Draft Review 2012 - Revisiting the 2012 AFL Draft

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TiarneSwersky

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May 8, 2015
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Since the players drafted in 2012 are only three and a half years into the AFL system, this redraft will combine the player’s achievements so far, as well as the future potential I see them being capable of.

This article is not suggesting that a club ‘should have’ or ‘could have’ taken the player mentioned beside them in the redraft. If one club drafted a ruckman in 2012, I’m not suggesting they should’ve taken a midfielder instead. Rather, this redraft will highlight the best of the 2012 draft so far.

This redraft will include father/son selections, but rookie-drafted players will be omitted. This rules out the likes of Kane Mitchell, Jack Frost, Callum Sinclair, Adam Oxley, Dane Rampe, Brett Goodes and Jake Lloyd - all of whom have started their careers off brightly.

Lastly, it is important to note the two mini-draft selections (Jack Martin for Gold Coast and Jesse Hogan for Melbourne) will not be included. I’ll start by listing the real order of the 2012 AFL Draft and then will begin the redraft.

2012 AFL DRAFT
Pick 1: Lachie Whitfield (Greater Western Sydney)
Pick 2: Jonathan O'Rourke (Greater Western Sydney)
Pick 3: Lachlan Plowman (Greater Western Sydney)
Pick 4: Jimmy Toumpas (Melbourne)
Pick 5: Jake Stringer (Western Bulldogs)
Pick 6: Jackson Macrae (Western Bulldogs)
Pick 7: Ollie Wines (Port Adelaide)
Pick 8: Sam Mayes (Brisbane Lions)
Pick 9: Nick Vlastuin (Richmond)
Pick 10: Joe Daniher F/S (Essendon)

REDRAFTED

Pick 1 (Greater Western Sydney) – Ollie Wines
Like Chad Wingard in 2011, Ollie Wines has been the stand out talent from this draft group.

Selected with pick 7 by Port Adelaide in 2012, Ollie Wines couldn’t have started his career off any better. 57 games (played the first 50 consecutively), 26 goals and he’s already in Port’s leadership group.

His hunger for the contest is inspiring. He’s a tough inside midfielder who provides grunt, hardness and impact at the contest. He’s a see-ball, get-ball player who knows how to gather up the possessions consistently.

He can burst through packs, he can tackle, he can kick goals and he’s a quality leader. He is averaging 22 disposals and 5 tackles a game over his young career.

The question on everyone’s mind is: Why didn’t Melbourne draft Wines with pick 4, knowing that he and Jack Viney were best friends? Hmm...Oh well, you win some and you lose some.

Pick 2 (Greater Western Sydney) – Jake Stringer
This pick made its way to the Giants via a trade with the Suns, which saw the Giants’ 1st pick in the mini-draft go to the Suns, and the 2nd pick in the national draft go to the Giants. Other picks were exchanged as well.

The Suns drafted Jack Martin with their mini-draft pick, whilst the Giants drafted Jonathan O'Rourke, who is now at Hawthorn. However, enough with the background information... Jake Stringer, the exciting forward from the Western Bulldogs was drafted with the fifth pick in 2012.

Injuries have limited him to 39 games, but 63 goals is a remarkable return for Stringer. He’s a great size for a forward at 192cm. He’s explosive, he’s quick, he’s creative and he is strong. He knows where the goals are and his defensive pressure and contested marking all make for an awesome highlight reel.

He lights up the Bulldogs forward line, and as I’ve said before, he brings a spark and unpredictability factor to a former stagnant Bulldogs forward 50.

Watch out, as he will push up into the midfield when he improves his engine. To date, him and Jack Crisp are the most improved players in 2015.

Pick 3 (Greater Western Sydney) – Jackson Macrae
GWS received pick 3 in 2012 after they traded the 2nd pick in the mini-draft to Melbourne. Melbourne drafted Jesse Hogan and GWS drafted a defender, Lachlan Plowman. Plowman is still developing, so Jackson Macrae takes the third spot in my 2012 redraft.

