karaoke
Norm Smith Medallist
- Mar 26, 2013
- 6,814
- 14,571
- AFL Club
- St Kilda
I don't entirely agree with this considering a player who selected value picks (and gotten them right) and the correct rookies will be able to trade McVeigh in at a depreciated price. A selected player in your team is relevant against every other player who happened to pick that player at a reduced price (or indeed a player that paid overs compared to you). If you paid for a 106 avg player and only get 95 ppg for him for the rest of the season, a player that has paid a 95ppg price for 95 ppg from the moment he has bought him until the end of the season has won out. Whilst it is impossible to not lose value on premiums (they all depreciate even if they maintain their starting price value), they don't equally lose value. McVeigh given his history, is prone to having low scoring games which may hit his price negatively compared to a more consistent performer with a lower std dev.
?
IIRC-
Steve Johnson started 2013 @ 515k, ended at 552k
Todd Goldstein started 2013 @ 498k, ended at 549k
Will Minson started 2013 @ 505k, ended at 544k
There will be those whose ave increases at a rate that more than offsets the decrease in the 'magical number',
So not impossible, but agree 'majority' do end up on a lower price comapred to their starting price,