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You seem to have some obsession with probability being something it is not. There is no mistaking, probability is nothing more than the numeric quantification of chance. In turn, odds are a function of probability. It really isn't as enigmatic as you are making it out to be.

I couldn't care less how you come up with a probability. You can be a nuffy sitting on a couch that plucks a figure out of the air and says "I reckon the probability of Fremantle winning the flag this year is 0.05". You can use a supercomputer to run a billion simulations of the 2025 AFL season...

No, what I agree with is what I said - your statement that probability has nothing to do with odds is wrong. No kidding, as probability changes, odds change - that's maths for you.

What? Odds has everything to do with probability, and the mathematical equation is not complex at all, it's very simple. Odds = probability/(1-probability) How do you think bookmakers frame an opening market on Thursday before raceday Saturday? They compute what they think the probability of a...

This entire thread, and every post in it, is a pisstake right? 50000 columbians living in Adelaide? Like for every 25 people you meet in Adelaide, one was born in Columbia. Apedrear a los cuevos!

You might be right. The way the AFL is going, you'll soon get bonus premiership points for the number of views a team generates on tik tok. But more likely you're wrong, and it will only take a couple of bad losses for the finger pointing within the team to start and this sort of shit to be...

Maybe some people that have been watching longer than five minutes understand what a crock of unsustainable gimmickry hokball may prove to be, and make their predictions accordingly

I agree, and like your approach, which I will modify slightly Brisbane ................. Carlton Geelong Collingwood ................. Bulldogs GWS Gold Coast ................. Port Fremantle Adelaide Hawks Sydney St Kilda ................. Melbourne Essendon North Eagles ................. Richmond

It's Geelong 2008 then daylight as the most forsaken premiership this century. Richmond 2018 a distant second

Uncle Rupert has sold Foxtel https://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/latest-news/uk-sports-streamer-dazn-to-buy-foxtel-in-blockbuster-34bn-deal/news-story/20b85e4518b5840ef853333c06c86f5b?amp I can't recall the several posters on here that said they refused to sign up to Foxsports because of the...

It's pretty funny isn't it? We are not only meant to believe sentinent players with time limited careers are taking massive unders to play for the Cats, we're meant to believe their agents, whose entire business model relies on maximising client returns from which they get their cut, will just...

I wonder if Carment Lawrence and her fellow South Terrace Sandinistas are actually members yet?

I'd normally be wary of these long long term deals but geez ithis one is exciting. Good stuff

Nothing is beautiful without struggle

Is Kane-o some matesy designation for Cornes? Well, that settles it then. Hawks for premiers

I think they all fudge, north are the worst, anyone that believes that rabble has 50k is deluded

Hawthorn and Geelong have more members than Essendon. The bombers are definitely not big in the sense Collingwood are big

I'm struggling to see who is advantaged by that to be honest. At the start of the season is an 11 day break after your warm up game good or bad?

Damn. They must have seen The Manchurian Candidate too

Will we play the Eagles in some sort of unofficial scratchie between all stars and Demons?

Kysaiah is Yamatji Noongar for Ultan which is Gaelic for ****-tease

My cousin is uncle to a nephew who is older than himself. This isn't one of those stupid riddles. My aunty had kids in her 20s, and then at the age of 46 with the help of IVF got pregnant again. By that stage her daughter from her first brood already had a child, so this new baby boy was born...

It's very weirdly written. If anything, the unifying theme should be about how the afl tries to manage information/messaging and uses spin-doctors. Yet somehow he's tried to present it as a crusade against woke when some of this stuff (concussion, drug cover up) has nothing to do with woke

To the #VICBIAS thread

People discussing dogga's marking prowess in the injury thread, and so giving everyone the offseason jumps. Keep injury thread for injuries ffs I would vent there but that would just be contributing to the problem

I think this argument is perhaps a little flawed, people look at those names of our top 5 (who are close to our best five players ever) and imagine all 5 playing at their peak at the same time. They obviously were all very good in 2013 but McPharlin and Pav were past their peak, Fyfe great but...

Horse leaving makes it a complete guess, in my opinion, to know which way Sydney will go. They could finish anywhere from 1st to 13th and the knock on effect for other teams that play them twice are huge - are they getting double ups against a top 2 contender hungry and now ready to go one step...

I'm not really talking about just the players though. I have said it before, it takes a club to win a flag, from the president to the boot studder. Obviously you'll never win one if your list is crap, but a brilliant list likely won't do it if the club isn't a winner at all levels.

I would have thought if, like me, you think Kane is doing a bad job and is out of her depth, you're far better off sticking to the line that Kane is doing a bad job and is out of her depth, rather than the line that she is just a DEI hire. If you use the DEI line, it risks detracting from your...

I think Tassie, being from a traditional AFL state, shuld have some baked-into-thier-DNA advantages the northern franchise teams didn't have and never will have. Port made finals in their third year, that will be their ambitious target. They aren't going to be a gold coast. They'll be highly...