Macrae was drafted to the Bulldogs with the 6th pick (the compensation pick for Callan Ward) in the 2012 draft.

Like Stringer, Macrae has been a wonderful recruit for the Dogs. 44 games into his career and Macrae has already proven to be an exciting and smooth weapon in the midfield for the Dogs.

like Bontempelli, Macrae has great size for a midfielder. His run and carry can be damaging, and his ability to rack up the disposals (43 possessions is his career-high) so early into his career is exciting.

Pick 4 (Melbourne) – Jack Viney
Pick 4 in 2012 was allocated to the Melbourne Demons, as the compensation pick for the controversial exit of Tom Scully.

They went with Jimmy Toumpas. Everyone says they should have gone with Ollie Wines. Funnily enough, Jack Viney (drafted via F/S, pick 26) is the fourth pick in this redraft.

Like his good friend Ollie Wines, Viney came into the AFL with a mature-body, ready for professional football.

Viney is a raging bull. He is a hard nut, tough-as-nails kind of footballer. His disposal needs a lot of work, but there is one thing that Viney has that is unteachable; his attack and hunger for the contest.

For such a young player, he holds an important presence for Melbourne at stoppages. Injuries have held him to 39 games, but his career averages of 19 disposals, 4 tackles and 3 marks a game should not be scoffed at.

He’s a great kid with an exciting future ahead of him. If he continues to emulate Nathan Jones, Viney could have a long and successful career at the Demons.

Pick 5 (Western Bulldogs) – Lachie Whitfield
Lachie Whitfield was drafted number one overall in 2012, selected by the GWS Giants. He’s a skillful, classy midfielder who has shown great signs in his first 41 games with the club.

Whitfield is perhaps overshadowed at times by his starring teammates (Shiel, Treloar, Greene, Ward), but he is still a quality player and an exciting prospect for the Giants.

He’s a great size for a midfielder, he has speed to burn, he is incredibly skillful and he is a strong overhead mark. A consistent run of games and a few more preseason’s will do Whitfield the world of good.

He averaged 20 disposals and 6 marks a game over his young career. I can’t wait to see what he is like at game 100.

Pick 6 (Western Bulldogs) – Brodie Grundy
As I mentioned earlier, the Bulldogs received this pick as a compensation for Callan Ward. They drafted Jackson Macrae (who moved up three spots in my redraft), but Brodie Grundy lands this spot in my redraft.

Collingwood selected the ruckman with the 18th pick in 2012. At only 21 years of age, Grundy has exceeded all expectations, shouldering the majority (if not all) of Collingwood’s ruck work since the departure of Darren Jolly.

Grundy is a big, athletic ruckman who works tirelessly around the ground. He is strong, incredibly physical and a player who uses his aggression. His second and third efforts at the stoppages are noteworthy, and his tackling provides great support for his midfielders.

At 21, and having played only 32 games, Grundy’s upside is scary. Well, exciting for Collingwood, and scary for everyone else. He is a player who gets better and better with each game played.

Before his neck injury a few weeks ago, he was averaging 16 disposals, 4 marks, 4 tackles and 24 hit outs a game. He is exactly what Collingwood needed.

Pick 7 (Port Adelaide) – Nick Vlastuin
Richmond drafted Nick Vlastuin with the 9th pick in the 2012 draft. Vlastuin is a halfbacker who has made a really strong start to his career with the Tigers.

At this point in his career, he plays a good uncontested, outside game. His contested possessions need work, but that will come with more experience in the midfield.

Vlastuin provides great run for the Tigers from defense. He has just hit the 50-game milestone and he already looks like a future leader for the club.

As a young defender, Vlastuin has already exhibited his ability to play smart, tough and composed football. I see him being a 250 game player for the Tigers and a wonderful contributor off half back, or in the middle, for the club.

He has been a quality second-tier player for Richmond in 2015, and Vlastuin’s future looks very exciting.

Pick 8 (Brisbane Lions) – Joe Daniher
Joe Daniher was a father/son selection for Essendon in 2012, and they used the 10th pick in the national draft to get him.

