Many of the Republicans who support Harris are low people. In my opinion, Harris herself is questionable.

It's a horrible state of affairs which underscores the poverty of US politics, and the conga line of conservative a-holes giving their support to Harris tells me that they recognise the radicalism of Trump.

You can answer my original question now, if you like. Thanks in advance.
 
Yes, I'm quoting a particular, very recent, likely voter poll and am aware of 538, RCP which when I looked earlier today didn't have this poll yet.

RCP includes some additional Republican aligned pollsters which 538 doesn't, hence why 538 tends to favour Democrats a bit more.

Anyone who claims victory this far out is just guessing. The election is neck and neck.
 
Trumpism will die off naturally when people aren't struggling.

MAGA don't die. Even if you shoot its f***ing ear off it just grows right back.

Inequality in the US is horrendous and getting worse, and some nasty crunches lay ahead. It won't be easy to replace everyone's fave trashman, but the conditions for another MAGA hero from outside the system will be fertile for a long time.
 

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It’s a cult
Of course it is.

But what can any one do about it? They'll reject logic and real facts all day long and sprout something they saw on Reddit as Fact

You can't change these peoples minds. Propaganda works, it's why it's still used heavily in every country.
 
Anyone who claims victory this far out is just guessing. The election is neck and neck.

100% correct

this election will come down to 4-6 states

and those 4-6 states are as tight as a fish's arse right now. Impossible to call right now.

Though it's worth noting that in the last 2 elections the underdog (betting market) has won both times Trump 2016, Biden 2020. So if that holds true again Harris will win.
 
Yes he did, think you have it mixed around. Biden was firm favourite and just won by 43k in 3 swing states razor thing margins in context of an American election.
Biden won 306 to 232 which was in line with the bookies. Final polls were 51% Biden, 43%Trump so trump got marginally more popular vote but nothing like 2016.
 
The dems have a track record of telling people not to believe their what they see and hear.

Everyone could see Biden's brain had turned to swiss cheese, but the dems kept telling us, don't believe what you see and hear, he's as sharp as ever. Even Kamala LIED about Biden's mental acuity. She then stabbed him in the front.

And again, don't beleive what you heard, you missed the apostrophe. 🤣 🤣 🤣 🤣
Are you believing what you are seeing and hearing from Trump?
 
Of course it is.

But what can any one do about it? They'll reject logic and real facts all day long and sprout something they saw on Reddit as Fact

You can't change these peoples minds. Propaganda works, it's why it's still used heavily in every country.
The Left is going to have to abandon some of the terms of centerism and speak to voters grievances with real solutions.

Like a gun, the only way you take a social democratic gain from a middle class voter is ‘from their cold dead hands’
 

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USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

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