Interestingly, Brisbane is desperate for a key forward, but Daniher was already locked and loaded as a Bomber.

Joe Daniher has the makings of being a super full forward for the Bombers. He has been blessed with many gifts that could turn him into a dominant forward in the future. He has great size, great athleticism, extraordinary speed for his frame and a good pair of hands. There’s one problem...he really struggles in front of goal.

His ability to mark the ball at its highest point will be a career-defining highlight. He needs to bulk up and kick straight, and if he manages to do so, he could cause headaches for defenders.

He was Essendon’s leading goal-kicker last year with 28 goals and has 21 to his name this season. In a young and inexperienced forward line, Daniher just needs time. He has 38 games and 52 goals on his young CV.

There is a boatload of untapped talent ahead for Daniher, and if he can capitalize on all of his attributes, he will be a starring forward in this league.

Pick 9 (Richmond) – Troy Menzel
Carlton scooped up the exciting Troy Menzel with the 11th pick in the 2012 draft. Niggling injuries have limited him 34 games, but Menzel has already proved how dangerous and damaging he can be in Carlton’s forward line.

Along with Stringer, Menzel could be one of the most exciting talents in this draft. Don’t give him space and don’t give him time, because Menzel will embarrass you.

He has cemented a spot in Carlton’s forward line, but Menzel could push up into the midfield if he gets his body right.

He is fast, he can tackle and he can cause chaos. He brings excitement and a spark to Carlton’s predictable forward line.

He has kicked 46 career goals and made a huge impact last season, kicking 26 goals from 18 games.

He is a wonderful prospect with a huge future ahead of him.

Pick 10 (Essendon) - Jackson Thurlow
This last spot was a difficult one to choose. But, I’ve gone with Jackson Thurlow, who was drafted with the 16th pick in 2012 by Geelong.

Thurlow is a defender who been a big improver in 2015 for the Cats. He has played 20 career games (10 this season), and already, like Nick Vlastuin, plays with poise, smarts and toughness.

He is a good defender who provides plenty of run and rebound football from the back half. He will take over from Corey Enright when Enright hangs up the boots, but the Cats would be thrilled with his early development.

In 2015, he has been averaging 19 disposals and 6 marks a game. The Cats may have found another gem in Jackson Thurlow. Watch out.

My next three redrafted picks:
Pick 11 – Sam Mayes (originally pick 8)
Pick 12 – Jimmy Toumpas (originally pick 4)
Pick 13 – Nathan Hrovat (originally pick 21)

Final Words
It’s definitely too early to tell, but the class of 2012 are showing signs of being an exciting young bunch of players.

The Bulldogs did a brilliant job with their two top ten picks in this draft. Along with Stringer and Macrae, they picked up Lachie Hunter and Nathan Hrovat, and Brett Goodes in the rookie draft.

Collingwood did a solid job as well. They drafted Grundy, Tim Broomhead and Ben Kennedy with three consecutive picks. And, in the rookie draft, they added Adam Oxley and emerging defender, Jack Frost.

Along with Daniher, Essendon picked up Marty Gleeson with pick 53, and he seems to be a good player.

GWS’ drafting in 2012 is the interesting one. Two high draft picks, Jonathan O'Rourke (pick 2) and Kristian Jaksch (pick 12) are already gone, whilst many of their other prospects are still developing.

Let’s take a look back at this redraft when this group hits 100 games. Who do you think will be the movers and the sliders in and out of the top ten?

So, did I get this right? Who would you redraft with the top ten picks in the 2012 AFL Draft?
 

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Pick 7 (Port Adelaide) – Nick Vlastuin
Richmond drafted Nick Vlastuin with the 9th pick in the 2012 draft. Vlastuin is a halfbacker who has made a really strong start to his career with the Tigers.

At this point in his career, he plays a good uncontested, outside game. His contested possessions need work, but that will come with more experience in themidfield.

Vlastuin provides great run for the Tigers from defense. He has just hit the 50-game milestone and he already looks like a future leader for the club.

As a young defender, Vlastuin has already exhibited his ability to play smart, tough and composed football. I see him being a 250 game player for the Tigers and a wonderful contributor off half back, or in the middle, for the club.

He has been a quality second-tier player for Richmond in 2015, and Vlastuin’s future looks very exciting.

Good review....exept that Vlaustins contested work is one of the best parts of his game. His work in traffic in the defensive is impressive.
 
Summary of North Melbourne's picks:

Traded Hamish McIntosh to Geelong for Pick 38;
Traded Pick 38 to Pies for Pick 41 and 47
Traded Aaron Edwards to Richmond for Pick 72
Traded Pederson and Pick 72 to Melbourne for Gysberts and Pick 61


National Draft:

Pick 15: Tayler Garner - finally showing his class after years of injuries, probably a fail on the picks output TO DATE - but excited about his future
Pick 37: Ben Jacobs - finally finding his way and some consistency. Has cemented his spot as inside mid / tagger / run with player
Pick 41: Mason Wood - great first handful of games, shows ability and north fans cant wait to see him in the first 22 full time
Pick 47: Mithchel Wilkins - delisted
Pick 56: Daniel Currie - purely used as back up ruckman, played 2/3 games, wasted pick
Pick 61: Taylor Hine - delisted

Rookie Draft:

Tim McGinuess, Ben Speight, Cam Richardson - all delsited


It's hard to be honest with the assessment given we have seen so little from draftees above, but probably give us a C+ for this draft so far.


Best Late Pick of the draft: Lachy Hunter @ 49 (although this isnt too late really). Otherwise, Dean Terlich @ 68 looked good for a while but seems he's fallen out / regressed in 18 monhts.

Biggest Winner from Free Agency:

Freo with Danyle Pearce

Team that got ripped off for compensation:

Freo - no compensation for Dylan Roberton?


Trade Winners (stand out winners, not borderline or so so, just talking players for now, ie individual persons doing great at new club / adding value)

Port Adelaide - Monfries for 51 is a bargain. His output to date at port has been good. 2013; 39 goals, increase in average disposals, increase in rebound 50s, 21 (2014) and 17 goals (2015) to date. Filling their need anyway as medium forward

They also picked up Jake Neade & Hombsch for pick 28 - absolute bargain wins

Hawthorn - Lake was a steal really, they lost picks 21 and 43, but got pick 27 - so got him for 43 and bumped down a few spots in theory

Brisbane - got Stefan Martin (now finally dominating hit outs and really useful around the ground) for pick 52 & 71 (and around late 60's no good players left anyway)

West Coast - Jammie Cripps - Wasnt a fan initially but he has really stepped up into a great player. 12 Goals (2013) 27 Goals (2014) and 26 Goals (2015) and has improved average marks, tackles, disposals and I50's year on year. St Kilda Lost Cripps and pick 45 for picks 40 and 43. So You could argue Cripps was Pick 40.


BIGGEST TRADE LOSERS (Players as picks is reverse of the above)

Geelong - Hamish McIntosh - poor bloke couldnt get his body together, loved him at north but didnt work out

Adelaide - gave up pick 42 for Angus Graham, got pick 53 back for it but then lost in draft sanctions. Think he was always going to be a back up ruck only.

St Kilda - Trent Dennis Lane for pick 46 - rip off, hasnt worked out

I left out alot of the speculative trades, ie player A for pick 80, or short term ones to fill a void.

Please feel free to add in or comment on any of these; remember they are perspectives only, everyone has a different one.
 
I still don't see Grundy going that high. Yes he's a talented young player but rucks are always of limited value since you can only play 1. Even now, being one of the best young rucks around he's only average in terms of number 1 rucks going around and the quality of a ruck at 21 isn't a good indicator of the quality of a ruck at 28.

It's been debated a lot on Geelong's board whether we should've taken Grundy ahead of Thurlow. Right now I still reckon we'd go the same way. Not because Thurlow is currently better, or even likely to be better but you're getting a guaranteed good quality player in your best 22 for a decade plus. What happens with Grundy if another ruck develops into a really good player? Do you play him out of position or does he play VFL and decide to leave? Interestingly Collingwood are facing this prospect with Grundy and Witts. They've taken a hit on field to put time into 2 developing ruckmen but there's no guarantees either of them will be better than what you could pick up in free agency (say Luenberger this year) and chances are one of them will leave in the not too distant future because it's very hard to play both in the same team. I think with the advent of FA the days of rucks being taken in the top 10 picks are gone.

Also just to point out I think he was a very good pick for Collingwood at 19 and is a good young player. I just don't think he'd go much higher than about pick 10 if the draft was redone purely due to the position he plays.
 

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I still don't see Grundy going that high. Yes he's a talented young player but rucks are always of limited value since you can only play 1. Even now, being one of the best young rucks around he's only average in terms of number 1 rucks going around and the quality of a ruck at 21 isn't a good indicator of the quality of a ruck at 28.

It's been debated a lot on Geelong's board whether we should've taken Grundy ahead of Thurlow. Right now I still reckon we'd go the same way. Not because Thurlow is currently better, or even likely to be better but you're getting a guaranteed good quality player in your best 22 for a decade plus. What happens with Grundy if another ruck develops into a really good player? Do you play him out of position or does he play VFL and decide to leave? Interestingly Collingwood are facing this prospect with Grundy and Witts. They've taken a hit on field to put time into 2 developing ruckmen but there's no guarantees either of them will be better than what you could pick up in free agency (say Luenberger this year) and chances are one of them will leave in the not too distant future because it's very hard to play both in the same team. I think with the advent of FA the days of rucks being taken in the top 10 picks are gone.

Also just to point out I think he was a very good pick for Collingwood at 19 and is a good young player. I just don't think he'd go much higher than about pick 10 if the draft was redone purely due to the position he plays.

The only player I'd consider trading Brodie for in that draft is Stringer.

So I completely disagree with your assessment.

But I also have the biggest man-crush on Grundy going around so my opinion might be a little biased.
 
Stringer goes 1 in a 2012 redo now doesn't he??

Well, I guess he is the full packa..... Ah never mind.....

I'd have stringer #1 but wines delivered from his very first game, has been consistent and not a bad alternative first pick.
 
I still don't see Grundy going that high. Yes he's a talented young player but rucks are always of limited value since you can only play 1 You can only play 1, so the quality of the player filling that 1 position becomes more important? If clubs run 2 rucks, then the value presented by either of the rucks decreases? . Even now, being one of the best young rucks around he's only average in terms of number 1 rucks going around and the quality of a ruck at 21 isn't a good indicator of the quality of a ruck at 28. Then what is?...

It's been debated a lot on Geelong's board whether we should've taken Grundy ahead of Thurlow. Right now I still reckon we'd go the same way. Not because Thurlow is currently better What?!, or even likely to be better but you're getting a guaranteed good quality player in your best 22 for a decade plus If you're talking about Grundy here, then sure.. What happens with Grundy if another ruck develops into a really good player We trade that ruck, Witts despite making into under 22 AA side last year is a victim of Grundy's dominance? Do you play him out of position or does he play VFL and decide to leave? Interestingly Collingwood are facing this prospect with Grundy and Witts. They've taken a hit on field to put time into 2 developing ruckmen but there's no guarantees either of them will be better than what you could pick up in free agency (say Luenberger this year) and chances are one of them will leave in the not too distant future because it's very hard to play both in the same team. I think with the advent of FA the days of rucks being taken in the top 10 picks are gone.

Also just to point out I think he was a very good pick for Collingwood at 19 and is a good young player. I just don't think he'd go much higher than about pick 10 if the draft was redone purely due to the position he plays.
Alot to reconsider here.
 
McIntosh (31) looking like a handy pick. McBean (33) just came equal first for the Frosty Miller Medal too. Vlastuin is a gun. Happy with our draft.
 

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Draft Review 2012 - Revisiting the 2012 AFL Draft

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